My Ophelia thoughts...

[Anonymous]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



I think Ophelia will saty 75-85 mph over the next 48 hours, followed by a more rapid increase in strength to about 90 mph. Then, it will be forced back westward in 72-120 hours by building high pressure. I believe the hurricane may weaken then down to 75-85 mph, followed by a more rapid increase near the Florida coastline, up to 100 mph.

[dixiebreeze]

Sounds terrible -- but you could be right.

[Deb321]

So Floydbuster you think it will make landfall somewhat north of where it is now after making a loop? Do you see movement as of now to the NE? I know the met on our weather said it looked to be drifting NE a little bit

By the way I love your graphics

[sweetpea]

I hope you are wrong. That landfall is right over my head. Debbie

[Anonymous]

So Floydbuster you think it will make landfall somewhat north of where it is now after making a loop? Do you see movement as of now to the NE? I know the met on our weather said it looked to be drifting NE a little bit

By the way I love your graphics

I do, because I think once it turns back west, the path will resume west-northwest.

[deltadog03]

well, i am glad i am not the only one that thinks along these lines...great work naso...thanks

[ConvergenceZone]

From the last update: Looks like this may drift back down to a tropical storm.

<<<Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Ophelia is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Reports from a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft and data from
the National Weather Service Doppler radar in Melbourne suggest
that Ophelia may have begun to weaken slightly.>>>>

[artist]

but if you look at water vapor appears to be deepening a little suddenly.
"(in my opinion)

[ConvergenceZone]

Well, that might be the only reason they kept this a hurricane as opposed to downgrading it to a tropical storm. They probably don't want to go back and forth, back and forth. We may see this happen several times. I think that's why they are expecting very slow intensification, but it could weaken in fluctuations.