Low pressure inland over the Carolinas

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Will low pressure make transition to subtropical or not?

Poll ended at Mon May 09, 2022 7:40 am

Yes
11
34%
No
21
66%
 
Total votes: 32

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wxman57
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast / Will it make transition to Subtropical or not?

#21 Postby wxman57 » Mon May 09, 2022 9:54 am

I'd give it a 20% chance that the NHC will name it STS Alex by tomorrow. I'm fully expecting a special outlook to be issued today to cover it. No big deal, as impacts along the east coast will not change if it is named or not.
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast / Will it make transition to Subtropical or not?

#22 Postby NDG » Mon May 09, 2022 1:20 pm

This system has a long ways to get any subtropical characteristics, you can tell there is still a lot of cool continental air being drawn into the circulation with a frontal boundary still attached to the surface low.
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#23 Postby tropicwatch » Tue May 10, 2022 11:14 am

There is pretty good 925mb vorticity with this system. I think there is still a possibility for transition. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=vor5&zoom=&time=
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#24 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue May 10, 2022 11:45 am

One thing is for sure...it is cooling the waters in that area of the Atlantic by churning.
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#25 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 10, 2022 11:55 am

Low pressure moving south-southwest.

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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#26 Postby OuterBanker » Tue May 10, 2022 1:00 pm

Roads closed, ferries halted homes going in. Does it really matter if it becomes tropical. It does need to go away.

From national park service:

https://www.flickr.com/photos/capehatte ... /lightbox/
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#27 Postby tropicwatch » Tue May 10, 2022 1:10 pm

OuterBanker wrote:Roads closed, ferries halted homes going in. Does it really matter if it becomes tropical. It does need to go away.

From national park service:

https://www.flickr.com/photos/capehatte ... /lightbox/

For real, was that this week?
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#28 Postby OuterBanker » Tue May 10, 2022 1:13 pm

tropicwatch wrote:
OuterBanker wrote:Roads closed, ferries halted homes going in. Does it really matter if it becomes tropical. It does need to go away.

From national park service:

https://www.flickr.com/photos/capehatte ... /lightbox/

For real, was that this week?


This afternoon.
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#29 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 10, 2022 1:17 pm

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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#30 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 10, 2022 1:20 pm

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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#31 Postby wwizard » Tue May 10, 2022 3:32 pm

OuterBanker wrote:Roads closed, ferries halted homes going in. Does it really matter if it becomes tropical. It does need to go away.

From national park service:

https://www.flickr.com/photos/capehatte ... /lightbox/


Property destruction sucks, but man, if that's happening there with a non-tropical low, why are houses even being built there? What's that place going to look like when a hurricane comes barreling through?
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#32 Postby MGC » Tue May 10, 2022 6:00 pm

The Outer Banks are slowly moving westward. Houses built many years ago will eventually find themselves on the edge of the shore. The Hatteras Lighthouse had to be moved for the same reason.

Doubt this low get named, too broad with little convection near the center. Of course once it get over the gulfstream..........MGC
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#33 Postby tropicwatch » Wed May 11, 2022 3:05 pm

850mb vorticity is increasing but no convection.

https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8vor.GIF
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#34 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 11, 2022 7:03 pm

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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#35 Postby underthwx » Wed May 11, 2022 9:21 pm

Has the NHC made any mention of this system?
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#36 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 12, 2022 7:57 am

Closing on the coast.

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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#37 Postby Iceresistance » Thu May 12, 2022 10:45 am

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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#38 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Thu May 12, 2022 12:40 pm

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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#39 Postby Kingarabian » Thu May 12, 2022 12:49 pm

Maybe an early sign that the NHC is backing off on naming such systems? Not even a mention.
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Re: Low pressure off the SE U.S. Coast

#40 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu May 12, 2022 1:49 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Maybe an early sign that the NHC is backing off on naming such systems? Not even a mention.



One of the reasons I expect less named storms this season is because I suspect that is exactly what they're going to be doing. They'll use a standard closer to what they use in the eastern Pacific or eastern Atlantic. No more ten swirls with convection 500 miles away being named from this point forward. :lol:
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