Bermuda may have some bad weather from low pressure

[cycloneye]

http://152.80.49.210/CGI/PUBLIC/wxmap_l ... 2003041512

According to the NOGAPS model this low will move NE towards Bermuda and if that happens gusts of 25-30 mph are going to blow there with heavy rains but the lowest pressure will be 1008 mbs as this model says so no development of it is expected but just in case we have to keep watching it.But other models have a slower pace for it as it goes NE so let's wait for the real deal about this low.

[Stormsfury]

Tonight's UKMET heads the low towards Bermuda, stalls and opens it up, but develops a second low in its place South of Bermuda and slowly moves it NE to ENE ... rough weather for Bermuda indeed if this verifies.

UKMET Sea Level Pressure Loop

[ColdFront77]

At least this feature moving toward Bermuda is currently expected to move slowly.

[cycloneye]

http://152.80.49.210/CGI/PUBLIC/wxmap_l ... 2003041512

The latest nogaps models run shows that the low pressure gets stronger but way north near Newfoundland and no subtropical development from it but still Bermuda will get some bad weather from it with winds in gusts and some heavy rains but nothing more.

If you noticed in the model run too the tail end of the trough that goes out from the low swings into Puerto Rico by friday and heavy rains and possible flooding event may happen but it all depends if that tail of the trough goes to the north of the island or not.

Here is the NWS of San Juan discussion:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/sju/AFD/SJUAFDSJU.1.txt