Did anyone think...

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Evil Jeremy
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Did anyone think...

#1 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Aug 19, 2007 7:59 pm

Back about a week or so ago, When Dean was mearly a cluster of rain in Africa that the GFS said would develope, did anyone think that it would or could become what it is tonight?
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Stephanie
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Re: Did anyone think...

#2 Postby Stephanie » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:04 pm

I felt we would have something like this at one point during this season.
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#3 Postby caribepr » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:06 pm

Smiling here...if we say yes, how easy now! If we say no, we weren't paying attention, then?
But I will say yes, due to the starting position, the timing, the water temps, the SAL starting to move out when it had been hanging over us for weeks (how is that for a non-tech answer!). It was a recipe for what has happened. And don't ask about what's coming along, we're not allowed by law to talk about things like that 8-)
However, I didn't think it would take this track at all...I thought originally it would go slightly north of us here - without much thought of where next. The track still surprises me...and I'm very thankful for the southern movement...very thankful.
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Evil Jeremy
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Re: Did anyone think...

#4 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:07 pm

So did I, but I didnt think that this was going to be the one. Was anyone else here expecting this to be like it is a week ago?
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Re: Did anyone think...

#5 Postby mutley » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:11 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:So did I, but I didnt think that this was going to be the one. Was anyone else here expecting this to be like it is a week ago?

I wonder if there were more than one or two here, who were secretly hoping so?
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Evil Jeremy
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Re: Did anyone think...

#6 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Aug 19, 2007 8:15 pm

Well, some of us were probably secretly hopeing for some tropical action, but nothing like this I hope!
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Re: Did anyone think...

#7 Postby wobblehead » Tue Aug 21, 2007 9:10 pm

I have expected two specific storm scenarios this season:
1. A cat5 to traverse west through the Carribean and hit Yucatan.
2. A hurricane during October in the Gulf with a track and intensity very similar to Opal.
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Re: Did anyone think...

#8 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Aug 21, 2007 11:24 pm

I honestly was surprised by Dean. I initially didn't think it was going to get going or stay going and then the track almost due west has surprised me too. That is one strong ridge he has been fighting!!!
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#9 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Aug 22, 2007 1:27 am

I was expecting a Cat 4-5 Caribbean storm sometime this season. A little earlier than I expected though.
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