Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

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Will Lee regain category 5 strengh at any point?

Poll ended at Sat Sep 09, 2023 3:53 pm

Yes
16
53%
No
14
47%
 
Total votes: 30

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Tekken_Guy
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Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#1 Postby Tekken_Guy » Fri Sep 08, 2023 3:51 pm

Will Hurricane Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point in its lifetime?

Mods please make a poll.
Options:
-Yes
-No
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 08, 2023 3:54 pm

Made the poll for the members to vote and will close on Saturday at 4:53 PM EDT.
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#3 Postby Hurricane2022 » Fri Sep 08, 2023 4:36 pm

Yes
165 - 180 mph
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#4 Postby Hammy » Fri Sep 08, 2023 8:37 pm

Voted no. No coming back from where it's out now with the inner core being this disrupted and the shear not letting up much.
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#5 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Sep 08, 2023 8:42 pm

I think it could end up making it back to 130-140kts in a few days but I voted no since it's probably the more likely option
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#6 Postby REDHurricane » Fri Sep 08, 2023 9:35 pm

Voted yes earlier but now I'm not so sure. Looks like Lee will have another shot at it starting around Sunday night through Tuesday morning, but that would require the ULAC to shift back north and push the unexpected shear away a bit -- maybe HAFS still has a good grip on this one, but it has certainly whiffed on predicting the past ~24 hours of Lee and I don't think I would bet on its current solution verifying either. We'll just have to wait and see
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#7 Postby Tekken_Guy » Fri Sep 08, 2023 9:52 pm

REDHurricane wrote:Voted yes earlier but now I'm not so sure. Looks like Lee will have another shot at it starting around Sunday night through Tuesday morning, but that would require the ULAC to shift back north and push the unexpected shear away a bit -- maybe HAFS still has a good grip on this one, but it has certainly whiffed on predicting the past ~24 hours of Lee and I don't think I would bet on its current solution verifying either. We'll just have to wait and see


Why did you vote yes earlier?
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#8 Postby REDHurricane » Sat Sep 09, 2023 9:02 am

Tekken_Guy wrote:
REDHurricane wrote:Voted yes earlier but now I'm not so sure. Looks like Lee will have another shot at it starting around Sunday night through Tuesday morning, but that would require the ULAC to shift back north and push the unexpected shear away a bit -- maybe HAFS still has a good grip on this one, but it has certainly whiffed on predicting the past ~24 hours of Lee and I don't think I would bet on its current solution verifying either. We'll just have to wait and see


Why did you vote yes earlier?


I didn't think the shear was going to completely erode the eyewall like it ended up doing yesterday.
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#9 Postby CFLHurricane » Sat Sep 09, 2023 9:36 am

Count me as a Lee doubter for sure. The paunchy storm we see today is wayward from the beast to the east we first came to know and love.
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#10 Postby Deshaunrob17 » Sat Sep 09, 2023 9:45 am

If Irma, Matthew and Katrina couldn’t do it, then I don’t expect Lee to do it. It’s hard for a former Cat 5 to remain Cat 5 status from my experience. I think Lee peaked
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#11 Postby Hurricane2022 » Sat Sep 09, 2023 9:56 am

Hurricane2022 wrote:Yes
165 - 180 mph

Voted yes but now i'm confident this will not return to C5. A C4 still likely
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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#12 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Sat Sep 09, 2023 10:47 am

If shear lessens this evening into Sunday then yes

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Re: Poll: Will Lee regain Category 5 strength at any point?

#13 Postby aspen » Sat Sep 09, 2023 11:16 am

Looking unlikely to be honest. Models are split on whether or not shear will let up, and the HAFS-A/B only get this to a borderline 5. I think 130+ kt is possible, but a 5 is gonna be tricky. It would be kinda hilarious if this blows up into a 150-160 kt/sub-920 system after all of this.
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