Disturbed weather in Eastern Atlantic (Is invest 95L)

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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#861 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:07 pm

90 hours

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#862 Postby Vortex » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:10 pm

so far the 18z run looks very reasonable...
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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#863 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:12 pm

108 hours

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#864 Postby ConvergenceZone » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:16 pm

Yikes, there are so many "L" on the 108 hours
that I don't know what's what.... :lol:
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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#865 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:18 pm

132

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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#866 Postby ColinDelia » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:20 pm

All those L's are for spelling lalalalalalala land
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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#867 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:22 pm

150

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#868 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:22 pm

18z a little north of the 12z, but the track looks more to the WNW overall then the 12z...probably enough to spare the islands on this run...
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#869 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:25 pm

nice ridge to the north.....
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#870 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:25 pm

If those fronts depicted in those GFS runs keep dropping into the Gulf we will need to keep an eye on that as well.
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#871 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:29 pm

Hmmm, between 132hrs and 150 hrs not showing much at all with gaining latitude.
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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#872 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:29 pm

174...looks like its far enough north to get picked up

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#873 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:29 pm

The weakness looks pretty...well...weak on this run so far, a slight digging is there but its not going to be enough to recurve on its on unless it strengthens...could be a close call on this run!
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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#874 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:33 pm

Yeah..caught the weakness


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#875 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:33 pm

The GFS looks very similar to the ECM but about 24hrs faster.

Note the big differnce is with the 2nd wave again with how they handle the system...
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#876 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:35 pm

Lookout Bermuda if that one comes true!!
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Re:

#877 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:36 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:If those fronts depicted in those GFS runs keep dropping into the Gulf we will need to keep an eye on that as well.



fronts dropping into the GOM, in August, are about as rare as snow is in Galveston. :lol: if this was mid-Sept I would tend to believe it.....18z is still plowing it into the ridge gaining lat to soon IMO.....
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#878 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:36 pm

Bending back NNW on the 240hrs chart as a upper high forms and ridges into Canada...weakness probably will be enough to shunt this system out to sea but if not it'd be a risk to NE states...
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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#879 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:38 pm

Hits Canada

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Re: Waves 30L/ 31L in Eastern Atlantic (Models merge to develop)

#880 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 17, 2010 5:38 pm

bring on the 0z.... :D
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