How many named storms will form in October?
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- cycloneye
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How many named storms will form in October?
Here is the October poll of how many named storms will form in the month. Poll will close for voting on September 30th at 7:59 PM EDT.
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
First vote. I chose 4.
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- Category5Kaiju
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
This is going to be quite an interesting month. Given it's a La Nina year and that there's no Atlantic Nino in play, I'm thinking 5 as a very bullish estimate. Yeah I might sound crazy, but we've certainly had a handful of October-loaded La Nina years in the past, and with the very warm W. Atlantic (maybe a storm or two in the subtropics)...who knows?
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
I’m going the complete opposite as Cat5 and being super bearish: zero storms after September. The VP forecast looks awful for the middle of October, with a sinking branch over the Atlantic and Africa, and rising air over the EPac and Central America. Plus, why would things improve late in ASO when it’s nearly peak climo and the Atlantic is the least favorable it’s been since the 90s?
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Going with a more realistic 3-6 storms (voted 4) rather than the absolute season cancel that seems to be in fashion lately
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- cycloneye
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Voted 4. I expect Western Caribbean and GOM activity in the month.
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Voted 3. October is tricky, the W-Carib usual culprit but it's not delivered much so far in early season. Late season fronts with the changing seasons might generate one or two.
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Going with 3 this time around. Slightly above average for the month.
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- CFLHurricane
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Three storms will form- though none of them will be of any consequence as the season limps towards an ignominious close.
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- CyclonicFury
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Voted 3. I think October will be more active than last year. I think we'll see at least one hurricane, possibly becoming a major. Might be the "big one" - I don't agree with the idea that Earl was the Atlantic's only chance at a major hurricane.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
I went with 3 with one of them being a major
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
I voted for 2 storms.
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
One. It’ll be a short lived weak subtropics storm that’s insignificant as the rest of the season.
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- Audrey2Katrina
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Voted three on the prospects of the Caribbean and GOM as points that often get storms in October. It's been a crazy season... still no major and now even Earl may "barely" make Cat 3... for a short while... season didn't pan out to what many/most expected, but October may hold a few surprises.. frankly I hope not... those Caribbean and GOM systems tend to wreak havoc on my state.
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- REDHurricane
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Okay, nobody else vote for 6 or more so I will either look like the smartest or dumbest person here
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- Old-TimeCane
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
I chose 4.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
I haven't decided yet, depends on peak season.
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Voted 4, but my gut tells there may be 5. If these systems will be the quality storms of the season, we’ll see.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Category5Kaiju
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Re: How many named storms will form in October?
Looks like we could be in for a classic busy La Nina October. The switch almost certainly has flipped.
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Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.
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