Kingarabian wrote:SFLcane wrote:gatorcane wrote:The GFS is going with another EPAC storm from a CAG. If that happens, the Western Caribbean may stay too sheared rest of this month. Could we make it out of October with not one Caribbean storm despite all of the favorable indicators heading into this month?
The thing is the favorable indicators verified...Just on the Pacific side of things. That's always one of the possible outcomes with gyre set ups mjo Mjo Phase 1 can do either really. The persistent upper level ridge over the gulf and Southeast is also keeping things suppress to the South.
Presently, I don't see any favorable indicators in the EPAC.
Phase 8/1 can be either side of Central America. It doesn't favor the Western part of the EPac. Just that part shoved right against the continent If it weren't for the Gulf ridge it would come north. We've had ridging all summer and fall except for the 3 days Dorian was in the Bahamas.