NOEL Aftermath
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brunota2003
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- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
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Latest Marine Forecast from Morehead City, NC NWS Office (updated as of 922 pm):
.MARINE...
-- Changed Discussion --
NOEL HAS STRENGTHENED TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE THIS EVENING AND HAS
STARTED TO RAPIDLY LIFT NNE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS. BUOYS CURRENTLY
SHOWING WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 KT AND SEAS 4 TO 7 FT S OF
HATTERAS...WHICH IS A LITTLE LESS THAN IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS
EVENING BUT CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AND NOT PLANNING TO UPDATE THE FORECAST. HAVE UPDATED
THE GRIDS TO CURRENT TRENDS HOWEVER.
MAJOR MARINE EVENT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS HURRICANE
NOEL INTERACTS WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH
TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS TO 40 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS
BEGINNING THIS EVENING AND PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. WAVE WATCH CONTINUES TO FORECASTS SEAS TO 18 FEET OFF THE
NC COAST ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES LIKELY OVER THE
GULFSTREAM IN THE NORTHERLY COUNTER FLOW. WATERS TEMPS OF 81 AT
DIAMOND BUOY INDICATING THE GULF STREAM IS IN THE OUTER SECTION OF
THE CENTRAL WATERS AND SUFFICIENT MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR STRONGEST
WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE...WHICH ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI EVENING. HAVE ISSUED A STORM WARNING FOR OREGON INLET TO
OCRACOKE INLET THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD.
SOME DEEPENING IN EXCESS OF GUIDANCE IS LIKELY DUE TO STRONG LOW
LEVEL BAROCLINICITY IN VICINITY OF THE GULF STREAM AND INTERACTION
WITH A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. BASED ON WINDS TO 40 KT IN EXCESS OF 12
HOURS WILL CONTINUE THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SOUND SIDE
FLOODING OFF THE PAMLICO SOUND AND BEACH EROSION AND OCEAN OVERWASH
ALONG HATTERAS ISLAND. BREAKERS OF 10-12 FEET NORTH OF HATTERAS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT PRODUCING PROBLEMS AT THE TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE HIGHER TIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
OFFSHORE WINDS SOUTH OF HATTERS WILL PREVENT OCEAN OVERWASH HOWEVER
BREAKERS OF 8 TO 10 FT WILL PRODUCE HIGH SURF FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO
CAPE LOOKOUT. WATER LEVELS OF 4-6 FT ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHERN CRAVEN AND CARTERET COUNTIES ALONG THE FEEDER CREEKS
AND STREAMS OF THE NEUSE RIVER AND PAMLICO SOUND. COASTAL FLOODING
IS ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN PAMLICO COUNTY AND ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PAMLICO RIVER IN BEAUFORT COUNTY. OFFSHORE
WINDS SOUTH OF HATTERS WILL PREVENT OCEAN OVERWASH HOWEVER BREAKERS
OF 8 TO 10 FT WILL PRODUCE HIGH SURF FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO CAPE
LOOKOUT.
LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABOUT 6 HRS SLOWER
EXITING THE REGION AND WINDS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE LIKELY NORTH OF
OCRACOKE THROUGH SAT MORNING...THEREFORE HAVE EXTENDED THE GALE
WARNING AND COASTAL FLOOD WARNING THROUGH SAT MORNING. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE STORM RAPIDLY
ACCELERATES TO THE THE NNE.
.RIP CURRENTS...
STRONG WINDS AND LARGE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF ALONG ALL
AREA BEACHES FRI AND SAT. WHILE THE STRONG WINDS MAY BLOW OUT THE
RIP CURRENTS IN SOME AREAS...THE SURF ZONE WILL BE VERY DANGEROUS TO
ANYONE FRI THROUGH SAT MORNING AND IT IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED THAT
EVERYONE STAY OUT OF THE OCEAN.
.MARINE...
-- Changed Discussion --
NOEL HAS STRENGTHENED TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE THIS EVENING AND HAS
STARTED TO RAPIDLY LIFT NNE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS. BUOYS CURRENTLY
SHOWING WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 KT AND SEAS 4 TO 7 FT S OF
HATTERAS...WHICH IS A LITTLE LESS THAN IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS
EVENING BUT CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AND NOT PLANNING TO UPDATE THE FORECAST. HAVE UPDATED
THE GRIDS TO CURRENT TRENDS HOWEVER.
