Interesting Little Feature Northern GOM

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captainbarbossa19
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Re: Interesting Little Feature Northern GOM

#21 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Sat Jun 11, 2022 3:39 pm

skyline385 wrote:Think those MSLP readings dont mean much, there is a low over the entire Gulf right now

https://i.imgur.com/nMSjHc3.png


Right and pressure over land in many areas is lower than over water right now. Need to see the reverse for any development.
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skyline385
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Re: Interesting Little Feature Northern GOM

#22 Postby skyline385 » Sat Jun 11, 2022 3:42 pm

captainbarbossa19 wrote:
skyline385 wrote:Think those MSLP readings dont mean much, there is a low over the entire Gulf right now

https://i.imgur.com/nMSjHc3.png


Right and pressure over land in many areas is lower than over water right now. Need to see the reverse for any development.


Its actually over most of the continent lol

Image
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Teban54
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Re: Interesting Little Feature Northern GOM

#23 Postby Teban54 » Sat Jun 11, 2022 3:58 pm

Nederlander wrote:
TallyTracker wrote:I’ve seen quick spin up tropical storms from systems like this with little to no warning on occasion. Definitely something to keep an eye on though I doubt it will become more than a rain-maker for the northern Gulf Coast and Florida Peninsula.

Emily 2017 is a recent one. Went to work in the Tampa Area on a rainy day with little chance of development. By 9 am, a tropical storm was declared heading straight for me. Landfall occurred before noon as a 60 mph TS. Normally being under a TS Warning would have been a day off but it spun up so fast, my organization’s leadership had no time to react. By the time I went home Emily was a TD.


Humberto - 2007 for me. Came out of nowhere. It went from disorganized convection from a front to a 90mph hurricane in about 24 hours. Crazy..

Nicholas last year was very similar.
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Nimbus
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Re: Interesting Little Feature Northern GOM

#24 Postby Nimbus » Sat Jun 11, 2022 4:50 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:crossing over a bouy. it is a small mesovort but it is at the surface. pressure looks to be 1010 mb with background pressures elsewhere around 1014 to 1015.

Only needs to fire convection over that vort and it could spin up quick. though once off the SE coast it might have a better shot.

It could also stall in the NE gulf if it does pop some convection.


Still there after 8 hours worth watching the buoys.

Image[/img]
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