Kingarabian wrote:NDG wrote:NotSparta wrote:There are 3 analogs since 1950 with similar ENSO conditions that an El Nino form by ASO - 1976, 2006, and 2009, with the new JFM data
By this time in 2006 & 2009 Nino 3.4 was rapidly warming up into cool neutral zone and warm neutral by early May.
If you look at my previous post of the buoys, 2006, and 2009 are behind 2018 at this present time. We're approaching warm-neutral quicker than 2006 and 2009.
I was going by the CPC's weekly Nino 3.4 SSTs official readings.
29MAR2006 27.0-0.5
05APR2006 27.3-0.3
12APR2006 27.7 0.0
17MAY2006 28.1 0.2
25MAR2009 26.8-0.6
01APR2009 27.1-0.4
08APR2009 27.4-0.2
06MAY2009 27.9 0.1