MAJOR MARINE EVENT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS HURRICANE
NOEL INTERACTS WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH
TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS TO 40 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS
BEGINNING THIS EVENING AND PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. WAVE WATCH CONTINUES TO FORECASTS SEAS TO 18 FEET OFF THE
NC COAST ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES LIKELY OVER THE
GULFSTREAM IN THE NORTHERLY COUNTER FLOW. WATERS TEMPS OF 81 AT
DIAMOND BUOY INDICATING THE GULF STREAM IS IN THE OUTER SECTION OF
THE CENTRAL WATERS AND SUFFICIENT MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR STRONGEST
WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE...WHICH ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI EVENING. HAVE ISSUED A STORM WARNING FOR OREGON INLET TO
OCRACOKE INLET THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD.
SOME DEEPENING IN EXCESS OF GUIDANCE IS LIKELY DUE TO STRONG LOW
LEVEL BAROCLINICITY IN VICINITY OF THE GULF STREAM AND INTERACTION
WITH A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. BASED ON WINDS TO 40 KT IN EXCESS OF 12
HOURS WILL CONTINUE THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SOUND SIDE
FLOODING OFF THE PAMLICO SOUND AND BEACH EROSION AND OCEAN OVERWASH
ALONG HATTERAS ISLAND. BREAKERS OF 10-12 FEET NORTH OF HATTERAS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT PRODUCING PROBLEMS AT THE TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE HIGHER TIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
OFFSHORE WINDS SOUTH OF HATTERS WILL PREVENT OCEAN OVERWASH HOWEVER
BREAKERS OF 8 TO 10 FT WILL PRODUCE HIGH SURF FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO
CAPE LOOKOUT. WATER LEVELS OF 4-6 FT ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHERN CRAVEN AND CARTERET COUNTIES ALONG THE FEEDER CREEKS
AND STREAMS OF THE NEUSE RIVER AND PAMLICO SOUND. COASTAL FLOODING
IS ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN PAMLICO COUNTY AND ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PAMLICO RIVER IN BEAUFORT COUNTY. OFFSHORE
WINDS SOUTH OF HATTERS WILL PREVENT OCEAN OVERWASH HOWEVER BREAKERS
OF 8 TO 10 FT WILL PRODUCE HIGH SURF FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO CAPE
LOOKOUT.
LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABOUT 6 HRS SLOWER
EXITING THE REGION AND WINDS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE LIKELY NORTH OF
OCRACOKE THROUGH SAT MORNING...THEREFORE HAVE EXTENDED THE GALE
WARNING AND COASTAL FLOOD WARNING THROUGH SAT MORNING. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE STORM RAPIDLY
ACCELERATES TO THE THE NNE.
.RIP CURRENTS...
STRONG WINDS AND LARGE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF ALONG ALL
AREA BEACHES FRI AND SAT. WHILE THE STRONG WINDS MAY BLOW OUT THE
RIP CURRENTS IN SOME AREAS...THE SURF ZONE WILL BE VERY DANGEROUS TO
ANYONE FRI THROUGH SAT MORNING AND IT IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED THAT
EVERYONE STAY OUT OF THE OCEAN.
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Terry
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Re: Threat Areas: Outerbanks to Maine,Eastern Canada,Bermuda
Interesting comment on the color of the sky as Noel pulled away from the Abacos:
01 November / 1830 EDT
The sky has turned a strange sepia colour as darkness falls, which is drawing comments on the VHF. Wind now 45 knots, gusting 50 + from the north. No damage reported on Elbow Cay. Boats at Seaspray all sitting pretty, despite whitecaps coming down the channel. Ocean is a wild rage. Barrometer 29.14 and falling. All are safe on Elbow Cay, Lubbers & Tilloo, no concerns for safety of residents or visitors. Power remains out. Some phones out. Some wireless internet out.
01 November / 1945 EDT
Wind now NNW at 45 gusting 50 knots. Barometer 29.11 and falling slowly. Power still out on Elbow Cay, Lubbers and Tilloo. Phones remain out on south end of Elbow Cay. No reports of damage other than a VHF antenna broken at Lighthouse Marina. All persons safe.
