9 of 11 models go for neutral ENSO

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cycloneye
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9 of 11 models go for neutral ENSO

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 01, 2003 6:20 am

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml

This is the update from the models about what to expect about elnino/lanina event.

The only model that still goes warm or el nino is the conservative CPC that has the bias towards warm conditions.

My opinion is that the models are a tad behind what the evidence is showing right now about that cool pool off southamerica that is expanding eastward but the inportant thing is that el nino wont be of any factor during the hurricane season.
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