Wobble or jog to WSW????

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cycloneye
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Wobble or jog to WSW????

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 10, 2003 7:02 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

The last frame at 11:45 UTC if I see it right shows some dip WSW but that may be a wobble that normally strong canes do but more frames are needed to see if it is a wobble or jog.
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#2 Postby wrkh99 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 7:03 am

This has been expected to happen for more than 3 days now. Don't let your guard down!
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#3 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Sep 10, 2003 7:08 am

I've been expecting a wsw jog due to how far north Isabel got before the ridge moved in. Keep a close eye on this, it may get back under 20n.
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 10, 2003 7:11 am

Could be and it would be no great surprise, but with the Eye partialy obscured with cloud cover it's very hard to tell with the visable loop. Either way this kind of wobble is pretty normal with intense canes as you know Luis.
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#5 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Sep 10, 2003 7:30 am

Aquawind wrote:Could be and it would be no great surprise, but with the Eye partialy obscured with cloud cover it's very hard to tell with the visable loop. Either way this kind of wobble is pretty normal with intense canes as you know Luis.
As of 8:30am Eastern time, it looks pretty much due west to me, I'd say 270-275. I don't see any southward motion yet, though as you say it's a bit hard to tell because of the cloud cover.
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 10, 2003 7:32 am

Yes the last frame at 12:15 UTC is on a west course but with those wobbles that are normal.
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#7 Postby wrkh99 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 7:43 am

IF THE CURRENT WESTWARD TREND CONTINUES...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL
HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD IN THE NEXT TERM.
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#8 Postby JCT777 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 8:21 am

A jog to the WSW would not be surprising, as many models have shown this. The center of Isabel will stay north of PR, but will cause some tidal affects and could also bring some wind/rain.
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#9 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 10, 2003 8:24 am

Do not let that fool you. It appears to be the fluctuations in Isabel's eye. The motion is still due West and that bothers me here in South Florida.
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