01 November / 2115 EDT
Wind NNW 50 knots, and significant gusts 55+ knots. Barometer now 29.14 and steady for past 30 minutes. All safe.
01 November / 1830 EDT
The sky has turned a strange sepia colour as darkness falls, which is drawing comments on the VHF. Wind now 45 knots, gusting 50 + from the north. No damage reported on Elbow Cay. Boats at Seaspray all sitting pretty, despite whitecaps coming down the channel. Ocean is a wild rage. Barrometer 29.14 and falling. All are safe on Elbow Cay, Lubbers & Tilloo, no concerns for safety of residents or visitors. Power remains out. Some phones out. Some wireless internet out.
01 November / 1945 EDT
Wind now NNW at 45 gusting 50 knots. Barometer 29.11 and falling slowly. Power still out on Elbow Cay, Lubbers and Tilloo. Phones remain out on south end of Elbow Cay. No reports of damage other than a VHF antenna broken at Lighthouse Marina. All persons safe.
01 November / 2115 EDT
Wind NNW 50 knots, and significant gusts 55+ knots. Barometer now 29.14 and steady for past 30 minutes. All safe.
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brunota2003
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cycloneye
- Admin
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Threat Areas: Outerbanks to Maine,Eastern Canada,Bermuda
From the New York AFD:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
425 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY. MEANWHILE...HURRICANE
NOEL WILL MOVE NORTH TO NORTHEAST TODAY...AND GRADUALLY TRANSITION
TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL
ARE FORECAST TO PASS AROUND 150 TO 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK
POINT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK WILL BRING RAIN AND HIGH WINDS
TO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THE LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.-- End Changed Discussion --
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
-- Changed Discussion --STRONG SUBSIDENCE TO THE NORTH OF NOEL AS HIGH PRESSURE TRACKS JUST
NORTH OF THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN CLEAR SKIES TODAY ACROSS
THE CWA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS...MID TO
UPPER 50S. WENT NEAR MOS AND DID NOT QUIBBLE WITH THE DETAILS GIVEN
MAJOR STORM HEADING OUR WAY.-- End Changed Discussion --
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --CONSENSUS LOOKING AT NUMEROUS OPERATIONAL MODEL FORECASTS...AND
ENSEMBLE CLUSTER STILL SUGGEST A TRACK JUST TO THE EAST OF THE 40/70
BENCHMARK. A SLIGHT JOG TO THE WEST NOTED THIS RUN...AND GFS
GENERALLY FOLLOWED HERE. OBVIOUSLY GFS/NAM MUCH TOO WEAK INITIALLY
WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. ALL OPERATIONAL MODELS DO PLAY CATCH
UP WITH REGARD TO THE STRENGTH...BUT IT IS NOT UNTIL SATURDAY UNTIL
THEY ACTUALLY DO. ANYWAY...INCREASING NE GRADIENT TONIGHT...AND WILL
FOLLOW HPC QPF FIELDS WHICH ARE CLOSER TO GFS SOLUTION. COULD SEE
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES FOR A BRIEF PERIOD SATURDAY MORNING EASTERN
AREAS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG...AND MIXING OF 50 KT WINDS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION AS GFS INDICATES. WILL ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
SUFFOLK COUNTY OF LI AND SE CT STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH/DANGEROUS SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL BE
OBSERVED...AND PLENTY OF BEACH EROSION DUE TO BATTERING WAVES IS
EXPECTED. REMNANTS OF NOEL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST.
