2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: 111 members are participating

[chaser1]

The smart money bet is always the under when the pros forecast hyper active. The reason I think the under is once again the smart bet is because of an active SAL. 20/9/4

Just saying, 2020 had a very active SAL and in fact one of the strongest SAL outbreaks recorded in June 2020 which put all of SFL under a brown haze (I was living there). And you know how that season went.

Indeed; reminds me of an old mariner saying I once never heard....

"Grey sky in the morning, sailor take warning; grey sky at night, sailors delight (unless it's peripheral sinking air due to subsidence in which case you still could be screwed)

[cycloneye]

Ok folks. This thread is to post numbers for the poll or change to final numbers, and is not to make comments about someones numbers. All have the right to post whatever numbers they choose and this annual poll facilitates that.

[Monsoonjr99]

24 TS / 13 HU / 6 MH / 199 ACE (prelim, but I don't expect to change it so likely final)

Methinks we might see the return of the classic C4+ Caribbean cruiser this year.

[cycloneye]

24 TS / 13 HU / 6 MH / 199 ACE (prelim, but I don't expect to change it so likely final)

Methinks we might see the return of the classic C4+ Caribbean cruiser this year.

Added at #88 on the list as final, with only less that 10 days left.

[cycloneye]

Now in single digits, the closing of poll.

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... nt=cursive

[PavelGaborik10]

25 NS -- 11 Hurricanes -- 4 Majors

[cycloneye]

25 NS -- 11 Hurricanes -- 4 Majors

You are #89 on the list.

[cycloneye]

Only 10 more to reach 100 and only 8 days for the poll to close. Almost all the experts, private firms and agencies are out with their forecasts with only NOAA left that comes out on thursday, so I think many minds have been made up.

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... nt=cursive

[kevin]

Update to my entry (still preliminary as I might still want to change it one of the coming days). Increase in ACE due to new forecasts and SSTs.

I'm #39.

39- kevin= 23/12/6 ACE: 220 (Preliminary)

[cycloneye]

Ok folks. There are no more excuses to not participate in the final 7 days after NOAA came out.

[AutoPenalti]

25/13/5
ACE: 235

Some long trackers for sure.

[cycloneye]

25/13/5
ACE: 235

Some long trackers for sure.

#90 on the list.

[KirbyDude25]

Updating mine slightly to 26/13/6, 220 ACE. I'm #10 on the list, this one's final.

[cycloneye]

Updating mine slightly to 26/13/6, 220 ACE. I'm #10 on the list, this one's final.

Done.

[FireRat]

25/11/7
ACE 225

Thinking 1964 on crack.

[cycloneye]

25/11/7
ACE 225

Thinking 1964 on crack.

You are #91 on the list.

[KN2731]

#32 on the list - revising my numbers upwards to 26/12/6 and 215 ACE (final). Thinking we could see a few more long trackers with increased favorability further east in the MDR.

[Teban54]

Updating mine (#4) to: 22/14/6, 210 ACE, final

[cycloneye]

#32 on the list - revising my numbers upwards to 26/12/6 and 215 ACE (final). Thinking we could see a few more long trackers with increased favorability further east in the MDR.

Done.

[cycloneye]

Teban54, Hurricane2022, it looks like it will reach 100.