Poll: How many named storms will form in September?

[cycloneye]

Ok peeps. Here is the September poll that will close on the 1rst at Midnight EDT.

[Category5Kaiju]

Going to go with 4. I also think that the strongest storm of the season, a 155 mph Category 4 hurricane or a 160+ mph Category 5 hurricane, will occur then.

[cycloneye]

Voted for the option Six or more because of the Aussies outlook of no El Niño declaration by them. Will edit the poll as I have done in the past ones, to allow the members to change their vote, but that will occur from August 25th.

[ConvergenceZone]

I'll go with 1 storm in September. I don't think there will be any in August, except maybe a depression or two possibly, but I think we will get 1 storm in September. I just don't think this year will be very active, just a gut feeling, mostly due to the fairly strong El nino. That's fine, we need a break after the last few years

[Category5Kaiju]

I'll go with 1 storm in September. I don't think there will be any in August, except maybe a depression or two possibly, but I think we will get 1 storm in September. I just don't think this year will be very active, just a gut feeling, mostly due to the fairly strong El nino. That's fine, we need a break after the last few years

I don't even think 2015, which was a Super El Nino year with cooler sst anomalies in the deep tropics, was that inactive

[dexterlabio]

I'll go with 1 storm in September. I don't think there will be any in August, except maybe a depression or two possibly, but I think we will get 1 storm in September. I just don't think this year will be very active, just a gut feeling, mostly due to the fairly strong El nino. That's fine, we need a break after the last few years

I don't even think 2015, which was a Super El Nino year with cooler sst anomalies in the deep tropics, was that inactive

2015 ACE in the Atlantic is 68% of the yearly average.

[wxman57]

I voted "none". Perhaps a little hopecasting.

Ha! Instead of "hope" I typed "wish" and my post was changed to "Perhaps a little (stop trolling)"

I'd like to see the season end at 5/1/0

Let's see what happens:

wishcasting wishcasting wishcasting

[ElectricStorm]

Going with 5 for now, with 2 of those being majors

[ConvergenceZone]

I voted "none". Perhaps a little hopecasting.

Ha! Instead of "hope" I typed "wish" and my post was changed to "Perhaps a little (stop trolling)"

I'd like to see the season end at 5/1/0

Let's see what happens:

(stop trolling) (stop trolling) (stop trolling)

I voted "none". Perhaps a little hopecasting.

Ha! Instead of "hope" I typed "wish" and my post was changed to "Perhaps a little (stop trolling)"

I'd like to see the season end at 5/1/0

Let's see what happens:

(stop trolling) (stop trolling) (stop trolling)

Your prediction could come true. There's always going to be a First time for everything.

[Teban54]

There's always going to be a First time for everything.

People said the same thing after a storm-free August last year. Then came Fiona and Ian.

[LarryWx]

I'm going with 4 based on these stats:

Sep NS El Niño:

Active era:
18: 6
15: 4
14: 2
09: 2
06: 4
04: 4
02: 8
97: 1
AVG active era: 4

Inactive era/modern satellites:
94: 3
91: 3
87: 3
86: 2
82: 3
79: 3
77: 3
76: 2
72: 2
AVG inactive modern satellite era: 3

+1.0+ ASO ONI since 1951:
15: 4
02: 8
97: 1
87: 3
82: 3
72: 2
65: 4
63: 5
57: 4
51: 4
AVG +1.0+ ASO ONI since 1951: 4

[tolakram]

I voted "none". Perhaps a little hopecasting.

Ha! Instead of "hope" I typed "wish" and my post was changed to "Perhaps a little (stop trolling)"

I'd like to see the season end at 5/1/0

Let's see what happens:

(stop trolling) (stop trolling) (stop trolling)

That troll correction predates me. lol, I like it. I think I'll remove it though.

I predict 4. Absolutely no clue how this season will end up. I'll be flabbergasted if it's as busy as predicted.

[ConvergenceZone]

There's always going to be a First time for everything.

People said the same thing after a storm-free August last year. Then came Fiona and Ian.

Anything can happen, it can really heat up, or it can end up dry as a bone. We won't know until it happens. But that's what's fun about predictions.

[HurakaYoshi]

I thinking of three to five systems in September, but I chose four.

[chaser1]

After reading NOAA's updated prediction for the '23 Atlantic season, I decided that my guess for September will be a range between 2- 9 named storms. I of course realized that the poll required a specific number, thus decided on three.

Biggest risk?? I'll go with a Cat 2 or Cat 3 hurricane that may rival the Azores worst landfall ever.

[IcyTundra]

I picked 5 but I think that could be a bit high. Expert predictions would suggest that 5+ is very much a possibility but I am somewhat skeptical.

[chaser1]

I picked 5 but I think that could be a bit high. Expert predictions would suggest that 5+ is very much a possibility but I am somewhat skeptical.

Looking at the 18z models this afternoon and suddenly 5 feels way more doable for next month lol

[cycloneye]

Those that have not voted yet, hurry as the poll will close for voting on the 31rst at midnight EDT.

[captainbarbossa19]

I am probably too aggressive, but I went with 6 or more. I think September could be very active.

[cycloneye]

The poll closes at midnight EDT so those who have not voted yet, you better hurry.