KBOX Disscussion confirms New England movement!!!!

[The Dark Knight]

FXUS02 KWBC 101836
PMDEPD

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
235 PM EDT TUE AUG 10 2004

VALID 12Z FRI AUG 13 2004 - 12Z TUE AUG 17 2004

...ERN GULF/APLCHNS EWD...

EXTREME ERN STATES FACE THE POTENTIAL TO SEE THE EFFECTS OF TWO
TROPICAL SYSTEMS DURING THE PERIOD. FIRST IS T.S. "BONNIE" WHICH
IS CURRENTLY N OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND IS FCST BY DAY 3 FRI
TO LIFT NEWD INTO THE SRN MID ATLC AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING THE EAST COAST. SECOND IS T.S. "CHARLEY" WHICH IS
FCST TO STRENGTHEN TO HRCN STATUS AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN... CURVE NWD THRU THE CNTRL/E-CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO...
THEN PERHAPS CONTINUE NEWD INTO THE MID ATLC BY THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK. THRU DAY 5 SUN THE MANUAL FCST DEPICTS THE NHC/TPC
TRACKS BASED ON 1500 UTC ADVISORIES FOR "BONNIE" AND "CHARLEY"...
THEN EXTRAPOLATES A NEWD TRACK FOR "CHARLEY" INTO SERN NEW ENG BY
DAY 7 TUE. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME SIGNIFICANT CONTINUITY
CHANGES WITH THE TRACK/INTENSITY OF "CHARLEY"... SO UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS ABOVE AVERAGE.

WAVE ALONG E COAST FRONT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HVY RNFL OVER NEW ENG
DURING THE DAY FRI WHILE MOISTURE FROM "BONNIE" COULD LEAD TO
ENHANCED AMTS FROM THE MID ATLC NWD AS WELL. NEW ENG/NRN MID ATLC
AREAS SHOULD SEE A DRYING TREND DURING THE WEEKEND AS NRN PART OF
THE SFC FRONT PUSHES EWD INTO THE ATLC. EXPECT STNRY FRONT TO THE
S TO KEEP RNFL OVER THE SE/SRN MID ATLC. FCST FOR THE WEEKEND AND
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK DEPENDS UPON THE TRACK OF "CHARLEY"...
WHICH HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF HVY RAIN OVER
THE SE AND E COAST STATES. AS MENTIONED ABOVE... THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE CONSULT NHC/TPC
DISCUSSIONS FOR LATEST INFO ON "BONNIE" AND "CHARLEY". ...ALASKA...

WITH MODELS HAVING TRENDED STRONGER WITH MID/UPR RIDGING OVER THE
STATE... MOST OF THE MAINLAND SHOULD BE WARM AND RELATIVELY DRY
THRU THE PERIOD. AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE EXPECT SOME
RNFL ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND EXTREME WRN/NRN MAINLAND DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. AMTS ALONG THE EXTREME W/NW MAY REACH
MDT LVLS FRI-SAT. WRN/NRN AREAS SHOULD THEN TREND DRIER AS RIDGE
ALOFT EXPANDS ITS INFLUENCE.

RAUSCH

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT http://WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$

[The Dark Knight]

For Charley that is....