Non-Tropical Low East of Florida

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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#21 Postby jconsor » Thu Nov 16, 2023 6:15 am

Agreed, the impacts of this system have been equivalent to a tropical storm. Widespread wind gusts to 50-60 mph have been observed along the coast of southeast/east-central Florida, locally up to 75 mph:

 https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1725106466858623443




There is a decent chance this system becomes a subtropical or tropical cyclone in the next day or two as it heads NE up the Gulf Stream.

 https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1725099927242449157



 https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1725130178853031979


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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#22 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 16, 2023 7:41 am

Image
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#23 Postby Jr0d » Thu Nov 16, 2023 7:57 am

That is one mean little storm. West of Big Pine got some rain and wind but nothing like Key Largo, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale area.

Its been awhile since we had a significant 'no name ' storm as some are calling it. (Edit to add, impact Florida)

Im just upset i cant get out of work the next days as the surf in South Florida will be really good the next day or two. Maybe there will still be swell in the water this weekend
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#24 Postby Blown Away » Thu Nov 16, 2023 8:29 am

@50 mph gusts near Jupiter/Hobe Sound. Lots of small tree debris all over, this "No Name" event is definitely comparable to a minimal TD/TS event.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#25 Postby Jr0d » Thu Nov 16, 2023 8:34 am

Blown Away wrote:@50 mph gusts near Jupiter/Hobe Sound. Lots of small tree debris all over, this "No Name" event is definitely comparable to a minimal TD/TS event.


I would say comparable to a strong tropical storm. I have seen land falling hurricanes with weaker observations than this:
(Port Everglades observations early this morning)
These are in knots, gusts to 75 mph, sustained well over 50 mph

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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#26 Postby Jr0d » Thu Nov 16, 2023 9:32 am

The meso-low has weakened considerably since this morning, however some of the mesoscale models suggest it could have another strengthening pulse and possibly bring some impacts to east central Florida later tonight..that in my opinion is doubtful but we will see.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#27 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 16, 2023 9:51 am

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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida

#28 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 16, 2023 12:44 pm

Offshore Southeast Coast of United States:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located between southern
Florida and the northwestern Bahamas is associated with a frontal
boundary. Development of this system into a tropical cyclone is
not expected. However, gusty winds and heavy rains are still
possible across portions of the east coast of Florida and the
Bahamas during the next day or so while the low moves northeastward
over the southwestern Atlantic. For more information on this
system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#29 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Nov 16, 2023 12:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:Image


Miami Dade schoolkids are very unhappy today.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida

#30 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 16, 2023 6:37 pm

7 PM EST:

Offshore Southeast Coast of United States:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located near the northwestern
Bahamas is associated with a frontal boundary. Development of this
system into a tropical cyclone is not expected. However, gusty
winds and heavy rains are expected to continue across portions of
Bahamas during the next several hours while the low moves
northeastward over the southwestern Atlantic. For more information
on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida

#31 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Nov 16, 2023 7:41 pm

cycloneye wrote:7 PM EST:

Offshore Southeast Coast of United States:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located near the northwestern
Bahamas is associated with a frontal boundary. Development of this
system into a tropical cyclone is not expected. However, gusty
winds and heavy rains are expected to continue across portions of
Bahamas during the next several hours while the low moves
northeastward over the southwestern Atlantic. For more information
on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
Overachiever off to the graveyard.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida

#32 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 16, 2023 8:56 pm

That was a lot of rain that fell in South Florida.

 https://twitter.com/NWSMiami/status/1725311079981662598


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Re: Non-Tropical Low near SE Florida (10%)

#33 Postby Nuno » Fri Nov 17, 2023 4:39 pm

cycloneye wrote:Wow, plenty of damage there.

https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1725127011373355029


Now that it has cleared out, it is good to see no serious injuries or impacts resulting from this. Just an oddity 8-)
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