Poll: How many named storms will form in August?

[cycloneye]

Ok gang. Here is the August poll about how many named storms will form in the month and the members will have plenty of time to cast the vote as the poll will close on August 1 at 12:06 AM EDT. Let's see if this poll gets a lot of votes.

[Hurricane2022]

I voted for five storms. One of these systems will be a surprise powerful hurricane near/over Bahamas

[weeniepatrol]

Went with three

Really difficult to guess

[cycloneye]

Went with three

Really difficult to guess

Dont worrie because you can change the vote on the final 5 days as I will edit it to allow the members to change votes.

[CFLHurricane]

While August is the traditional kickoff for peak hurricane season, the party doesn’t really get started until around the 20th so I tempered my prediction to just a measly 4 storms. I think we’ll have a couple weak disturbances in the first half of the month, followed by two hurricanes in the second half.

[ElectricStorm]

Going with 3 for now, with two of them after 8/20

May decide to increase that as we get closer

[HurakaYoshi]

I'm a bit split between three or four, but I'll go with three for now.

[LarryWx]

- Average # Aug storms since 1995: 4
- Average # Aug storms during 8 El Nino since 1995: 3
- Only 2 of the 8 El Nino since 1995 had 4+ Aug storms. I don't think this will be the 3rd.
- Average # Aug storms for 11 El Nino 1968-1994: 2 but that's before the very active 1995+ era

So, my initial pick is 3 storms with TCG in August.

[tolakram]

Two

[chaser1]

I went with 5 NS. I'm guessing that most of them will form in the MDR and recurve well east of 60W, with a possible exception of some W GOM home-grown spin up

[Old-TimeCane]

I'm going with three. I think it'll start cranking during the second half of the month.

[wxman57]

I started to select "none", but that would be wishcasting. I picked four. Hoping for a quieter August.

[FireRat]

Picked 4, I think this season may have August as its primetime as opposed to last year which had a dead August. Two of these 4 systems could be hurricanes including one major. Northeast Caribbean could be the spot to watch IMO. Hoping that we get fish storms!

[Category5Kaiju]

Going with 4 here.

Either Emily, Franklin, Gert, and Harold, or Franklin, Gert, Harold, and Idalia.

[CyclonicFury]

Voted three. Don't think it will be a super active month due to the upward motion mainly being in the Pacific, but I still expect it to be much more active than the no-show of August 2022. Wouldn't be surprised to see a major hurricane late in the month, but not before that.

[cycloneye]

[list=][/list]Time is running out to vote on this poll that closes on August 1 at 12:06 AM EDT. For those who voted and may want to change the vote to another option, edited the poll to allow that.

[ncforecaster89]

I anticipate an August equivalent of 3/2/1. Thus, I selected “three” for named storm development. Activity picking up around mid-month with the one MH in the latter portion of August.

[LarryWx]

If a system becomes a TD on 7/31 and a TS on 8/1, is that counted for this purpose as July or August? Also, does the new day start at 00Z?

[cycloneye]

If a system becomes a TD on 7/31 and a TS on 8/1, is that counted for this purpose as July or August? Also, does the new day start at 00Z?

If something forms today and turns into a TS tommorow, it counts as a July storm formation. I prefer to have midnight EDT as the start of another day to not confuse people,instead of the 00z or 8 PM.

[AtlanticWind]

Went with 3 , maybe a little low
Expecting a bigger September