Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9492
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#961 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:24 pm

I was fixin to say Ivan you are slipping..... :lol: ensembles look like operational...

84hr NAM

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11165
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#962 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:30 pm

There are 2 different systems the models are developing. Both may indeed develop. The models might be a little messy for the next couple of days.
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9492
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#963 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:46 pm

well actually according to the GFS is will be 3 systems.....NAM is showing 46L....then later in the period the GFS develops twins....have to take note of the EURO flip today to be in line with the NOGAPS and others........however the CMC has not bitten yet so we will see today in the ensembles and long range run later...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#964 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:50 pm

GFS 18Z H24 very active weather across the windward’s tonight/tuesday


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024l.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9492
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#965 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:55 pm

Ivan post the CMC ensembles they are out but cant seem to find them updated anywhere....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#966 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:03 pm

H54 Low just north of SA


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_054l.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#967 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:10 pm

H66 Very similar to NAM


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_066l.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
expat2carib
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 458
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
Location: Sint Maarten

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#968 Postby expat2carib » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:20 pm

Over Dominica right now. Rain and rain.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#969 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:24 pm

GFS looks like last nights CMC...at least for now
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11165
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#970 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:26 pm

GFS back to developing 46L in the central Caribbean now
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#971 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:28 pm

question is where and will the turn occur..if there is a turn
0 likes   
Top
blazess556
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 250
Joined: Mon Aug 31, 2009 10:51 pm
Location: Germantown, MD

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#972 Postby blazess556 » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:29 pm

GFS developing 46L was what it was doing a week ago. Looks like it has went back to that idea.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148424
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#973 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:30 pm

blazess556 wrote:GFS developing 46L was what it was doing a week ago. Looks like it has went back to that idea.


Yes,It was developing it past 50W.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
ColinDelia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 918
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
Location: The Beach, FL

#974 Postby ColinDelia » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:33 pm

If the GFS verifies this will be approaching depression status wednesday night
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148424
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#975 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:35 pm

The duo at 174 hours.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#976 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:35 pm

twins again...46 pulls up and sits in the gulf of honduras for some time....
0 likes   
Top
blazess556
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 250
Joined: Mon Aug 31, 2009 10:51 pm
Location: Germantown, MD

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#977 Postby blazess556 » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:The duo at 174 hours.

Image

make it a trio. storm out in e atl.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148424
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#978 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:37 pm

Yeah Trio.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#979 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:42 pm

expat2carib wrote:Over Dominica right now. Rain and rain.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html

Oh you're definitely right my friend, the same here near 4PM, becoming strong, numerous areas are suffering from localized flooding.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11165
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#980 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:48 pm

Big bend

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 40 guests