2023 Cyclone Retirement (Poll Included at Top)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

Will Any Storm Be Retired After the 2023 Season?

Poll ended at Thu Nov 30, 2023 8:40 pm

Yes
31
72%
No
12
28%
 
Total votes: 43

Message
Author
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8887
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

2023 Cyclone Retirement (Poll Included at Top)

#1 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Jan 08, 2023 10:35 am

Surprised that no one else started this, so I guess it can start here.


Which systems will get the boot from being used again this year?
2 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#2 Postby Category5Kaiju » Sun Jan 08, 2023 10:41 am

At least one tropical cyclone in the Southern Hemisphere will get its name retired. :D

At least one typhoon will get its name retired. There will also be at least one super typhoon somewhere at some point. :D

I have a moderate level of confidence that 2023 will be just like the past 8 years in the Atlantic, with at least one destructive Category 4 or Category 5 storm that gets its name retired.

I'm a bit unsure about the EPAC and the Northern Indian Ocean. Those are the genuine wild cards, as some years they can feature destructive storms while others years they are very tame.
0 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.

User avatar
JetFuel_SE
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 253
Age: 24
Joined: Thu Apr 30, 2020 3:57 pm

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#3 Postby JetFuel_SE » Mon Mar 13, 2023 10:48 am

Gabrielle will probably get retired from the Australian lists for being the costliest storm in NZ history.
Freddy might just get the boot from the longevity alone.
0 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8887
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#4 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:36 pm

JetFuel_SE wrote:Gabrielle will probably get retired from the Australian lists for being the costliest storm in NZ history.
Freddy might just get the boot from the longevity alone.

John was not retired because of how long he lasted, Freddy was very damaging compared to John.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
JetFuel_SE
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 253
Age: 24
Joined: Thu Apr 30, 2020 3:57 pm

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#5 Postby JetFuel_SE » Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:54 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
JetFuel_SE wrote:Gabrielle will probably get retired from the Australian lists for being the costliest storm in NZ history.
Freddy might just get the boot from the longevity alone.

John was not retired because of how long he lasted, Freddy was very damaging compared to John.

Then again, the BoM has a tendency to retire storms for pretty much any reason.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33391
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#6 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Mar 17, 2023 9:03 pm

Bold prediction: Idalia goes one-and-done.
6 likes   

Torino
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 83
Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:34 am

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#7 Postby Torino » Fri Apr 14, 2023 10:12 am

Australia will probably retire the names Freddy, Gabrielle and Ilsa.
7 likes   

Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#8 Postby Category5Kaiju » Fri Apr 14, 2023 1:46 pm

Yeah, Ilsa is looking like a pretty good candidate for retirement. Freddy, despite not impacting Australia, is definitely going to be gone after what it did to Madagascar and Mozambique (not to mention its sheer impressiveness and longevity made it a record-book cyclone anyways).
1 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.

Torino
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 83
Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:34 am

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#9 Postby Torino » Wed May 31, 2023 10:08 am

Mawar is likely to be the first typhoon name retired of this season.
0 likes   

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2297
Age: 28
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#10 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Aug 10, 2023 11:30 am

So is there a chance that Dora faces retirement? While it's not having any direct impacts I wonder how much blame will be put on Dora for those horrible fires in Maui since it was a cause of it.
0 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#11 Postby Category5Kaiju » Thu Aug 10, 2023 11:32 am

galaxy401 wrote:So is there a chance that Dora faces retirement? While it's not having any direct impacts I wonder how much blame will be put on Dora for those horrible fires in Maui since it was a cause of it.


I was kind of wondering too; the only thing is is it well known enough that the fires would be associated with the name "Dora?"

Would be interesting to see as Dora is also a retired Atlantic hurricane name
0 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.

User avatar
NotSparta
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1644
Age: 22
Joined: Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:24 am
Location: Naples, FL
Contact:

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#12 Postby NotSparta » Fri Aug 11, 2023 12:25 pm

galaxy401 wrote:So is there a chance that Dora faces retirement? While it's not having any direct impacts I wonder how much blame will be put on Dora for those horrible fires in Maui since it was a cause of it.


It was too small to have much of an effect, that was mostly other factors that happened to line up with Dora. Minor effects, yes, but the fires probably would have still been bad without it
0 likes   
This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.

My website, with lots of tropical wx graphics, including satellite and recon: http://cyclonicwx.com

Torino
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 83
Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:34 am

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#13 Postby Torino » Fri Aug 11, 2023 8:27 pm

Dora probably won't get retired, but Doksuri most likely will.
0 likes   

Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#14 Postby Category5Kaiju » Tue Aug 22, 2023 5:51 pm

I think Hilary's memorable, strange, and impactful track sending it over California makes it perhaps among the strongest cases for EPAC name retirement in recent times
1 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.

Astromanía
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 735
Age: 25
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 10:34 pm
Location: Monterrey, N.L, México

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#15 Postby Astromanía » Tue Aug 22, 2023 6:16 pm

Hilary will be probably retired, just for the fact it stayed as tropical storm when it reached the US state of California even thou her impact was much worse in Mexico
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33391
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#16 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 22, 2023 8:58 pm

Astromanía wrote:Hilary will be probably retired, just for the fact it stayed as tropical storm when it reached the US state of California even thou her impact was much worse in Mexico


The flooding and mudslides were quite severe though.
0 likes   

Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#17 Postby Category5Kaiju » Mon Aug 28, 2023 9:49 am

Not a big surprise here I guess, but I think preliminary talks of yet another I name being retired may need to begin...

I think Imogen, Ivy, and Indira still continue to be among the top possible replacement female I names. It's also something recent for me personally, but I also met a girl in my workplace whose name was Inessa (first time I met a person with that name too). Inessa could also work as a replacement I name imho.
1 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.

Torino
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 83
Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:34 am

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#18 Postby Torino » Mon Aug 28, 2023 9:57 am

Ilse, Ivana, Ina, Ilene, Isa, Inga, Irina...
Indira sounds like a good one.
0 likes   

NorthieStangl
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 65
Age: 38
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2020 2:22 am
Location: Conyers, Georgia, United States
Contact:

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#19 Postby NorthieStangl » Wed Aug 30, 2023 1:36 pm

This is utterly ridiculous! From Irene in 2011 to Irma to Idalia to likely yet another new I name in 2029!

I'm iffy on Hilary. It is comparable to Nora in 1997 which didn't get retired despite directly affecting the Colorado River basin in California and Arizona as a tropical storm. Surely, Hilary was worse because it affected a heavily populated area but the USA has an unwritten $10 billion retirement requirement (the last USA storm to get retired with less than a $10 billion tag was Gustav way back in 2008) and Hilary definitely wouldn't meet that threshold, and it only caused 2 fatalities in Mexico.
2 likes   
Alberto 1994 Opal 1995 Jeanne 2004 Cindy & Dennis 2005 Irma 2017 Michael 2018 Zeta 2020

SconnieCane
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 913
Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:29 pm
Location: Madison, WI

Re: 2023 Cyclone Retirement

#20 Postby SconnieCane » Wed Aug 30, 2023 2:31 pm

I'm no longer sure Idalia is a lock for retirement, given its landfall in such an unpopulated location and weakening just before landfall.

Of course, information from many affected areas has yet to come to light but so far it seems comparable to Hurricane Sally of 2020, which was not retired despite heavy, but "sub-catastrophic" (compared to something on the level of, say, Ian, Katrina, Andrew, Irma, Maria, Dorian, even Michael) impacts.
1 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 48 guests