2 Invests at EPAC

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mf_dolphin
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#21 Postby mf_dolphin » Thu May 15, 2003 8:06 pm

Let's all keep in mind that they issue Invests as a request for more information from ships and planes in the area. Many times they don't develop into tropical systems. :-)
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#22 Postby vbhoutex » Thu May 15, 2003 10:12 pm

Very good point Marshall and one which I had forgotten! :D :roll:
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#23 Postby OtherHD » Thu May 15, 2003 10:14 pm

Well, looking at the latest sat. images, it looks like something may be forming. It's losing a lot of convection for now, but we'll see what happens tomorrow afternoon.
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#24 Postby Anonymous » Thu May 15, 2003 10:22 pm

If the low persists over the next 24 hours, we may issue a disturbance statement. The NHC is now mentioning the low in the TWO.
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#25 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 16, 2003 6:10 am

The chances for this to develop into a tropical depression are today more higher than yesterday as shear is not prominent and the convection is consolidating in an area not like the pop-corn type clusters that were there yesterday and also the low pressure is deepening now down to 1008 mbs.
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri May 16, 2003 7:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#26 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri May 16, 2003 7:16 am

System is better organized this morning, some slow development is possible
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#27 Postby jabber » Fri May 16, 2003 8:37 am

The AVN has it cranking up... check it out:

http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/avntc2.cgi? ... =Animation
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#28 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri May 16, 2003 10:41 am

Remember, today is the second day of the EPAC Hurricane Season.
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#29 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 16, 2003 11:51 am

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOEP.shtml?

The pacific tropical weather outlook indicates that this area is in a favorable area and conditions are favorable so we may see the first system in the EPAC and it's name will be Andres.
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#30 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 17, 2003 6:16 am

There is a second disturbance east of the one that has the invest that may develop and has a surface low so maybe later today another invest is up for this new area south-southeast of Acapulco.
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#31 Postby wx247 » Sat May 17, 2003 8:21 am

There definitely looks to be some potential in the next 48 to 60 hours.
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#32 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 17, 2003 2:01 pm

As I said this morning there was the chance that a new invest would be up and there it is east of the other disturbance.This new invest has some chance to develop into a tropical depression but only if convection stats to consolidate in an area as a blob and not as it is now like pop-corn clusters but time will tell if this one develops or not although the models are somewhat favorable to develop this system.
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