Area of disturbed weather entering the Caribbean (Is Invest 96L)

[Loveweather12]

What day would we know for sure this might actually develop & not ghost. The weekend? Just wondering so I know I need to take more serious as steering might be interesting

With this model support across the board I find it unlikely this is a ghost. My concern is being in November the odds of a trof potentially picking this up might be higher in my opinion.

I can see the troughs on models or some front. Like someone said earlier, it seems November will take the October pattern. This is odd but I’ll be watching this week now I guess.

[aspen]

I hope this thread does not break my record of 59 pages set by the precursor of Zeta.

At least this one isn’t as far out as Zeta was. However, if the GFS goes sub-900 at any point...say goodbye to that record (again lol).

[Blinhart]

So another Caribbean cruiser that goes into the West coast of Florida.

[sma10]

What day would we know for sure this might actually develop & not ghost. The weekend? Just wondering so I know I need to take more serious as steering might be interesting

With this model support across the board I find it unlikely this is a ghost. My concern is being in November the odds of a trof potentially picking this up might be higher in my opinion.

I can see the troughs on models or some front. Like someone said earlier, it seems November will take the October pattern. This is odd but I’ll be watching this week now I guess.

This is something I've wondered about recently. With the warming we've seen over the past decade or so, will we now be seeing typical October hurricane behavior in November?

[CyclonicFury]

With this model support across the board I find it unlikely this is a ghost. My concern is being in November the odds of a trof potentially picking this up might be higher in my opinion.

I can see the troughs on models or some front. Like someone said earlier, it seems November will take the October pattern. This is odd but I’ll be watching this week now I guess.

This is something I've wondered about recently. With the warming we've seen over the past decade or so, will we now be seeing typical October hurricane behavior in November?

So far, that has not been the case. Not one November in the 2010s produced more than one tropical cyclone, or produced more than 10 ACE total. We also have not had a November US landfall at all this century so far.

[SFLcane]

I hope this thread does not break my record of 59 pages set by the precursor of Zeta.

It might! lol

[CrazyC83]

I hope this thread does not break my record of 59 pages set by the precursor of Zeta.

At least this one isn’t as far out as Zeta was. However, if the GFS goes sub-900 at any point...say goodbye to that record (again lol).

This is really giving me 1932 vibes...imagine if we had Recon and satellite for that storm. The modeled stall in the SW Caribbean is reminiscent of that storm too.

[underthwx]

I hope this thread does not break my record of 59 pages set by the precursor of Zeta.

It might! lol

As unwanted as another system is, especially with Zeta deciding what it will do, it must be watched carefully. Are you fairly confident that another system may emerge, based on your observations?

[ElectricStorm]

In regards to the thread title...Not to be that guy... But Eta won't break the record... Theta will.

[Ryxn]

Considering we are a week away from the 1st of November, 60 pages is very possible...

[Ryxn]

In regards to the thread title...Not to be that guy... But Eta won't break the record... Theta will.

*Forum record..... that is what I meant. Edited

[ElectricStorm]

In regards to the thread title...Not to be that guy... But Eta won't break the record... Theta will.

*Forum record..... that is what I meant. Edited

Oh ok lol. I thought you meant the named storm record... which I guess Eta could break it if Eta is the last storm and TD10 gets upgraded. But anyway... 60 pages here we come!

[underthwx]

In regards to the thread title...Not to be that guy... But Eta won't break the record... Theta will.

Lol....I'm an honest person...I shoot straight with people...and I must admit that I thought ETA, in the thread title, meant estimated time of arrival...but it is the next storm name.....omg

[Ryxn]

In regards to the thread title...Not to be that guy... But Eta won't break the record... Theta will.

*Forum record..... that is what I meant. Edited

Oh ok lol. I thought you meant the named storm record... which I guess Eta could break it if Eta is the last storm and TD10 gets upgraded. But anyway... 60 pages here we come!

Oh yes! True if TD10 is upgraded, Eta would be the retrospective record-breaker!

[Ryxn]

In regards to the thread title...Not to be that guy... But Eta won't break the record... Theta will.

Lol....I'm an honest person...I shoot straight with people...and I must admit that I thought ETA, in the thread title, meant estimated time of arrival...but it is the next storm name.....omg

Haha I meant it to meant both. The Eta is the storm and the ETA is the acronym

[underthwx]

In regards to the thread title...Not to be that guy... But Eta won't break the record... Theta will.

Lol....I'm an honest person...I shoot straight with people...and I must admit that I thought ETA, in the thread title, meant estimated time of arrival...but it is the next storm name.....omg

Haha I meant it to meant both. The Eta is the storm and the ETA is the acronym

It's all good bro....lol

[aspen]

The GFS and GFS-Para have been alternating between a slower developing major and a quicker developing slop storm. The 18z GFS was almost another slop run...but then it had RI into a hurricane over Jamaica.

[underthwx]

I hope this thread does not break my record of 59 pages set by the precursor of Zeta.

At least this one isn’t as far out as Zeta was. However, if the GFS goes sub-900 at any point...say goodbye to that record (again lol).

This is really giving me 1932 vibes...imagine if we had Recon and satellite for that storm. The modeled stall in the SW Caribbean is reminiscent of that storm too.

Recon and satellite for that storm would have definitely been very cool

[gatorcane]

[SFLcane]

Cuts up the spin.