Northern Gulf

[caneman]

Yeah, if you've lived down here long enough you can see it in the clouds. It's been itching down here the last few days according to the clouds.

You got that right Sanibel. You don't need models, sat. or radar to know when it's got that feel. Although, they help.

[Sanibel]

Yeah, if you've lived down here long enough you can see it in the clouds. It's been itching down here the last few days according to the clouds.

You got that right Sanibel. You don't need models, sat. or radar to know when it's got that feel. Although, they help.

I heard the indians were good at it but they had some serious skin in the game, but less to lose at the same time I guess...

[LaBreeze]

Yeah, if you've lived down here long enough you can see it in the clouds. It's been itching down here the last few days according to the clouds.

I know what you mean, here too Sanibel - looking very tropical. Just had a strong, windy shower move through very quickly.

[Dean4Storms]

If the convection can persist and deepen overnight it might have a go at developing something at the surface tomorrow. But it really needs to fire convection to release the heat and form a low.

[ronjon]

There's definitely an anticyclone building over top of the convection in the eastern GOM.

[ninel conde]

LC says to keep an eye on it.

[NDG]

Is hard to have this thunderstorm in the NE GOM to have gotten declared as an Invest when not even the aggressive GFS has shown development before it moves inland in a couple fo days

[Bailey1777]

what did lc say....little more info if you can please.

[Bailey1777]

anyone noticing anything more than some convection.....have obs. changed over the last 3 hours or nothing to see here?

[Nimbus]

Unusually strong thunderstorm came through the Tampa bay area this afternoon.
The rain wasn't any harder than the usual summer showers but the lightning activity was real intense.
Keep checking the buoy reports too see if surface pressures are dropping.

[LaBreeze]

Unusually strong thunderstorm came through the Tampa bay area this afternoon.
The rain wasn't any harder than the usual summer showers but the lightning activity was real intense.
Keep checking the buoy reports too see if surface pressures are dropping.

Nimbus, do you have a link to check those surface pressures on the buoys? Thanks in advance.

[ronjon]

Looking interesting south of Mobile this morning.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html

[ninel conde]

what did lc say....little more info if you can please.

mentioned the possibility of a depression or weak TS.

[Stormcenter]

Yes it is.

Looking interesting south of Mobile this morning.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html

[Hurricane Alexis]

06z GFS has 3 systems by the end of the run.

[northjaxpro]

There is a possible mid level spin south of Mobile checking satelitte imagery. If convection can persist throughout today, this may have a chance to make it to the surface and develop into a TD or weak TS in a day or two before coming ashore over the TX or SW LA coast.

[underthwx]

what did lc say....little more info if you can please.

mentioned the possibility of a depression or weak TS.

LC meaning Lake Charles?....

[ninel conde]

what did lc say....little more info if you can please.

mentioned the possibility of a depression or weak TS.

LC meaning Lake Charles?....

larry cosgrove. a well respected weatherman and true gentelman.

[tolakram]

what did lc say....little more info if you can please.

mentioned the possibility of a depression or weak TS.

LC meaning Lake Charles?....

No, Levi Cowan of Tropical Tidbits. He's an amateur, and makes a great presentation.

[Dean4Storms]

Pressures have fallen since same time yesterday.