2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: 111 members are participating
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
23 Storms
11 Hurricanes
5 Majors
ACE: 170
11 Hurricanes
5 Majors
ACE: 170
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
AxaltaRacing24 wrote:23 Storms
11 Hurricanes
5 Majors
ACE: 170
Added as #108 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
psyclone wrote:2
1
0
Ace of 22
Let's go
20
10
5
Should be a spicy season
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
psyclone wrote:psyclone wrote:2
1
0
Ace of 22
Let's go
20
10
5
Should be a spicy season
#109 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
23/13/7
ACE 205
lack of subtropical acitivity keeps NS below 25 but huge ACE producers with a general west based season (few early recurves)
ACE 205
lack of subtropical acitivity keeps NS below 25 but huge ACE producers with a general west based season (few early recurves)
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FSU Meteorology student, opinions are mine, 20 years experience covering TC's, consult NHC/Local officials when making decisions.
Gabrielle '01, Michelle '01, Charley '04, Frances '04, Dennis '05, Katrina '05, Rita '05, Wilma '05, Fay '08, Isaac '12 Hermine '16, Irma '17, Michael '18, Eta '20, Elsa '21, IAN '22, Idalia '23, Debby '24, Helene '24
Gabrielle '01, Michelle '01, Charley '04, Frances '04, Dennis '05, Katrina '05, Rita '05, Wilma '05, Fay '08, Isaac '12 Hermine '16, Irma '17, Michael '18, Eta '20, Elsa '21, IAN '22, Idalia '23, Debby '24, Helene '24
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
Sticking with my preliminary.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
typhoonty wrote:23/13/7
ACE 205
lack of subtropical acitivity keeps NS below 25 but huge ACE producers with a general west based season (few early recurves)
#110 on list.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
CrazyC83 wrote:Sticking with my preliminary.
Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
I'm #25 on the list and I'm going to lock in my numbers as final.
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Solar Aquarian
Lunar Cancerian
Sagittarian
Lunar Cancerian
Sagittarian
- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
Chris90 wrote:I'm #25 on the list and I'm going to lock in my numbers as final.
Done.
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- TheAustinMan
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)
TheAustinMan wrote: It's early May, the seasonal computer forecast guidance is in, and we're getting within striking distance of the hurricane season, so it's time to revisit my forecast from earlier. I'll be revising my numbers (I'm Number 19) to
- Preliminary
- 19 named storms
- 12 hurricanes
- 5 major hurricanes
- ACE = 195
As expected, not a whole lot has changed since early May, so these values are final. (#19)
While steering is probably even more difficult to predict than seasonal activity as a whole (which is already difficult to pin down), historical activity and analogs for this season's SST look appear to suggest the following areas highlighted in red may be the most likely areas for enhanced tropical cyclone activity this season. But, in general, an active season increases the probability for tropical activity along all coasts.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)
TheAustinMan wrote:TheAustinMan wrote: It's early May, the seasonal computer forecast guidance is in, and we're getting within striking distance of the hurricane season, so it's time to revisit my forecast from earlier. I'll be revising my numbers (I'm Number 19) to
- Preliminary
- 19 named storms
- 12 hurricanes
- 5 major hurricanes
- ACE = 195
As expected, not a whole lot has changed since early May, so these values are final. (#19)
While steering is probably even more difficult to predict than seasonal activity as a whole (which is already difficult to pin down), historical activity and analogs for this season's SST look appear to suggest the following areas highlighted in red may be the most likely areas for enhanced tropical cyclone activity this season. But, in general, an active season increases the probability for tropical activity along all coasts.
https://i.imgur.com/9xBVoXU.pngThe posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Done. Next post from you will be the final stats of the poll.
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Re: Storm2k 2024 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
WoodberryWx wrote:15/7/4 141 ACE
Preliminary
Finalizing my forecast to 21/11/6 190 ACE
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- cycloneye
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Re: Storm2k 2024 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
WoodberryWx wrote:WoodberryWx wrote:15/7/4 141 ACE
Preliminary
Finalizing my forecast to 21/11/6 190 ACE
Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
21/9/5
ACE: 187
FINAL
ACE: 187
FINAL
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Closes at midnight EDT
toad strangler wrote:21/9/5
ACE: 187
FINAL
#111.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Has closed with 111 participants.
Thanks to all that have participated in this 2024 S2K poll. Now let's see who will nail the numbers or get close to the real final ones that the season brings. And thanks to USTropics and TheAustinMan for posting the stats.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Has closed with 111 participants
The final stats of the poll are at the thread with a sticky, where the members can make comments about the poll and the stats. https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 2#p3066052
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