What records could be broken this hurricane season?

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Aquawind
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What records could be broken this hurricane season?

#1 Postby Aquawind » Thu May 06, 2010 3:55 pm

Mother Nature is breaking weather records daily. So what kind of hurricane related records if any do you think could be broken this year?
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Re: What records could be broken this hurricane season?

#2 Postby hial2 » Thu May 06, 2010 4:30 pm

Strongest hurricane to hit land..God I hope I'm wrong.
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#3 Postby KWT » Thu May 06, 2010 4:39 pm

I'm not really sure there will be any records broken, though you can't ever be sure.
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Re:

#4 Postby hial2 » Thu May 06, 2010 4:44 pm

KWT wrote:I'm not really sure there will be any records broken, though you can't ever be sure.



Are you talking about record numbers of T/Cs,intensity or number of land falling hurricanes?
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#5 Postby KWT » Thu May 06, 2010 5:10 pm

All of the ones I can think off, though even then there will probably be one record.

I can't see 2005 being beaten for most of the records, though you never quite know do ya.

I'm pretty confident we aren't getting 28 storms this year unless the NE Atlantic can also match the tropics.
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#6 Postby Aquawind » Thu May 06, 2010 5:37 pm

This doesn't have to relate to the typical forecast numbers at all.. ACE, track length, pressure, winds. time frames..etc.. anything related to hurricanes. It's wide open for records of some sort.
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#7 Postby KWT » Thu May 06, 2010 5:41 pm

Well I don't know what records would be set, but I'd say probably 1-2 records will fall, but even in slow seasons you tend to see either near records or actual records.
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#8 Postby Aquawind » Thu May 06, 2010 5:43 pm

Exactly..nobody knows for sure..but it's bound to happen..so what might it be? Hmmm
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#9 Postby KWT » Thu May 06, 2010 5:56 pm

Strongest L name on record would be my punt, I think it would have to beat Luis 120kts.
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#10 Postby brunota2003 » Thu May 06, 2010 6:13 pm

Wilma's pressure of 882 mb is going down!
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Re: What records could be broken this hurricane season?

#11 Postby Jagno » Thu May 06, 2010 10:25 pm

Total Damage from a tropical cyclone. Costs and recovery are outrageous and with the unusual number of mets chiming in on the severity of this season it only stands to reason that the chances of a major landfalling system here in the U.S. is high and with the conditions, strong as well. God I pray we are all wrong!
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Re:

#12 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu May 06, 2010 10:48 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Wilma's pressure of 882 mb is going down!


I don't see Wilma's record lasting for a long time. I think it could be shattered easily.
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Re:

#13 Postby Ad Novoxium » Fri May 07, 2010 3:16 am

KWT wrote:Strongest L name on record would be my punt, I think it would have to beat Luis 120kts.


Luis topped out at 140 mph. The record's held by 1999's Lenny (right at the Cat. 5 border in November - 155 mph).
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#14 Postby SkeetoBite » Fri May 07, 2010 5:11 am

I predict the following records will fall (in good fun while we have a chance to joke):

The number of pages per storm in these forums
The number of people running around with their hair on fire
The number of stories about New Orleans (Katrina + Oil + the next storm)
The insane amount of bandwidth lost due to hot linked images from weather websites
The number of people riding out a hurricane in their cars because they are stuck on a freeway
The number of "on location" news reporters doing live shots from a location near you
Jim Cantore's frequent flyer miles for 2010

Oh, and there may be one or two actual weather related statistics rewritten...
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#15 Postby Scorpion » Fri May 07, 2010 6:34 am

I think we'll have the strongest hurricane to ever hit the US.
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Re: Re:

#16 Postby KWT » Fri May 07, 2010 6:48 am

Ad Novoxium wrote:
KWT wrote:Strongest L name on record would be my punt, I think it would have to beat Luis 120kts.


Luis topped out at 140 mph. The record's held by 1999's Lenny (right at the Cat. 5 border in November - 155 mph).


Ah ok in that case I'm not so sure about that 'record' falling this season then!

As much as it'd be amazing to see a strom stronger than Wilma, I have my doubts, Wilma at its peak probably was a sub 880mbs system briefly and so much stronger than anything else out there, even Gilbert...
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Re: What records could be broken this hurricane season?

#17 Postby tolakram » Fri May 07, 2010 7:26 am

The number of times the CMC model predicts a New Orleans landfall.
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Re: What records could be broken this hurricane season?

#18 Postby Macrocane » Fri May 07, 2010 8:10 am

If a major hurricane forms or enters the Gulf and is a threat for US, I think the record of most people evacuating the Gulf states could be broken, especially with the oil problem and the memories of Ike, you know if a cat 2 could make all that damage people will think that a stronger one will be even worse (that's not necessarily true but people think that way).
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#19 Postby KWT » Fri May 07, 2010 9:33 am

Thats a good call Macrocane, given how much oil is still out in the Gulf at the moment if any early big June/July hurricane did form in the gulf it could spawn big evacuations.
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Re: What records could be broken this hurricane season?

#20 Postby Ad Novoxium » Fri May 07, 2010 11:08 am

Actually, the evacuations wouldn't be my biggest problem here. A greater problem would be the risk of contamination due to the oil itself. While it isn't waste oil filled with dioxins (the cause of the infamous contamination of Times Beach, Missouri), there is the possibility that if a hurricane (such as an Audrey or an Allison, going by June records) hit without all the oil being dealt with and the hurricane drives it into a town, it could pollute the town beyond the livable limit.

I sincerely hope I'm wrong though. I don't know much about oil contamination.
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