Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
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- cycloneye
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Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
The majority of models have been showing this area but some try to develop only weak and others not. It has been an active January so far in Atlantic and EPAC with areas to watch.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
Models are no longer enthusiastic.
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
One day away
The models have been surprisingly enthusiastic about development in the Western Hemisphere recently.
The models have been surprisingly enthusiastic about development in the Western Hemisphere recently.
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
All three of the major models (GFS, ECMWF, and ICON) continue to show development despite the fact that the NHC sees no development in this area.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
A robust surface trough extends from 26N29W to 11N41W.
To the E of the trough, a large area of fresh to strong mainly E
winds dominate. These winds have generated swell that is causing
seas of 7 to 9 ft to reach as far W as around 40W. In addition, a
broad area of scattered moderate convection is noted from 17N to
26N between 22W and 34W. This trough and associated active weather
is expected to move W to NW over the next few days, before
weakening late in the week.
To the E of the trough, a large area of fresh to strong mainly E
winds dominate. These winds have generated swell that is causing
seas of 7 to 9 ft to reach as far W as around 40W. In addition, a
broad area of scattered moderate convection is noted from 17N to
26N between 22W and 34W. This trough and associated active weather
is expected to move W to NW over the next few days, before
weakening late in the week.
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
We are only six hours away, but the GFS and other models are still very enthused.
The NHC and Meteo-France are taking note of the system.
The NHC and Meteo-France are taking note of the system.
SPECIAL FEATURES
A strong 1017 mb low pressure that resides along a robust
surface trough extending from 28N27W to 12N41W is supporting
gale-force winds as of 15Z in the METEO-FRANCE forecast area of
CAPE VERDE. These winds have generated swell that is causing
seas of 7 to 9 ft to reach as far west as 40W. In addition, a
broad area of scattered moderate convection is observed on
satellite imagery from 17N to 28N, east of 36W to the W African
coast. The winds are forecast to diminish below gale-force at
25/0000 UTC. Please, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas
Forecast, that is on the website:
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-ma ... andlarge/m
etarea2 for more details.
A strong 1017 mb low pressure that resides along a robust
surface trough extending from 28N27W to 12N41W is supporting
gale-force winds as of 15Z in the METEO-FRANCE forecast area of
CAPE VERDE. These winds have generated swell that is causing
seas of 7 to 9 ft to reach as far west as 40W. In addition, a
broad area of scattered moderate convection is observed on
satellite imagery from 17N to 28N, east of 36W to the W African
coast. The winds are forecast to diminish below gale-force at
25/0000 UTC. Please, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas
Forecast, that is on the website:
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-ma ... andlarge/m
etarea2 for more details.
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
SPECIAL FEATURES
A strong 1014 mb low pressure that resides along a robust
surface trough extending from 29N28W to 12N40W is supporting
gale-force winds. These winds have generated swell that is
causing seas of 7 to 9 ft to reach as far west as 40W. In
addition, a broad area of scattered moderate convection is
observed on satellite imagery from 17N to 28N, east of 37W to
the W African coast. The winds are forecast to diminish below
gale-force at 25/0000 UTC. Please, refer to the Meteo-France
High Seas Forecast, that is on the website:
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-ma ... andlarge/m
etarea2 for more details.
A strong 1014 mb low pressure that resides along a robust
surface trough extending from 29N28W to 12N40W is supporting
gale-force winds. These winds have generated swell that is
causing seas of 7 to 9 ft to reach as far west as 40W. In
addition, a broad area of scattered moderate convection is
observed on satellite imagery from 17N to 28N, east of 37W to
the W African coast. The winds are forecast to diminish below
gale-force at 25/0000 UTC. Please, refer to the Meteo-France
High Seas Forecast, that is on the website:
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-ma ... andlarge/m
etarea2 for more details.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
cycloneye wrote:https://i.imgur.com/ckzcEE7.gif
I wonder why the NHC has not mentioned this in a Tropical Weather Outlook.
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
It's over 24C water and doesn't look very tropical?
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M a r k
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
Looks pretty decent right now. There seems to be a developing LLC with an associated blob of convection. Seems worthy of a STWO and a 30-50% chance of development, but its window is closing soon.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
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- cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
Is now a nice naked circulation.
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Re: Disturbed weather in East Atlantic
It got so close. Crazy that we’ve seen three attempts at TCG in the Western Hemisphere this month.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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