UNOFFICIAL..Ophelia #5; 80KTS in 120hrs; turn west in 120hr?

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 5:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... helia.html

Still, the track forecast is very uncertain after 72 hours; however, a general northeastward motion is likely over the next 2 or 3 days. Afterward, the major wildcard is the mid-level ridge moving into the southern US and how far eastward it builds. Intensity is brought to 80kts, with slow intensification under light to moderate shear.

Scott

[Frank2]

For what it's worth, the Miami OCM's were downplaying Ophelia on the Noon newscasts, citing NHC's new forecast track, which now moves the system more eastward by Day 3-5.

Frank