2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: 111 members are participating

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cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#341 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 29, 2024 7:03 am

gib wrote:22/13/7

In line with what's generally predicted, but perhaps skewed slightly toward more powerful storms.


Added as #95 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#342 Postby Collenyd » Wed May 29, 2024 7:50 am

26/15/7
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#343 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 29, 2024 7:58 am

Collenyd wrote:26/15/7


Added as #96 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#344 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 29, 2024 10:42 am

Hurricane2022, Teban54, only 4 to 100. Let's see if it can close around 105. My early goal was to reach 200, based on the hyping of the predictions from the experts.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#345 Postby eyesontropics » Wed May 29, 2024 11:52 am

21/9/5 (Final)
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#346 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 29, 2024 12:02 pm

eyesontropics wrote:21/9/5 (Final)


Added as #97 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#347 Postby Blown Away » Wed May 29, 2024 8:37 pm

Blown Away
25/13/7
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Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#348 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 29, 2024 8:53 pm

Blown Away wrote:Blown Away
25/13/7


You are #98 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#349 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed May 29, 2024 9:26 pm

You can make mine final
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#350 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 29, 2024 9:36 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:You can make mine final


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#351 Postby kevin » Thu May 30, 2024 8:54 am

You can also make mine final.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#352 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 30, 2024 8:58 am

kevin wrote:You can also make mine final.


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#353 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Thu May 30, 2024 10:06 am

Been awhile but glad I remembered this before the end of the month.

Anyways, still preliminary but could easily be finalized if I forget to update. I've included a range but take the stated number outside the brackets as for my actual prediction. Hope this forecast busts high.

# of:
Named Storms: 24 [20-25]
Hurricanes: 12 [9-13]
Major Hurricanes: 6 [5-7]

And of course, ACE: 200 [185-225]

Will quote this if I make a final update. Thanks, as always, for hosting!
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#354 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 30, 2024 10:29 am

NXStumpy_Robothing wrote:Been awhile but glad I remembered this before the end of the month.

Anyways, still preliminary but could easily be finalized if I forget to update. I've included a range but take the stated number outside the brackets as for my actual prediction. Hope this forecast busts high.

# of:
Named Storms: 24 [20-25]
Hurricanes: 12 [9-13]
Major Hurricanes: 6 [5-7]

And of course, ACE: 200 [185-225]

Will quote this if I make a final update. Thanks, as always, for hosting!


You are #99 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#355 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 30, 2024 10:35 am

Ok folks, who is going to be the 100th participant on the list?
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#356 Postby aspen » Thu May 30, 2024 12:56 pm

I’m finally going to update my numbers.

NS: 22 (18-25)
H: 9 (6-11)
MH: 5 (3-6)
ACE: 175 (130-220)
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#357 Postby WAcyclone » Thu May 30, 2024 1:05 pm

23/13/4 ACE: 165
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#358 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 30, 2024 1:06 pm

aspen wrote:I’m finally going to update my numbers.

NS: 22 (18-25)
H: 9 (6-11)
MH: 5 (3-6)
ACE: 175 (130-220)


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#359 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 30, 2024 1:15 pm

WAcyclone wrote:23/13/4 ACE: 165


Yes!!. Poll reaches 100 participants with your prediction. :team: :onfire: :woo: :Partytime:

Keep it rolling until the end. https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... nt=cursive
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: Poll reaches 100 participants with WAcyclone

#360 Postby Beef Stew » Thu May 30, 2024 1:56 pm

Updating my numbers slightly to 19/10/5 ACE 181. Most likely final- I'm number 26 on the list.

Were these numbers to pan out, 2024 would be a very active season, and one that would be very close to top-10-all-time in terms of ACE.
Incredibly, this is still a prediction that errs to the side of caution and conservatism- and with the way conditions are looking in the Atlantic, the ceiling could be significantly higher. While it doesn't take into account all factors, 2023's SST configuration was ultimately enough to produce a 20/7/3 148 ACE season during a substantial El Niño; I see very little reason why 2024 won't significantly surpass that while sharing similar SST anomalies during a first-year Niña. Barring something completely unforeseen that completely disrupts the basin's base-state (akin to 2013, or 2022 to some extent), it's hard to see this season not achieving hyperactivity.
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