Tropical Cyclone TC25P

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Aslkahuna
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Tropical Cyclone TC25P

#1 Postby Aslkahuna » Mon Mar 10, 2003 3:21 pm

Tropical Cyclone TC25P has formed 360 WNW of Suva, Fiji with winds of 30kt. The system is moving S at 5kt and is expected to turn to an eastward track and intensify to 50kt over the next 48 hours. Satellite imagery shows a developing convective complex and turning but with outflow and convection suppressed in the eatern semicircle. This is the easternmost of three smallish disturbances developing in the Monsoon Trough with the other two being TC22P (Erica) which has regenerated and is forecast to follow in the wake of TC25P (interaction between the two systems can not be ruled out) and TC24S (Craig) which is near Darwin.

Steve
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#2 Postby Aslkahuna » Mon Mar 10, 2003 11:08 pm

Tropical Cyclone TC25P (Eseta) is located 330 WNW of Suva, Fiji with winds of 45kt. The storm is moving S at 10kt and is expected to turn to the ESE and intensify to 65kt over the next 48 hours. The storm is loosely organized right now.

Steve
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#3 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue Mar 11, 2003 11:05 pm

Tropical Cyclone TC25P (Eseta) is located 265 SW of Suva, Fiji with winds of 65kt. The storm is moving SE at 12kt and is expected to continue moving SE and become extratropical in 36 hours. The latest satellite imagery, in fact, suggests that the extratropical transition has already begun.

Steve
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Re: Tropical Cyclone TC25P

#4 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Mar 12, 2003 1:09 am

Aslkahuna wrote:Tropical Cyclone TC25P has formed 360 WNW of Suva, Fiji with winds of 30kt. The system is moving S at 5kt and is expected to turn to an eastward track and intensify to 50kt over the next 48 hours. Satellite imagery shows a developing convective complex and turning but with outflow and convection suppressed in the eatern semicircle. This is the easternmost of three smallish disturbances developing in the Monsoon Trough with the other two being TC22P (Erica) which has regenerated and is forecast to follow in the wake of TC25P (interaction between the two systems can not be ruled out) and TC24S (Craig) which is near Darwin.

Steve


What happens in the Southern Hemisphere when storms interact? Does one become dominant or do they bounce off of each other or what?
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The Fujiwhara Effect

#5 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Mar 12, 2003 3:11 pm

which is the binary interaction (or rotation) of two storms about a common point when in proximity to each other is the same in both hemispheres with the exception that the sense of rotation (which is always cyclonic for storms) is clockwise in the Southern Hemisphere as opposed to counterclockwise in the Northern.

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#6 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Mar 12, 2003 10:47 pm

Tropical Cyclone TC25P is located 150 WSW of Noku Alofa, Tonga with winds of 100kt. The storm is moving E at 21 kt and will be passing very close to that island in 6-8 hours. The storm is then expected to turn more to the SE and accelerate as it becomes extratropical. Eseta moved into a more favorable environment during the past 12 hours and underwent a brief period of rapid intensification which seems to have ended now

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Finalled Out

#7 Postby Aslkahuna » Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:18 pm

Tropical Cyclone TC25P (Eseta) is rapidly becoming extratropical and has been finalled out. In fact the latest satellite imagery shows that the system has nearly completed the transition.

Steve
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