Could tropical cyclones form in the red sea or perisan gulf?

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Sciencerocks
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Could tropical cyclones form in the red sea or perisan gulf?

#1 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat Oct 21, 2023 5:52 pm

Could tropical cyclones form in the red sea or perisan gulf? I know a few came close to moving into the perisan gulf, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclones_ ... nd_Shaheen , but I wonder if the same is possible with the red sea as I watch the major tropical cyclone Tej moving towards that part of the world. https://edubaba.in/red-sea-definition-m ... -for-exam/

Who knows as we watch med and south Atlantic tropical cyclones nearly year and even tropical storms such as alpha make landfall in mainland europe a few years ago...So never say never.
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Re: Could tropical cyclones form in the red sea or perisan gulf?

#2 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Oct 21, 2023 8:38 pm

I imagine these bodies are too small for there to be sustained convection, or for there to be a long lived low pressure area, enough for there to be a tropical cyclone. That’s different than the Black Sea, which has supported the development of tropical-ish storms.
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Re: Could tropical cyclones form in the red sea or perisan gulf?

#3 Postby TallyTracker » Sat Oct 21, 2023 9:11 pm

I think the size (width in particular) of the bodies of water in conjunction with the dry air from the continents makes tropical cyclone development nearly impossible. Also, both bodies of water are near 30N which is where sinking air is typically found around the world. Tropical cyclone require a large number of things to form with warm water being one of many items. These water bodies only have that one item most of the time.
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Re: Could tropical cyclones form in the red sea or perisan gulf?

#4 Postby ljmac75 » Sun Oct 22, 2023 11:12 am

If we're discussing tropical-like cyclones forming in weird places let's not forget "Hurricane Huron" here.
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Re: Could tropical cyclones form in the red sea or perisan gulf?

#5 Postby ChrisH-UK » Mon Oct 23, 2023 6:16 am

Well actually this has been looked at and you could be looking at a storm with 400 km/h (248 mph) winds and another research showed that Dubai could get 4m surge. If one could thread the Strait of Hormuz or survive passage over the mountains of northern Oman it would be interesting to see the outcome but one that I hope never happens

Tropical Cyclones in Gulf Countires
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com ... %2C%202016).

Grey Sawn Storms
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science- ... 180956453/
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