Tropical Wave Near the Coast of Africa (Is Invest 92L)

[zzzh]

Near the coast of Africa:
A tropical wave located near the western coast of Africa is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development is possible while it moves generally
west-northwestward across the tropical eastern Atlantic during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[AnnularCane]

The fruit bowl is getting full.

[cycloneye]

Near the coast of Africa:
A tropical wave located near the western coast of Africa is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development is possible while it moves generally
west-northwestward across the tropical eastern Atlantic during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[ElectricStorm]

0z GFS turns this into a major, moving towards Bermuda

EDIT: ends up moving east of Bermuda. Would be a good ACE producer

[ChrisH-UK]

The wave is forming up in to a circulation with plenty of convection.

Meteosat-10 - https://col.st/EJAwe

[Teban54]

Quite good organization being so close to the coast. Looks like whatever stability issues that people were talking about earlier in the season are now gone, as usual.

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form later this week
while it moves west-northwestward across the eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[gatorcane]

Classic Cape Verde recurver on the GFS accumulating a lot of ACE:

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave
centered just southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form later this week while it moves
west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

[Hurricane Mike]

I'm not convinced this is going straight out to sea. It could run further west than Emily.

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
far eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave
located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form later this week while it moves
west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

[cycloneye]

Invest 92L is up.