MASSACHUSETTS CAPE/KACK GET THE WORST OF THIS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM DEPARTS.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
425 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY. MEANWHILE...HURRICANE
NOEL WILL MOVE NORTH TO NORTHEAST TODAY...AND GRADUALLY TRANSITION
TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL
ARE FORECAST TO PASS AROUND 150 TO 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK
POINT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK WILL BRING RAIN AND HIGH WINDS
TO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THE LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.-- End Changed Discussion --
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
-- Changed Discussion --STRONG SUBSIDENCE TO THE NORTH OF NOEL AS HIGH PRESSURE TRACKS JUST
NORTH OF THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN CLEAR SKIES TODAY ACROSS
THE CWA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS...MID TO
UPPER 50S. WENT NEAR MOS AND DID NOT QUIBBLE WITH THE DETAILS GIVEN
MAJOR STORM HEADING OUR WAY.-- End Changed Discussion --
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --CONSENSUS LOOKING AT NUMEROUS OPERATIONAL MODEL FORECASTS...AND
ENSEMBLE CLUSTER STILL SUGGEST A TRACK JUST TO THE EAST OF THE 40/70
BENCHMARK. A SLIGHT JOG TO THE WEST NOTED THIS RUN...AND GFS
GENERALLY FOLLOWED HERE. OBVIOUSLY GFS/NAM MUCH TOO WEAK INITIALLY
WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. ALL OPERATIONAL MODELS DO PLAY CATCH
UP WITH REGARD TO THE STRENGTH...BUT IT IS NOT UNTIL SATURDAY UNTIL
THEY ACTUALLY DO. ANYWAY...INCREASING NE GRADIENT TONIGHT...AND WILL
FOLLOW HPC QPF FIELDS WHICH ARE CLOSER TO GFS SOLUTION. COULD SEE
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES FOR A BRIEF PERIOD SATURDAY MORNING EASTERN
AREAS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG...AND MIXING OF 50 KT WINDS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION AS GFS INDICATES. WILL ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
SUFFOLK COUNTY OF LI AND SE CT STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH/DANGEROUS SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL BE
OBSERVED...AND PLENTY OF BEACH EROSION DUE TO BATTERING WAVES IS
EXPECTED. REMNANTS OF NOEL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST.
MASSACHUSETTS CAPE/KACK GET THE WORST OF THIS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM DEPARTS.
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Category 5
- Category 5
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- Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
- Location: New Brunswick, NJ
- Contact:
Re: Threat Areas: Outerbanks to Maine,Eastern Canada,Bermuda
A Tuna Fishing trip up here tommorow is nothing short of suicide.
------------------------------------
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
ANZ084-021430-
HUDSON CANYON TO BALTIMORE CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS S OF 1000
FM OUT TO 40N 65W TO 38N 67W TO 36N 70W.
530 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING
...N WALL OF GULF STREAM NEAR 37.1N 71.5W...38.2N 70.1W...37.6N
68.2W...38.4N 66.1W...
TODAY
W OF 1000 FM...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO
40 KT...HIGHEST S. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 16 FT...
HIGHEST SE. E OF 1000 FM...E TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING
TO 25 TO 35 KT...EXCEPT TO 50 KT IN THE GULF STREAM LATE. SEAS 6
TO 9 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 15 FT...EXCEPT TO 22 FT IN THE GULF
STREAM LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS SE PORTION.
TONIGHT
W OF 70W...WINDS BECOMING N TO NE AND INCREASING TO
55 TO 75 KT LATE...EXCEPT W OF 1000 FM 40 TO 55 KT...HIGHEST E.
SEAS BUILDING TO 20 TO 28 FT LATE...EXCEPT W OF 73W 14 TO 20 FT.
E OF 70W...E TO SE WINDS INCREASING TO 40 TO 55 KT...EXCEPT OVER
SW PORTION 55 TO 75 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 TO 28
FT...EXCEPT NEAR THE GULF STREAM TO 36 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
TSTMS DEVELOPING THROUGHOUT OCCASIONALLY REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1
NM.
SAT
W OF 70W...N TO NW WINDS 55 TO 75 KT EARLY...EXCEPT W OF
1000 FM 45 TO 55 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 40 KT LATE...EXCEPT W
OF 1000 FM 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 20 TO 30 FT...EXCEPT W OF 1000 FM
12 TO 20 FT EARLY...SUBSIDING TO 17 TO 24 FT...EXCEPT W OF 1000
FM 10 TO 17 FT LATE. E OF 70W...SHIFTING WINDS 55 TO 75 KT EARLY
BECOMING W TO SW 50 TO 70 KT LATE...EXCEPT OVER SW PORTION
DIMINISHING TO 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 30 TO 42
FT...EXCEPT OVER SW PORTION 22 TO 30 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ENDING LATE.
SAT NIGHT
W TO NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT LATE...
