Looking more tropical than sub-tropical

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cycloneye
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Looking more tropical than sub-tropical

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 21, 2003 3:37 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... s_nt1.html

Interesting language by Lawrence who is indicating that for the time being it will stay sub-tropical but it has detached from the trough that was inpiding it to be pure tropical so maybe tonight it may be tropical storm ANA but they will make the call.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Apr 21, 2003 5:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Apr 21, 2003 3:41 pm

"Ana" is continuing to becoming more and more interesting for system in mid to late April. :D
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#3 Postby mf_dolphin » Mon Apr 21, 2003 3:45 pm

That's a very interesting development to say the least. Sounds like Lawrence is passing the buck on making that call :-)
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#4 Postby Steve H. » Mon Apr 21, 2003 3:47 pm

Agreed, it's signature is looking more tropical with the banding features, although the actual center is a bit left of the main convection. Quite a
gal(e) :wink:
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#5 Postby Guest » Mon Apr 21, 2003 3:48 pm

Well if they say this system has become purely tropical then i expect too see them explain the water temps and how we now have a tropical system form in 70degree water when before they always said you needed atleast 79 degree water just to sustain a purely tropical system?????
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#6 Postby wx247 » Mon Apr 21, 2003 4:08 pm

Interesting to say the least. :)
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 21, 2003 4:28 pm

If trend continues for more convection wrapping around center then it will be pure tropical storm ANA as the shear is not so strong right now.
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#8 Postby Kevin_Wx » Mon Apr 21, 2003 5:13 pm

Once again, Ana is experiencing a late-afternoon flair-up. If the convection weakens tonight, I still think that the NHC will change their tone about this becoming tropical. But considering this system is over 70 degree waters, this is incredible.
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#9 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Apr 21, 2003 5:17 pm

Well if I didn't know what the date was and how cool the water temps were then I would say Ana is a nice little TS. The convection has really increased late this afternoon and it will be interesting to see it does tonight.
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Anonymous

#10 Postby Anonymous » Mon Apr 21, 2003 5:18 pm

Thermodynamics can support a tropical system with ssts cooler than 80 degrees.
Last edited by Anonymous on Mon Apr 21, 2003 5:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#11 Postby Rainband » Mon Apr 21, 2003 5:32 pm

whatever she is she is nice to watch!!! :wink:
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 21, 2003 5:37 pm

Agree rainband nice to watch in open waters without affecting any land.
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#13 Postby Steve H. » Mon Apr 21, 2003 6:18 pm

Agree Trwxwatcher. There is nothing written in stone that says a tropical system must have 80+ degree water. Ana is also tapping warmth from the atmosphere to her south. Nice little spin. Her forward acceleration has also slowed. I'm not ready to track yet though :o . Really a tease, since it may be a long wait 'til the next one. Cheers!!
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ColdFront77

#14 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Apr 21, 2003 7:07 pm

Right, we generally here that we need 79/80 degree water temperatures for tropical cyclone development. The key word being "generally."

Storms like Subtropical Storm Ana are unique as we have been saying and something more may come of it, even with the direction over the short term of Subtropical Ana isn't etched in stone.

The way the system has been moving over the last 24 to 72 hours and not having as much effect by the trough are making this system even more concerning to watch.
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Rainband

#15 Postby Rainband » Mon Apr 21, 2003 7:12 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:The way the system has been moving over the last 24 to 72 hours and not having as much effect by the trough are making this system even more concerning to watch.
LOL KYLE number two!! :wink:
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ColdFront77

#16 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Apr 21, 2003 7:23 pm

:lol: -> Jonathan, I was going to mention Kyle in my post (above). :lol:
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Rainband

#17 Postby Rainband » Mon Apr 21, 2003 7:27 pm

Let's see what happens..Kyle was rare..wasn't he lol :lol: :lol: :lol: :wink:
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#18 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Apr 21, 2003 8:43 pm

Ana looks more tropical than subtropical IMO.
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