Low Pressure over the SW Carribbean Sea (Is Invest 95L)

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cycloneye
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Low Pressure over the SW Carribbean Sea (Is Invest 95L)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 19, 2023 6:44 pm

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
An area of low pressure could form by this weekend in the
southwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some slow development of
this system is possible before it moves inland over Central America
by the early to middle portion of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


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Re: Low Pressure over the SW Carribbean Sea

#2 Postby ThunderForce » Thu Oct 19, 2023 7:38 pm

It doesn't sound like they're expecting this to develop much before it moves into Central America.
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Re: Low Pressure over the SW Carribbean Sea

#3 Postby HurricaneRyan » Thu Oct 19, 2023 11:09 pm

Could this potentially move into the EPAC?
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Re: Low Pressure over the SW Carribbean Sea

#4 Postby ChrisH-UK » Fri Oct 20, 2023 4:42 am

That area anything on the models generally tend to track westward with each new model. Not saying that systems don't develop from there.
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Re: Low Pressure over the SW Carribbean Sea

#5 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 20, 2023 12:36 pm

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far southwestern
Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some
slow development of this system is possible this weekend and early
next week while it moves slowly westward over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea. The disturbance is forecast to move inland over
Central America late Monday or Tuesday, and no further development
is expected after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: Low Pressure over the SW Carribbean Sea

#6 Postby AJC3 » Sun Oct 22, 2023 2:47 am

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased with an area of low
pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some additional
development of this system over the next day or two before it moves
inland over Central America by Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
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