HIGHEST NE. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT E OF 1000 FM
10 TO 20 FT...HIGHEST FAR NE.
------------------------------------
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
ANZ084-021430-
HUDSON CANYON TO BALTIMORE CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS S OF 1000
FM OUT TO 40N 65W TO 38N 67W TO 36N 70W.
530 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING
...N WALL OF GULF STREAM NEAR 37.1N 71.5W...38.2N 70.1W...37.6N
68.2W...38.4N 66.1W...
TODAY
W OF 1000 FM...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO
40 KT...HIGHEST S. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 16 FT...
HIGHEST SE. E OF 1000 FM...E TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING
TO 25 TO 35 KT...EXCEPT TO 50 KT IN THE GULF STREAM LATE. SEAS 6
TO 9 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 15 FT...EXCEPT TO 22 FT IN THE GULF
STREAM LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS SE PORTION.
TONIGHT
W OF 70W...WINDS BECOMING N TO NE AND INCREASING TO
55 TO 75 KT LATE...EXCEPT W OF 1000 FM 40 TO 55 KT...HIGHEST E.
SEAS BUILDING TO 20 TO 28 FT LATE...EXCEPT W OF 73W 14 TO 20 FT.
E OF 70W...E TO SE WINDS INCREASING TO 40 TO 55 KT...EXCEPT OVER
SW PORTION 55 TO 75 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 TO 28
FT...EXCEPT NEAR THE GULF STREAM TO 36 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
TSTMS DEVELOPING THROUGHOUT OCCASIONALLY REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1
NM.
SAT
W OF 70W...N TO NW WINDS 55 TO 75 KT EARLY...EXCEPT W OF
1000 FM 45 TO 55 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 40 KT LATE...EXCEPT W
OF 1000 FM 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 20 TO 30 FT...EXCEPT W OF 1000 FM
12 TO 20 FT EARLY...SUBSIDING TO 17 TO 24 FT...EXCEPT W OF 1000
FM 10 TO 17 FT LATE. E OF 70W...SHIFTING WINDS 55 TO 75 KT EARLY
BECOMING W TO SW 50 TO 70 KT LATE...EXCEPT OVER SW PORTION
DIMINISHING TO 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 30 TO 42
FT...EXCEPT OVER SW PORTION 22 TO 30 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ENDING LATE.
SAT NIGHT
W TO NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT LATE...
HIGHEST NE. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT E OF 1000 FM
10 TO 20 FT...HIGHEST FAR NE.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
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- Contact:
Noel Becomes Hurricane; Toll at 115
http://www.abcnews.go.com/Technology/wi ... id=3809818
By JESSICA ROBERTSON Associated Press Writer
NASSAU, Bahamas Nov 2, 2007 (AP)
Font Size
Hurricane Noel, the deadliest storm to hit the Atlantic this year, is not expected to gain strength in the next 24 hours as it tracks northward toward the U.S. but it may grow in size, forecasters said Friday.
Noel slammed the Caribbean earlier this week with heavy rains that caused flooding and mudslides, leaving 115 dead, officials said.
After drenching the Bahamas and Cuba on Thursday, the Category 1 hurricane continued along its path between the southeastern coast of the U.S. and the Bahamas.
Its sustained winds were at 80 mph early Friday and its center was about 470 miles south of Cape Hatteras, N.C., the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said. Noel is moving to the north-northeast at about 18 mph.
Jack Beven, a hurricane specialist at the center, said Friday that "we don't expect the center to cross the U.S. coast. The track would take the center of the system over Nova Scotia."
But Beven also noted that the storm "is going to increase rather significantly in size" and that its effects could be felt in the U.S. Forecasters say 2 to 4 inches of rain could fall in North Carolina's Outer Banks, while isolated areas of New England might see 6 inches.
On Thursday, muddy rain-swollen waters overflowed a dam in Cuba, washing into hundreds of homes, over highways and knocking out electricity and telephone service. Dozens of small communities were cut off.
Cuban soldiers went door-to-door in low-lying areas and evacuated about 24,000 people, according to state radio and television reports. At least 2,000 homes were damaged by flood waters, but there was no official word of deaths.
In Ciego de Avila province in central Cuba, flooding wiped out nearly 2,000 tons of corn, potato, banana, cucumber and tomato harvests, said Jose Ramon Machado Ventura, a vice president.
