Kingarabian wrote:Looks like a bogus GFS run at 18z GFS.
How so?
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Kingarabian wrote:Looks like a bogus GFS run at 18z GFS.
SoupBone wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Looks like a bogus GFS run at 18z GFS.
How so?
LarryWx wrote:0Z GFS hour 156 is the weakest in many runs regarding the lead AEW. Also, this is continuing a three run in a row trend toward weak. It seems like the GFS is giving into the Euro and other models regarding this AEW though I'm not 100% certain about this yet. Other opinions?
Update: The 0Z GFS has no TC in the entire basin through 240 and has the least activity since the 0Z 8/16 run.
LarryWx wrote:0Z GFS hour 156 is the weakest in many runs regarding the lead AEW. Also, this is continuing a three run in a row trend toward weak. It seems like the GFS is giving into the Euro and other models regarding this AEW though I'm not 100% certain about this yet. Other opinions?
Update: The 0Z GFS has no TC in the entire basin through 240 and has the least activity since the 0Z 8/16 run.
LarryWx wrote:0Z GEFS is still rather active near FL/Gulf very late month. fwiw.
0Z Euro: no TC entire run anywhere.
Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/q7NlaYe.png
06z GEFS still somewhat bullish...
Spacecoast wrote:LarryWx wrote:0Z GEFS is still rather active near FL/Gulf very late month. fwiw.
0Z Euro: no TC entire run anywhere.
For the last few GEFS runs, a significant number of members appear to originate NE of Venezuela (circled in red).
Are these related to the AEW wave (black), or are they a separate disturbance?
https://i.ibb.co/5nJHsLR/ce.jpg
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