2023 Tropical Waves

[cycloneye]

Waves at 12:05 UTC on 7/26/23.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26W, south
of 19N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 07N to 15N and between 24W-28W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 45W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 06N to 12N and between 40W and 45W.

A eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 69W, south
of 20N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
and gusty winds are occurring across the eastern Caribbean Sea
between 64W-70W.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 18:05 UTC on 7/27/23.

An central Atlantic tropical wave is near 34W from 19N southward,
and moving west around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 15N between 27W and 36W.

A western Atlantic tropical waves is near 53W from 18N southward,
and moving west around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
seen from 04N to 15N between 45W and 53W.

A strong central Caribbean tropical wave is near 77W from near
Jamaica southward to near the Panama-Colombia border. It is moving
west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are observed from 13N to the southern coast of eastern Cuba and
Hispaniola.

[abajan]

Waves at 0605 UTC on 7/28/23, based on 0000 UTC surface analysis:

A central Atlantic tropical wave is located near 38W from 03N to
19N, moving west at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is observed from 06N to 16N between 30W and 48W.

A western Atlantic tropical wave is located near 58W from 03N to
19N moving west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A robust tropical wave in the central Caribbean is located near
80W from 04N to 20N moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 11N to
20N between 77W and 84W.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 12:05 UTC on 7/29/23.

A tropical wave located with axis along 44W is accompanied by a
broad area of low pressure to the east of it. These features
continue to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers from
12N-18N between 43W-50W. Environmental conditions are expected to
be favorable for gradual development of this system during the
next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early
next week while the disturbance moves west- northwestward at about
15 kt. This tropical wave has a low chance of developing into a
tropical cyclone through the next 48 hours.

A Caribbean tropical wave is located near 72W from 03N to 19N
moving west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted
with this wave at this time.

A tropical wave in the western Caribbean extends its axis along 87W
from the Gulf of Honduras across Central America and into the far
eastern Pacific, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection prevails S of 19N and W of 84W.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 12:05 UTC on 7/30/23.

A tropical wave is analyzed in the eastern Atlantic with axis
along 23W from the equator to 19N, moving westward at 10-15 kt.
Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis N of 10N.

A tropical wave extends its axis along 56W from 03N-19N, moving W
at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis N of
13N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave extends its axis along 77W and
S of 20N, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted along the southern portion of the wave currently moving
over NW Colombia.

The far northern extent of a tropical wave is over the Bay
of Campeche, SE Mexico, and central America located near 94W
south of 20N, moving west at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is in the Bay of Campeche south of 20N west of 92W.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 18:05 UTC on 7/31/23.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave extends along 32W from 04N to
20N moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 08N to 12N between 26W and 31W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave extends along 64/65W from 03N
to 18N moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 15N to 18N between 57W and 67W including the
northern Leeward Islands.

A western Caribbean tropical wave extends along 84W, south of 21N
moving west at around 15 kt. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are noted near the wave axis in the NW Caribbean.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 18:05 UTC on 8/1/23.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave extends along 25W from 07N to
21N, moving west at around 15 kt. No significant convection is
observed near this wave due to the presence of dry Saharan dust.

A central Atlantic tropical wave extends along 44W from 03N to
19N, moving west at 20-25 kt. No significant convection is
observed near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave extends along 73W from Haiti
to Colombia, moving west at around 15 kt. No significant
convection is observed near this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave over SE Mexico and central
America extends along 80W, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is observed in the Gulf of Honduras.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 12:05 UTC on 8/2/23.

A new tropical wave has been added to the analysis just off the
coast of Africa along 18W from 05N to 15N, moving W around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07.5N to 12N between
16W and 22.5W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 30W from 08N to 23N,
moving west around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen
from 06N to 12N between 28W and 35W. The portion of the wave north
of 12N is embedded within very dry Saharan dust.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 49W from 06N to 22N,
moving west at 15 kt. Dry Saharan dust north of 10N at low to mid
levels is hindering any significant convection near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 77/78W from just east
of Jamaica southward to near the Panama-Colombia border. It is
moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Numerous moderate scattered strong
convection is noted south of 11N between 76W and 80W, where the
wave intersects the east Pacific monsoon trough. Small areas of
showers and tstorms are also seen off southwestern Jamaica and in
the Windward Passage.

A tropical wave along 93W extends from the Pacific Ocean northward
across southern Mexico to 21N in the Bay of Campeche. The tropical
wave is moving W at 15 kt. Isolated showers and tstorms are seen
south of 22N and west of 92W.

[GCANE]

Formidable convection with the wave at 25W
So far, staying south of the heavy SAL and in a pocket of low shear.

[cycloneye]

[abajan]

Formidable convection with the wave at 25W
So far, staying south of the heavy SAL and in a pocket of low shear.

Formidable convection indeed. The circulation is very evident too. I would even go so far as to say it looks like a tropical depression!

[Teban54]

Formidable convection with the wave at 25W
So far, staying south of the heavy SAL and in a pocket of low shear.

Formidable convection indeed. The circulation is very evident too. I would even go so far as to say it looks like a tropical depression!

https://images2.imgbox.com/8d/c7/rwmncITB_o.gif

https://images2.imgbox.com/0a/1d/2Kl4fYi6_o.gif

https://images2.imgbox.com/4a/52/9hvsZWzR_o.gif

I've seen many named storms that look way worse than this.

[zzzh]

ASCAT shows a monsoon trough.

[zzzh]

The wave in front of it (near 35W) already has a closed circulation lol, though still elongated.

[abajan]

Still looks impressive this morning:

[GCANE]

Still looks impressive this morning:

https://images2.imgbox.com/af/88/UoMhYkdz_o.gif

Chuggin along.
High-helicity, rotating hot towers.
I am a little surprised no lemon yet

[cycloneye]

Waves at 12:05 UTC on 8/3/23.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 23W from 05N to 17N, moving
W at 15 kt. Nearby convection is described below.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 37W from 07N to 22N,
moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Nearby convection is described below.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 55W from 06N to 22N,
moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is noted
from 05N to 12N between 47W and 59W.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 83/84W from 20N
southward to the Panama/Costa Rica border, moving W at 15 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated tstorms are seen from 14N to 19N
between 81W and 87W.

A tropical wave is moving through the western Bay of Campeche
along 96W from 21N southward through southern Mexico to the
Pacific Ocean, moving W at 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted in the southwestern Bay of Campeche,
south of 22N and west of 94W.

[cycloneye]

No doubt it has a good rotation.

[abajan]

Link: https://youtu.be/agAoPc6cBpc

[abajan]

Mark Sudduth starts talking about the wave of interest 8 minutes and 55 seconds into the following video.



Link: https://youtu.be/_RCA8gi_E3I