Predictions

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When will Isabel turn west?

Poll ended at Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:37 pm

Be turning west at 5 pm nhc advisory
1
5%
Be turning west at 11 pm NHC advisory
6
32%
Be Turning west at 5 am NHC advisory
6
32%
Be turning west at 11 am NHC advisory Wed.
3
16%
Won't turn west until Thursday at least
0
No votes
Will never turn west
3
16%
 
Total votes: 19
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rob8303
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Predictions

#1 Postby rob8303 » Tue Sep 09, 2003 1:37 pm

When will Hurricane Isabel turn to the West? If you think it will at all? I'm thinking with each passing hour CONUS has dodged another bullet. Thank god for that southerly flow. AND, AND, AND it's forecast to be there for another 72 hours, more than enough time to get Isabel to 30 N or above.
BTW, what's the initial motion estimate now? Was 300/11 this morning at 11 am.
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GalvestonDuck
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#2 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Sep 09, 2003 1:39 pm

5 AM advisory - 9/10
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#3 Postby Tommedic » Tue Sep 09, 2003 1:42 pm

With Fabian and so far with Isabel, the NHC has been awfully close in there accuracy. So at this point I will lean with them, though I am getting an awful gnawing in my stomach similar to one I had with Bertha, Fran, Floyd...
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#4 Postby Colin » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:05 pm

I agree...the CONUS will dodge another major bullet IMO :o
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#5 Postby rob8303 » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:11 pm

Colin, why do you say that?
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 12:03 am

Hurricane Isabel (as of now) is expected to move mainly westward with a west-northwest movement at times around the southern perifery of the expected building high over the Atlantic.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Wed Sep 10, 2003 12:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Anonymous

#7 Postby Anonymous » Wed Sep 10, 2003 12:11 am

West at 5:00a.m. advisory 9/10/03
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GalvestonDuck
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#8 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Sep 10, 2003 5:50 am

000
WTNT33 KNHC 100847
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 10 2003

...DANGEROUS ISABEL BEGINS TO MOVE WESTWARD ...
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Yep

#9 Postby wxman57 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 6:06 am

As far as I can tell, Isabel began that westward movement at 4pm yesterday. As usual, the NHC is about 12 hours behind in acknowledging a change.
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