The storm brought a record 15 inches of rain to the Bahamas, Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham said. Flooding killed at least one man in the Bahamas and forced the evacuation of almost 400 people. Ingraham said the majority of the evacuees were from the northeast Bahamian island of Abaco.
http://www.abcnews.go.com/Technology/wi ... id=3809818
By JESSICA ROBERTSON Associated Press Writer
NASSAU, Bahamas Nov 2, 2007 (AP)
Font Size
Hurricane Noel, the deadliest storm to hit the Atlantic this year, is not expected to gain strength in the next 24 hours as it tracks northward toward the U.S. but it may grow in size, forecasters said Friday.
Noel slammed the Caribbean earlier this week with heavy rains that caused flooding and mudslides, leaving 115 dead, officials said.
After drenching the Bahamas and Cuba on Thursday, the Category 1 hurricane continued along its path between the southeastern coast of the U.S. and the Bahamas.
Its sustained winds were at 80 mph early Friday and its center was about 470 miles south of Cape Hatteras, N.C., the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said. Noel is moving to the north-northeast at about 18 mph.
Jack Beven, a hurricane specialist at the center, said Friday that "we don't expect the center to cross the U.S. coast. The track would take the center of the system over Nova Scotia."
But Beven also noted that the storm "is going to increase rather significantly in size" and that its effects could be felt in the U.S. Forecasters say 2 to 4 inches of rain could fall in North Carolina's Outer Banks, while isolated areas of New England might see 6 inches.
On Thursday, muddy rain-swollen waters overflowed a dam in Cuba, washing into hundreds of homes, over highways and knocking out electricity and telephone service. Dozens of small communities were cut off.
Cuban soldiers went door-to-door in low-lying areas and evacuated about 24,000 people, according to state radio and television reports. At least 2,000 homes were damaged by flood waters, but there was no official word of deaths.
In Ciego de Avila province in central Cuba, flooding wiped out nearly 2,000 tons of corn, potato, banana, cucumber and tomato harvests, said Jose Ramon Machado Ventura, a vice president.
The storm brought a record 15 inches of rain to the Bahamas, Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham said. Flooding killed at least one man in the Bahamas and forced the evacuation of almost 400 people. Ingraham said the majority of the evacuees were from the northeast Bahamian island of Abaco.
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Re: Threat Areas: Outerbanks to Maine,Eastern Canada,Bermuda
HIGH WIND WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1121 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY IN RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL EVOLVE INTO A STRONG COASTAL
STORM SATURDAY...AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET.
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS...WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT WINDS
COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 85 MPH OVER THE OUTER CAPE AND NANTUCKET.
HIGH WIND WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1121 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
DAMAGING NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. THE HIGH
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE DURING EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
ALONG THE MAINLAND COAST...FROM NEWBURYPORT TO BOSTON TO
PLYMOUTH...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH. THE WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LESS AS ONE HEADS
FURTHER INLAND...BUT DAMAGING WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AS FAR
WEST AS A WESTERLY...PROVIDENCE...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL LINE.
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
221 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...NOEL EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND RHODE ISLAND...
.DURING SATURDAY MORNING...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH
NOEL ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND. THESE RAINS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DURING
SATURDAY.
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...
* NOEL IS FORECAST TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN OVER CAPE COD AND
THE ISLANDS DURING SATURDAY. TWO TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH BOSTON...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. THESE
RAINS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
MAY PRODUCE HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS.
* THE GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. ANY LEAF CLOGGED DRAINS COULD EXACERBATE OR ENABLE
FLOODING. SOME SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
0 likes
-
Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2804
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
Wind Advisory
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN
INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL STORM. THE STORM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF OF MAINE ON SATURDAY...REACHING NOVA SCOTIA SATURDAY NIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE.
MEZ012>014-030345-
/O.UPG.KGYX.HW.A.0002.071103T1200Z-071104T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KGYX.WI.Y.0002.071103T1700Z-071104T0400Z/
SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUMFORD...NORWAY...SOUTH PARIS...
MEXICO...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON...WILTON...SKOWHEGAN...
