Strong West African Disturbance

#1 Postby **TampaFl** » Sun Jul 15, 2007 11:57 am

A strong distrubance is getting ready to ready to move off the W African Coast. Thoughts & comments welcomed.

#2 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sun Jul 15, 2007 12:41 pm

I was watching the model show something similar to this in size. It's going to be interesting listening to all the people who say, it's going to develop and all the people who say SAL and low SST'S will kill it.

canegrl04 · #3 Postby **canegrl04** » Sun Jul 15, 2007 1:37 pm

I wouldn't get my hopes up yet,but since we are approaching the most active part of the season,maybe conditions will be right for it to turn into a named storm by the end of next week if it doesn't fizzle out before reaching the Carribean

#4 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sun Jul 15, 2007 2:11 pm

It has to get through the SAL first, but maybe it has a chance if it makes it closer to the Caribbean.

Website · #5 Postby **philnyc** » Sun Jul 15, 2007 4:15 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:It has to get through the SAL first, but maybe it has a chance if it makes it closer to the Caribbean.

What it tells us more than anything else is that conditions like these this early, combined with the forecasts for MJO, shear and SSTs are continuing to point to a very active Cape Verde season. It's only a matter of time right now...

marcane_1973 · #6 Postby **marcane_1973** » Sun Jul 15, 2007 6:31 pm

All go POOF!!!....

until mid or late August. The Bermuda High needs to get positioned right as well as all other atmospheric players in place in the Eastern Atlantic. It wont be long though.

#7 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jul 15, 2007 11:23 pm

As was the case in 2006 a majority will go poof but one or two may sneek through into
the Carribean. I wouldn't get my hopes up if you are looking for a repeat of 2004 or 2005 activity though. Thank goodness. Anyway I know you guys a probably getting tired of hearing this but it only takes one really bad hurricane so don't be so concerned on how many we get in 2007 and more about how strong the ones that do develop get. Hopefully we won't see many.

punkyg · #8 Postby **punkyg** » Mon Jul 16, 2007 6:07 am

Its getting close to moving off of africa. i'm getting scared, because its gonna explode like every other wave. :cry:

somebody cheer me up.

this season sucks custurd

punkyg · #9 Postby **punkyg** » Mon Jul 16, 2007 7:36 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

Ed Mahmoud · #10 Postby **Ed Mahmoud** » Mon Jul 16, 2007 7:57 am

OK, how does the "SAL" ( http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... kAsal.html ) disaapear across North America and re-appear in the Western Pacific? The "S" does stand for "Saharan", doesn't it?

cheezyWXguy · #11 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Jul 16, 2007 8:46 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:OK, how does the "SAL" ( http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... kAsal.html ) disaapear across North America and re-appear in the Western Pacific? The "S" does stand for "Saharan", doesn't it?

It does stand for saharan, but I think they call it that in the eastern pacific anyway, just to keep it simple and avoid confusion

#12 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 16, 2007 8:49 am

punkyg wrote:Its getting close to moving off of africa. i'm getting scared, because its gonna explode like every other wave. somebody cheer me up.

this season sucks custurd

Patience Aug 15th - Sept 15th should be a different story based on climatology

Strong West African Disturbance

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