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markymark8
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#961 Postby markymark8 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:34 pm

Its just going to have to spit that dry air out if it wants a chance to become a Hurricane. Im not saying it wont just looks like it is having a hard time doing it at the moment. Does anyone know if this dry air is going to leave the area soon??? It has great potential if it the dry air dissipates.
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#962 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:38 pm

markymark8 wrote:Its just going to have to spit that dry air out if it wants a chance to become a Hurricane. Im not saying it wont just looks like it is having a hard time doing it at the moment. Does anyone know if this dry air is going to leave the area soon??? It has great potential if it the dry air dissipates.


The dry air will move away. Many pro mets and NHC have said that.
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#963 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:39 pm

24 hours, where is it at??? :lol:


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#964 Postby JTD » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:39 pm

markymark8 wrote:The 11 pm advisory has made me wonder if this thing is going to do anything. The pressure is still 1001mbs and alot of dry air than expected has gotten into the Depression and not to mention the NHC says if and when it turns into a Tropical Storm in the latest advisory. You can see on infrared it has alot of dry air in the system . I think there is a possibility of a little more hype to this storm.


Did you read the discussion? AND
WATERS WITH LARGE UPPER OCEANIC HEAT CONTENT... SHOULD LEAD TO
STEADY STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS APPEARS EVEN
MORE LIKELY NOW GIVEN THE MORE CONCENTRATED CONVECTION NEAR THE
CIRCULATION CENTER THIS EVENING. THE LATEST GFDL FORECASTS MORE
STRENGTHENING... AND MORE RAPIDLY... THAN IN THE PREVIOUS FEW
RUNS... WITH AN INTENSITY NEAR 115 KT IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. MEANWHILE
THE SHIPS GUIDANCE REMAINS MORE CONSERVATIVE IN FORECASTING A
HURRICANE IN 48-72 HOURS. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS IN
BETWEEN AND IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
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#965 Postby fuzzyblow » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:42 pm

ivanhater wrote:24 hours, where is it at??? :lol:


Image

disappear... 8-)
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#966 Postby yoda » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:43 pm

ivanhater wrote:24 hours, where is it at??? :lol:


Image


Dissapeared it has. Lost a tropical system the GFS has. How embarassing, how embarassing. :wink: :lol:
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#967 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:43 pm

tuesday

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#968 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:45 pm

It's still there... just not on that map. :wink:

Image
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Ivanhater
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#969 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:45 pm

opps, haaaa
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#970 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:46 pm

C America is now a viable possibility....
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#971 Postby canetracker » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:47 pm

This is a link to the full GFS: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_l_loop.shtml
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#972 Postby yoda » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:47 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:C America is now a viable possibility....


Agree. It is possible if it moves slowly enough it will continue to move west... as wxman57 said earlier in this thread.
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bobbutts
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#973 Postby bobbutts » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:47 pm

Image
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#974 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:48 pm

whaaa????

this
Image

turned into nada? :?:
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Ivanhater
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#975 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:49 pm

48 hours


Image
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#976 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:52 pm

wed


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#977 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:58 pm

you got to be kidding, GFS 78 hour, possibly into Central America.

Matt
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Ivanhater
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#978 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:59 pm

Image

72 hours
Last edited by Ivanhater on Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:01 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#979 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:00 pm

floridahurricaneguy wrote:you got to be kidding, GFS 78 hour, possibly into Central America.

Matt


Why not?
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#980 Postby yoda » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:02 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
floridahurricaneguy wrote:you got to be kidding, GFS 78 hour, possibly into Central America.

Matt


Why not?

Same.
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