2022 TCRs

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

2022 TCRs

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 31, 2022 1:05 pm

It has been a lackluster season so far for the North Atlantic but active for EPAC. Let's see how many TC reports are up when all is said and done. So far as of 8/31/22, no reports are up.

North Atlantic

Tropical Storm Alex --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL012022_Alex.pdf

Hurricane Bonnie --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL022 ... Bonnie.pdf

Tropical Storm Colin --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032022_Colin.pdf

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042022_PTC4.pdf

Hurricane Danielle --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL052022_Danielle.pdf

Hurricane Earl --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL062022_Earl.pdf

Hurricane Fiona --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072022_Fiona.pdf

Tropical Storm Gaston --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL082022_Gaston.pdf

Hurricane Ian --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL092022_Ian.pdf

Tropical Storm Hermine --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL102022_Hermine.pdf

Tropical Depression Eleven --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL112022_Eleven.pdf

Tropical Depression Twelve --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL122022_Twelve.pdf

Hurricane Julia --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL132 ... _Julia.pdf

Tropical Storm Karl --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL142022_Karl.pdf

Hurricane Lisa --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152022_Lisa.pdf

Hurricane Martin --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL162022_Martin.pdf

Hurricane Nicole --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL172022_Nicole.pdf


Eastern Pacific

Hurricane Agatha --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012022_Agatha.pdf

Hurricane Blas --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP022022_Blas.pdf

Tropical Storm Celia --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032022_Celia.pdf

Hurricane Bonnie --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL022 ... Bonnie.pdf

Hurricane Darby --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP052022_Darby.pdf

Hurricane Estelle --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP062022_Estelle.pdf

Hurricane Frank --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP072022_Frank.pdf

Tropical Storm Georgette --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP082 ... rgette.pdf

Hurricane Howard --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP092022_Howard.pdf

Tropical Storm Ivette --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP102022_Ivette.pdf

Tropical Storm Javier --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP112022_Javier.pdf

Hurricane Kay--- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP122022_Kay.pdf

Tropical Storm Lester --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP132022_Lester.pdf

Tropical Storm Madeline --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP142022_Madeline.pdf

Tropical Storm Newton --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP152022_Newton.pdf

Hurricane Orlene --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP162022_Orlene.pdf

Tropical Storm Paine --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP172022_Paine.pdf

Hurricane Rosyln --- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP192022_Roslyn.pdf



.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's

#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 06, 2022 12:37 pm

I guess in the next 2 to 3 weeks, they will start to release reports.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Hurricane2022
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 876
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
Location: Araçatuba, Brazil

Re: 2022 TCR's

#3 Postby Hurricane2022 » Thu Oct 06, 2022 3:16 pm

I thought the First TCR of the year was out today. But I was disappointed because it was just a simple post above :lol: :roll:
1 likes   
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
Sorry for the bad English sometimes!!!

Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: 2022 TCR's

#4 Postby Category5Kaiju » Thu Oct 06, 2022 3:17 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:I thought the First TCR of the year was out today. But I was disappointed because it was just a simple post above :lol: :roll:


Well, the big bad ones like Fiona and Ian will not get done until well into 2023 I'd have to assume
1 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's

#5 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 06, 2022 3:30 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:I thought the First TCR of the year was out today. But I was disappointed because it was just a simple post above :lol: :roll:


It was a bump to this thread. :D
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's: TS Alex / Hurricane Blas / Hurricane Frank are up

#6 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 26, 2022 4:06 pm

Finnally the first 2022 reports are up. Alex for NATL and Blas/Frank for EPAC. Peak intensity for Alex was 60kt. For Blas it was 75kt and for Hurricane Frank was 80kt.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2297
Age: 28
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: 2022 TCR's

#7 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Oct 28, 2022 2:01 pm

Is this the latest the first reports were published? Usually the first one is done by September.

Blas was lowered from its 80kt initial intensity.
0 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's

#8 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 28, 2022 2:07 pm

galaxy401 wrote:Is this the latest the first reports were published? Usually the first one is done by September.

Blas was lowered from its 80kt initial intensity.


I think so. I made this thread on August 31rst thinking they would start the release in early September however, I think they were very busy with three big ones Danielle, Earl and Fiona in the first 2 weeks and after that, IAN came.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's update: PTC #4 / Tropical Storm Celia are up

#9 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 02, 2022 11:03 am

Tropical Storm Celia peak intensity was 50kt.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8029
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: 2022 TCR's update: PTC #4 / Tropical Storm Celia are up

#10 Postby aspen » Wed Nov 02, 2022 5:00 pm

cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Celia peak intensity was 50kt.

That doesn’t make sense. It developed a full blown eye later in its life…and the NHC downgrades it?
1 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8887
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: 2022 TCR's update: PTC #4 / Tropical Storm Celia are up

#11 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 02, 2022 5:53 pm

aspen wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Celia peak intensity was 50kt.

That doesn’t make sense. It developed a full blown eye later in its life…and the NHC downgrades it?

They mentioned that despite the improved satellite presentation, the Microwave and ASCAT passes showed a broad, sprawling structure and lacked a well-defined inner core.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's

#12 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 03, 2022 12:29 pm

I am waiting here in PR for the Fiona report to see if it was a hurricane before NHC classified it at 11 AM EDT on September 18.

Image
4 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's: Tropical Storm Georgette is up

#13 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 15, 2022 10:26 am

TS Georgette is up and the peak intensity was 50kt.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's

#14 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 17, 2022 4:52 pm

At this pace, the last report will be up by late Spring or early Summer. :D Looking back, the first 2020 report was on September 18 and the first 2021 report was on July 2.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's

#15 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 18, 2022 11:00 am

Colin was due as it was very short lived. Peak was 35 kt.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's: Hurricane Estelle is up

#16 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 22, 2022 12:30 pm

Hurricane Estelle is up with peak intensity of 75kt on July 17.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's

#17 Postby cycloneye » Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:26 pm

The TS Colin report was updated about the damage and casualtie.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's: Hurricane Agatha is up

#18 Postby cycloneye » Tue Dec 06, 2022 5:45 pm

Hurricane Agatha peak intensity was at 95 kt.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012022_Agatha.pdf

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8887
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: 2022 TCR's: Hurricane Agatha is up

#19 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Dec 06, 2022 6:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:Hurricane Agatha peak intensity was at 95 kt.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012022_Agatha.pdf

https://i.imgur.com/iOOtxg4.jpg

Agatha was likely just shy of category 3, had she had more time over water, she would have been a 3 at landfall.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2022 TCR's: TD Eleven / TS Madeline are up

#20 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 16, 2022 10:56 am

Tropical Depression Eleven and Tropical Storm Madeline are up. Madeline had peak intensity at 55kt.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP142022_Madeline.pdf

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 40 guests