Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico (Is Invest 95L)
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- captainbarbossa19
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
So when will this thing get tagged? Will it happen when chances bump up into the medium range? It would be nice to have more models running on the system, especially since it is moving over water now and will be over it for days.
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Is the latest Euro trying to spin something up?
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
- Kingarabian
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Wampadawg wrote:Is the latest Euro trying to spin something up?
Attempts to deepen it over land
GFS
These two runs IMO say its worthy of a tag shortly.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
- captainbarbossa19
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Kingarabian wrote:Wampadawg wrote:Is the latest Euro trying to spin something up?
Attempts to deepen it over land
https://i.imgur.com/RtG1eFH.gif
GFS
https://i.imgur.com/K42TeVx.gif
These two runs IMO say its worthy of a tag shortly.
I'm wondering if the Euro is tightening the circulation due to land frictional forces?
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- Kingarabian
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Wampadawg wrote:Is the latest Euro trying to spin something up?
Attempts to deepen it over land
https://i.imgur.com/RtG1eFH.gif
GFS
https://i.imgur.com/K42TeVx.gif
These two runs IMO say its worthy of a tag shortly.
I'm wondering if the Euro is tightening the circulation due to land frictional forces?
Maybe but it tends to do this for some reason. Regardless, its 850mb vort structure is could be enough for a TD/low grade TS.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
- Clearcloudz
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
18z ICON let’s just say bullish on development
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
- Clearcloudz
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Wampadawg wrote:
Perhaps we see a % move ,we shall see
Looks like the models are starting to get on the same page
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Wampadawg wrote:Wampadawg wrote:
Perhaps we see a % move ,we shall see
Looks like the models are starting to get on the same page
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Wampadawg wrote:Wampadawg wrote:Wampadawg wrote:
Perhaps we see a % move ,we shall see
Looks like the models are starting to get on the same page
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... watl_9.png
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Tail end of the cold front hasn't made it into the gulf yet, so we don't know exactly how far west it might form..
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- Clearcloudz
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
18Z GFS continuing the trend of southwest motion and then slowing down and turning northeast.
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Clearcloudz wrote:18Z GFS continuing the trend of southwest motion and then slowing down and turning northeast.
https://i.imgur.com/uiOdamG.gif
Bring the rain! Just bring it! We need it!
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
00Z still has mad love for Houston lol
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Harvey,Hanna,Beta,Texas Winter storm2021,Nicholas
- Kingarabian
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Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
It's going to sound crazy but there's a chance that this system weakens the ridge enough that 94l in a hurricane form, lifts north and enters the GOM.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
Re: Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico
Kingarabian wrote:It's going to sound crazy but there's a chance that this system weakens the ridge enough that 94l in a hurricane form, lifts north and enters the GOM.
That is what I was wondering, I saw the yellow which usually means a surface low developing within five days.
But 94L is still in the Caribbean when this lifts back north into Texas.
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