Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands (Is Invest 95L)

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Nimbus
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#21 Postby Nimbus » Tue Sep 06, 2022 5:19 pm

Lots of disorganized convection at low latitude, could easily spin up and hopefully follow Earl OTS but if it just drifts west without organizing quick enough the mid Atlantic ridge could return.
60% and holding.
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#22 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 06, 2022 6:43 pm

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near the Cabo Verde
Islands extending southwestward several hundred miles in association
with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are
conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form in a few days while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#23 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Sep 06, 2022 7:14 pm

Surprised it is not an invest yet.
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#24 Postby AnnularCane » Tue Sep 06, 2022 7:49 pm

tropicwatch wrote:Surprised it is not an invest yet.



Apparently this might be 95L but I am reluctant to consider it official until they lock the thread. I've been fooled in the past.
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#25 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 06, 2022 8:08 pm

Still no invest until it is here.
https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/?C=M;O=D
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#26 Postby AnnularCane » Tue Sep 06, 2022 8:34 pm

cycloneye wrote:Still no invest until it is here.
https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/?C=M;O=D



Yeah, I should have known, but it looked a little official, sort of.

From now on only cycloneye posts the invest threads! 8-)
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#27 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 06, 2022 8:36 pm

AnnularCane wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Still no invest until it is here.
https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/?C=M;O=D



Yeah, I should have known, but it looked a little official, sort of.

From now on only cycloneye posts the invest threads! 8-)


No. Anyone can start invest threads as long they have the link I posted above. :D
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#28 Postby Teban54 » Tue Sep 06, 2022 10:49 pm

Image
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Re: Tropical Wave Near the Cabo Verde Islands

#29 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 07, 2022 3:34 am

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