Poll: What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecasts?

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What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecast?

Poll ended at Mon Jul 31, 2023 11:52 am

Raise the numbers
0
No votes
Leave them the same
21
68%
Reduce the numbers
10
32%
 
Total votes: 31

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cycloneye
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Poll: What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecasts?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 18, 2023 11:52 am

Important this question as the next batch of updated forecasts will be up in early August. The poll will close for voting on July 31rst at 12:52 PM EDT.
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Re: Poll: What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecasts?

#2 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Jul 18, 2023 12:31 pm

I think they will reduce the numbers a little. If this season ends above average, it will probably be close to the numbers predicted by TSR.
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Re: Poll: What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecasts?

#3 Postby CFLHurricane » Tue Jul 18, 2023 1:06 pm

I predicted they’ll leave them at be due to the uncertainty created by a super hot Atlantic during and super El Niño.
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Re: Poll: What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecasts?

#4 Postby chaser1 » Tue Jul 18, 2023 7:57 pm

CFLHurricane wrote:I predicted they’ll leave them at be due to the uncertainty created by a super hot Atlantic during and super El Niño.


Ditto, what CFL said. They'll be "holding-pat", as if sitting in some smokey cloud filled room that lacks ventilation or even adequately cool air.... All huddled around some small table that incessantly teeters regardless how many packs of sweet & low have been shoved under one or more bum table legs, holding their drawn cards close to the vest in one hand, while nervously eyeing the most recent Pacific SST's & ENSO update on their cell phone in the other. Beads of sweat begin to form followed by some twitching by a few - a few poorly concealed sideway glances by yet a few others. ALL of them
holding their collective breaths hoping, in fact praying that "someone else" will be the first to lower their seasonal tropical cyclone forecast first. Their anxiety is palpable but no one budges. Not yet anyway. Not until its too late. :sick:
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Re: Poll: What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecasts?

#5 Postby MHC Tracking » Wed Jul 19, 2023 5:47 am

CFLHurricane wrote:I predicted they’ll leave them at be due to the uncertainty created by a super hot Atlantic during and super El Niño.

This isn't (and won't be) a Super El Nino, but I agree that they will leave them as is (as they should)
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Re: Poll: What will the Agencies and Experts do in their early August forecasts?

#6 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 31, 2023 11:09 pm

Leave the numbers the same was the ample winner of this poll.
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