Teban54 wrote:NDG wrote:My thinking is that they will at least leave the same if not reduce numbers, I can see some that forecasted ACE closer to 180 reducing them to the low to mid 100s.
That's what I'm thinking as well. Pretty much nobody is expecting a 200 ACE season anymore (though you never know), but I haven't seen concrete evidence that would point to a 120-130 ACE season like some suggest. That would be even less than 2018/19/21, when this year's overall conditions still seem more favorable than the batch.
I said this a few days ago and still think that CSU will go for something between 140-160. The CSU forecast talks in detail about the factors contributing to their numbers and many of them have trended back since June.