AlphaToOmega wrote:skyline385 wrote:Category5Kaiju wrote:Judging by some of those plots, it looks like we may potentially be in for a hurricane season that is very Caribbean-focused. Not saying it will be like 2020 in that sense (that remains to be seen), but I do feel that this year may have the potential to have a highly favorable Caribbean, which aside from 2020 is something we have not really seen since...2008.
Yea almost all indicators this season seem to point to a Caribbean focused one.
A Western-based season is very likely. My analogs for 2022 are 1998, 2001, 2005, 2010, 2011, and 2020. Among those, 1998, 2001, 2005, and 2020 are heavily Western-based.
I was comparing monthly averaged SSTs and I dont think we are close to 2005 and 2010 levels, however, 2011 could be pretty close in terms of SST atleast.