TD 10...Back Again

[WeatherEmperor]

if, keyword: IF this thing is trying to make yet another comeback tonight Im gonna go insane.

<RICKY>

[storms in NC]

if, keyword: IF this thing is trying to make yet another comeback tonight Im gonna go insane.

<RICKY>

Question for ya. When night came around the use to be td 10 would fall apart right? well what is happening now?

[mahicks]

This is it!! Please, everyone go to the NHC satellite site and click onto floater 1, shortwave or IR.

are you talking about the burst of convection in the NW "Quad"??

Looks like a little refiring, but....Umm....isn't the rotation the wrong direction?

It does look like some refiring though, but I honestly feel that your 11 hour myth....er, forecast is "busted"..

with all that being said...I DO feel that we have not seen the last of this "feature"....I just agree with The NHC and say it will take longer than your forecast.

If your right, i'll eat the biggest crow you've ever seen...Which would be really hard for me since I have 4 parrots

[Sanibel]

It's that weak little finger of convection going to the point furthest left.

Nothing to shout about - and it might get crushed by the ULL just to its north.

Might even go TD all the way at this point, until it wipes out...

[jabber]

This is it!! Please, everyone go to the NHC satellite site and click onto floater 1, shortwave or IR.

Why? Please point out in detail what I am supposed to see..or what you see

[WeatherEmperor]

if, keyword: IF this thing is trying to make yet another comeback tonight Im gonna go insane.

<RICKY>

Question for ya. When night came around the use to be td 10 would fall apart right? well what is happening now?

what are you trying to say?

<RICKY>

[BensonTCwatcher]

Well if it does, it woudl probably be TD-11 and I would still have to eat crow...I said TS in 48 hours and that was 24 hrs ago. We'll see it is that time of day for the convection, so it may be a dying gasp

[mahicks]

This is it!! Please, everyone go to the NHC satellite site and click onto floater 1, shortwave or IR.

send a link please

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

or.......


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Dr Dvortex]

This is it!! Please, everyone go to the NHC satellite site and click onto floater 1, shortwave or IR.

are you talking about the burst of convection in the NW "Quad"??

Looks like a little refiring, but....Umm....isn't the rotation the wrong direction?

It does look like some refiring though, but I honestly feel that your 11 hour myth....er, forecast is "busted"..

with all that being said...I DO feel that we have not seen the last of this "feature"....I just agree with The NHC and say it will take longer than your forecast.

If your right, i'll eat the biggest crow you've ever seen...Which would be really hard for me since I have 4 parrots

Yes I see the rotation going in the wrong direction. Looks like ex TD10 has hemorrhaged itself through that building ridge..... Getting squeezed through. 11 hours???? no way. I'll go nuts if this thing tries to intensify again.

[jabber]

This is it!! Please, everyone go to the NHC satellite site and click onto floater 1, shortwave or IR.

send a link please

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

or.......


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

There is nothing to see... where the mid level circulation was is now pretty much convection free

[WeatherEmperor]

This is it!! Please, everyone go to the NHC satellite site and click onto floater 1, shortwave or IR.

send a link please

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

or.......


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

There is nothing to see... where the mid level circulation was is now pretty much convection free

yeah thats true. I think he means the convection that is kinda firing up to the west of that. see it?

<RICKY>

[elysium]

Just go to the NHC site and click on satellite imagery. Then click on floater 1. For those who do not have a very high resolution setting on their desk top monitors, click on IR DVORAK imagery. What you will see are the earliest beginnings of TD 10 responding to its new environment; specifically, what we are looking for is convection taking hold around the center and signs of outflow. I do not think that it is too early to begin monitoring for signs indicating that the robust half of development has begun. It can happen very suddenly and is not something that you want to miss.

[jabber]

if, keyword: IF this thing is trying to make yet another comeback tonight Im gonna go insane.

<RICKY>

Question for ya. When night came around the use to be td 10 would fall apart right? well what is happening now?

What was TD10 and now what was former TD10 always liked the night. Convection would build and then get cut down by morning/afternoon shear

[SkeetoBite]

......very marginally more ...

I'm not an English Major, but I'm pretty sure those words don't belong together in a sentence.

I hope you are completely wrong about the former TD known as 10. Convection is indeed firing west of the last known position of the alledged center, however, more convection fired over Central Florida last night than this entire entity had in the past 24 hours.

---------------------------

I watched the satellites all day as the northern end of a secondary wave overtook the former TD known as 10. What was fascinating is the affect this had on these remnants (scattered in all directions) combined with the obvious visible result of shear. Tropical weather is just incredible. Like I had to tell any of you that....

[WeatherEmperor]

Just go to the NHC site and click on satellite imagery. Then click on floater 1. For those who do not have a very high resolution setting on their desk top monitors, click on IR DVORAK imagery. What you will see are the earliest beginnings of TD 10 responding to its new environment; specifically, what we are looking for is convection taking hold around the center and signs of outflow. I do not think that it is too early to begin monitoring for signs indicating that the robust half of development has begun. It can happen very suddenly and is not something that you want to miss.

Only time will tell young one. Only time will tell....

<RICKY>

[jabber]

Just go to the NHC site and click on satellite imagery. Then click on floater 1. For those who do not have a very high resolution setting on their desk top monitors, click on IR DVORAK imagery. What you will see are the earliest beginnings of TD 10 responding to its new environment; specifically, what we are looking for is convection taking hold around the center and signs of outflow. I do not think that it is too early to begin monitoring for signs indicating that the robust half of development has begun. It can happen very suddenly and is not something that you want to miss.

The convection you are talking about is well west of where the once center was... I say was due to the fact that its now gone.

[WeatherEmperor]

Just go to the NHC site and click on satellite imagery. Then click on floater 1. For those who do not have a very high resolution setting on their desk top monitors, click on IR DVORAK imagery. What you will see are the earliest beginnings of TD 10 responding to its new environment; specifically, what we are looking for is convection taking hold around the center and signs of outflow. I do not think that it is too early to begin monitoring for signs indicating that the robust half of development has begun. It can happen very suddenly and is not something that you want to miss.

The convection you are talking about is well west of where the once center was... I say was due to the fact that its now gone.

yes that very well could be the case.

<RICKY>

[elysium]

Just a little more shear to get through.

[BensonTCwatcher]

Last visible loop showed 20.0 N 63.3 W center had decent convergence which is where the convection was firing. Also noted was the low level clouds immediatly west of this point had a southern flow while east of this point along 20N line was flowing north. There was convection directly over this point and the sheared remnants obscuring the low level clouds to see a full rotation. All in all it still looked like an open wave, but it was still wanting to develop a LLC. This was weel west of the MLC. Also the secondary wave seemed to be the source as noted by Skeetobite.

I don't think I am dumb enough to make another prediction based on that, but the pattern of redevelop at night/die in the morning fits. Insane little low, needs to be committed to the briney deep...

[WindRunner]

How is it that there is almost 50 pages on a degenerate tropical wave that has been "forecast" to develop constantly for te past 72hrs? I mean, I think that it'll go again, but I'm just amazed at what a bunch of bored people can do. Isn't storm2k great?