PITTSFIELD...MADISON...FAIRFIELD
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH SATURDAY WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. AS THE STORM MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF
MAINE SATURDAY EVENING...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND
DIMINISH.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRAY FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN
INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL STORM. THE STORM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF OF MAINE ON SATURDAY...REACHING NOVA SCOTIA SATURDAY NIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE.
NHZ004-006-008-009-030345-
/O.NEW.KGYX.WI.Y.0002.071103T1700Z-071104T0400Z/
NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN CARROLL-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTH CONWAY...CONWAY...WOLFEBORO...
CONCORD...LACONIA...TILTON-NORTHFIELD...MEREDITH
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
NIGHT.
EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH SATURDAY WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. AS THE STORM MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF
MAINE SATURDAY EVENING...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND
DIMINISH.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRAY FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.
$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
315 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...VERY STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH INTENSE LOW PRESSURE WILL
IMPACT DOWNEAST MAINE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL IN THE FORM OF AN INTENSE EXTRA-
TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL
BRING VERY STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO
THE REGION. DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
POWER OUTAGES FROM THE COMBINED IMPACT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG WINDS.
MEZ002-004>006-010-030315-
/O.NEW.KCAR.WI.Y.0007.071103T1800Z-071104T1000Z/
NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-
SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN...
MARS HILL...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...
MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET...PATTEN...
MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS...
GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD
315 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF MINOR WIND DAMAGE TO SHRUBBERY,
TREES, AND LOOSE OBJECTS. OLDER AND WEAKER TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WIND SPEEDS OR ANY WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAR
FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.
$$
FITZSIMMONS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN
INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL STORM. THE STORM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF OF MAINE ON SATURDAY...REACHING NOVA SCOTIA SATURDAY NIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE.
MEZ012>014-030345-
/O.UPG.KGYX.HW.A.0002.071103T1200Z-071104T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KGYX.WI.Y.0002.071103T1700Z-071104T0400Z/
SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUMFORD...NORWAY...SOUTH PARIS...
MEXICO...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON...WILTON...SKOWHEGAN...
PITTSFIELD...MADISON...FAIRFIELD
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH SATURDAY WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. AS THE STORM MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF
MAINE SATURDAY EVENING...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND
DIMINISH.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRAY FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN
INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL STORM. THE STORM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF OF MAINE ON SATURDAY...REACHING NOVA SCOTIA SATURDAY NIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE.
NHZ004-006-008-009-030345-
/O.NEW.KGYX.WI.Y.0002.071103T1700Z-071104T0400Z/
NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN CARROLL-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTH CONWAY...CONWAY...WOLFEBORO...
CONCORD...LACONIA...TILTON-NORTHFIELD...MEREDITH
342 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
NIGHT.
EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH SATURDAY WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. AS THE STORM MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF
MAINE SATURDAY EVENING...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND
DIMINISH.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRAY FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.
$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
315 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...VERY STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH INTENSE LOW PRESSURE WILL
IMPACT DOWNEAST MAINE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL IN THE FORM OF AN INTENSE EXTRA-
TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL
BRING VERY STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO
THE REGION. DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
POWER OUTAGES FROM THE COMBINED IMPACT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG WINDS.
MEZ002-004>006-010-030315-
/O.NEW.KCAR.WI.Y.0007.071103T1800Z-071104T1000Z/
NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-
SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN...
MARS HILL...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...
MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET...PATTEN...
MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS...
GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD
315 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF MINOR WIND DAMAGE TO SHRUBBERY,
TREES, AND LOOSE OBJECTS. OLDER AND WEAKER TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WIND SPEEDS OR ANY WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAR
FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.
$$
FITZSIMMONS
0 likes
-
Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2804
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
Warnings
Fredericton and Southern York County
3:43 PM ADT Friday 2 November 2007
Rainfall warning for
Fredericton and Southern York County issued
Rainfall amounts of 2 Inches/50 millimetres or more Saturday.
Post-tropical storm Noel will cross the Maritimes Saturday night and then track across the Gulf of St Lawrence on Sunday. Gusty easterly winds of 50 to 60 mph/90 to 100 km/h will develop by Saturday evening along the Fundy and Gulf of St Lawrence coastal areas ahead of this storm. A brief period very strong westerlies with gusts up to 70 mph/110 km/h are possible over southern New Brunswick behind this system early Sunday.
