Could next season be hyperactive post Nino?

[Hurricane2022]

I would imagine 2024 could be quite active after this season's over-performance. Depending on how long the Nino lasts, we might want to mentally prepare for 2025 too! The next 2 years could be quite interesting IMO!

If it's active I expect a 2005 type season. Not just storms but intensity and more western atl and carribean focused. If the water temps are like this I expect dorian and Katrina type storms.

I'm still shocked how bare the Caribbean has been of convection this season.

if next season is active lets hope they all stay out in the open atlantic, with little harm to life and property.......

I hope this will happen, but as we all know, unfortunately hope is not a good instrument for efficient protection against hurricanes

[Kingarabian]

Could see an active season. But a season with heavy CONUS threats would be 2 years after El Nino I believe. There was a thread about this posted a few years back.

[Ianswfl]

Could see an active season. But a season with heavy CONUS threats would be 2 years after El Nino I believe. There was a thread about this posted a few years back.

2005 and 1998 were one year after El Nino.

[Old-TimeCane]

Could see an active season. But a season with heavy CONUS threats would be 2 years after El Nino I believe. There was a thread about this posted a few years back.

2005 and 1998 were one year after El Nino.

1998 didn't have a landfall in the CONUS as a Cat 3+ or what would generally be considered Cat 3+ pressure-wise. 1999 was the two years after year, and it delivered.

2005 was only one year after 2004, *but* if you go back and read through those pages, it's two years after a traditional El Nino and just one year after a modoki. 2004 was modoki.