2021 TCRs
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Hurricane2021
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Re: 2021 TCRs
zzh wrote:Mindy, Nora, Jimena are up
The NHC meteorologists are working just a little bit, apparently
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: 2021 TCRs
Hurricane2021 wrote:zzh wrote:Mindy, Nora, Jimena are up
The NHC meteorologists are working just a little bit, apparently
I mean, I'd have to imagine they are having a much better time with TCRs compared to the TCRs for the 2020 Atlantic season alone
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galaxy401
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Re: 2021 TCRs
Mindy got a big intensity bump. Went from 40 kts to 50. I remember when we were debating whether Mindy should have been upgraded in the first place.
That just leaves Ida, Rose, and Sam in the Atlantic and Hilda, Terra, and Sandra for the Pacific.
That just leaves Ida, Rose, and Sam in the Atlantic and Hilda, Terra, and Sandra for the Pacific.
Last edited by galaxy401 on Sat Mar 05, 2022 8:40 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: 2021 TCRs
galaxy401 wrote:Mindy got a big intensity bump. Went from 40 kts to 50. I remember when we were debating whether Mindy should have been upgraded in the first place.
That just leaves Ida and Sam in the Atlantic and Nora, Terra, and Sandra for the Pacific.
They like to save the best for last
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCRs
galaxy401 wrote:Mindy got a big intensity bump. Went from 40 kts to 50. I remember when we were debating whether Mindy should have been upgraded in the first place.
That just leaves Ida and Sam in the Atlantic and Nora, Terra, and Sandra for the Pacific.
Nora is up.
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galaxy401
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Re: 2021 TCRs
cycloneye wrote:galaxy401 wrote:Mindy got a big intensity bump. Went from 40 kts to 50. I remember when we were debating whether Mindy should have been upgraded in the first place.
That just leaves Ida and Sam in the Atlantic and Nora, Terra, and Sandra for the Pacific.
Nora is up.
Made an error, meant to say Hilda instead of Nora.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Hurricane2021
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Re: 2021 TCRs
galaxy401 wrote:cycloneye wrote:galaxy401 wrote:Mindy got a big intensity bump. Went from 40 kts to 50. I remember when we were debating whether Mindy should have been upgraded in the first place.
That just leaves Ida, Rose and Sam in the Atlantic and Nora, Terra, and Sandra for the Pacific.
Nora is up.
Made an error, meant to say Hilda instead of Nora.
Rose TCR wasnt published
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCRs
Hurricane Elsa report was updated to add the following:
The hurricane caused around $1 billion in
damage along its track and was responsible for 13 direct fatalities.
damage along its track and was responsible for 13 direct fatalities.
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galaxy401
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Re: 2021 TCRs
Terry got published. Intensity lowered to 35 kts. Hilda is now the only one left in the EPAC.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: 2021 TCRs
Does anybody have an idea or know when Ida and Sam's TCRs will be released?
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NotoSans
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Re: 2021 TCRs
Sam has been released. No upgrade to Cat.5.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182021_Sam.pdf
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182021_Sam.pdf
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: 2021 TCRs
NotoSans wrote:Sam has been released. No upgrade to Cat.5.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182021_Sam.pdf
Its hard to upgrade a hurricane to cat 5 if its controversial. Matthew without a doubt should be downgraded.
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Iceresistance
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Re: 2021 TCRs
InfernoFlameCat wrote:NotoSans wrote:Sam has been released. No upgrade to Cat.5.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182021_Sam.pdf
Its hard to upgrade a hurricane to cat 5 if its controversial. Matthew without a doubt should be downgraded.
Sam was a borderline case for a CAT 5, if Recon got there when it looked even better on Satellite, then maybe it could been a CAT 5, the NHC had terrible luck with Recon for Sam
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: 2021 TCRs
NotoSans wrote:Sam has been released. No upgrade to Cat.5.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182021_Sam.pdf
Now it’s pressure supports a Cat 5 upgrade even more. KCZ using 929mb yielded 137 kt IIRC.
C’mon guys, downgrade Matthew. It keeping its status gets more ridiculous every year that passes.
Fingers crossed we don’t get any recon train wrecks like Eta and Sam this year. Sam very likely being a Cat 5 but the NHC not extrapolating its peak by much is just like Eta.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: 2021 TCRs: Hurricane Sam is up / No upgrade to cat 5
I agree, Matthew will likely have to be downgraded to a 150 or 155 mph storm. Assuming that 934 mbar pressure holds up, it's sort of hard to imagine it was ever a Cat 5.
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: 2021 TCRs: Hurricane Sam is up / No upgrade to cat 5
Alas, we now find ourselves waiting for the signature storm from the 2021 Atlantic season:
Ida.
Ida.
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Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.
Re: 2021 TCRs: Hurricane Sam is up / No upgrade to cat 5
According to the NHC report, Sam had the longest duration of major hurricane intensity (7.75 days) since Ivan ‘04, and is tied for the ninth-highest MH duration of any storm in the Atlantic database. Very impressive. I’m doubtful we’ll see such a potent fish storm for a while.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: 2021 TCRs: Hurricane Sam is up / No upgrade to cat 5
Category5Kaiju wrote:I agree, Matthew will likely have to be downgraded to a 150 or 155 mph storm. Assuming that 934 mbar pressure holds up, it's sort of hard to imagine it was ever a Cat 5.
It was at 942mb when it was a cat 5.
But that further validates your point
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