Rainfall amounts should total in the 1.5 to 3 Inches/40 to 70 millimetre range before this storm moves off to the northeast. As the low crosses the Maritimes Saturday night it will entrain cool air from eastern Québec...Resulting in near freezing temperatures and precipitation falling in the form as a mix of rain and snow over northwestern New Brunswick. At this time no significant accumulations of snow are expected.
Conditions are expected improve on Sunday.
Warnings
Yarmouth County
3:42 PM ADT Friday 2 November 2007
Rainfall warning for
Yarmouth County continued
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 Inches/50 to 70 millimetres Saturday.
Post-tropical storm Noel will approach Nova Scotia Saturday and crosss southwestern regions around midnight and will move through the Tantramar Marsh overnight. It will head into the Gulf of St Lawrence thereafter. The main threat with this storm will be high winds heavy rain and pounding ocean waves. Gusty southeasterly winds up to 60 mph/100 km/h will develop Saturday afternoon over Nova Scotia with Les Suetes winds gusting to 80 mph/140 km/h into the evening. Southwest winds will gust as high as 75 mph/120 km/h Saturday night with gusts up to 80 mph/140 km/h possible. These winds could lead to downed trees and power outages.
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 Inches/50 to 70 millimetres are expected over much of the province. Conditions are forecast to gradually improve on Sunday.
High water levels along the Northumberland strait are expected Saturday night.
Yarmouth County
3:42 PM ADT Friday 2 November 2007
Wind warning for
Yarmouth County continued
Southeasterly winds gusting up to 60 mph/100 km/h Saturday and southwesterly winds gusting to 75 mph/120 km/h Saturday night.
Post-tropical storm Noel will approach Nova Scotia Saturday and crosss southwestern regions around midnight and will move through the Tantramar Marsh overnight. It will head into the Gulf of St Lawrence thereafter. The main threat with this storm will be high winds heavy rain and pounding ocean waves. Gusty southeasterly winds up to 60 mph/100 km/h will develop Saturday afternoon over Nova Scotia with Les Suetes winds gusting to 80 mph/140 km/h into the evening. Southwest winds will gust as high as 75 mph/120 km/h Saturday night with gusts up to 80 mph/140 km/h possible. These winds could lead to downed trees and power outages.
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 Inches/50 to 70 millimetres are expected over much of the province. Conditions are forecast to gradually improve on Sunday.
High water levels along the Northumberland strait are expected Saturday night.
Fredericton and Southern York County
3:43 PM ADT Friday 2 November 2007
Rainfall warning for
Fredericton and Southern York County issued
Rainfall amounts of 2 Inches/50 millimetres or more Saturday.
Post-tropical storm Noel will cross the Maritimes Saturday night and then track across the Gulf of St Lawrence on Sunday. Gusty easterly winds of 50 to 60 mph/90 to 100 km/h will develop by Saturday evening along the Fundy and Gulf of St Lawrence coastal areas ahead of this storm. A brief period very strong westerlies with gusts up to 70 mph/110 km/h are possible over southern New Brunswick behind this system early Sunday.
Rainfall amounts should total in the 1.5 to 3 Inches/40 to 70 millimetre range before this storm moves off to the northeast. As the low crosses the Maritimes Saturday night it will entrain cool air from eastern Québec...Resulting in near freezing temperatures and precipitation falling in the form as a mix of rain and snow over northwestern New Brunswick. At this time no significant accumulations of snow are expected.
Conditions are expected improve on Sunday.
Warnings
Yarmouth County
3:42 PM ADT Friday 2 November 2007
Rainfall warning for
Yarmouth County continued
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 Inches/50 to 70 millimetres Saturday.
Post-tropical storm Noel will approach Nova Scotia Saturday and crosss southwestern regions around midnight and will move through the Tantramar Marsh overnight. It will head into the Gulf of St Lawrence thereafter. The main threat with this storm will be high winds heavy rain and pounding ocean waves. Gusty southeasterly winds up to 60 mph/100 km/h will develop Saturday afternoon over Nova Scotia with Les Suetes winds gusting to 80 mph/140 km/h into the evening. Southwest winds will gust as high as 75 mph/120 km/h Saturday night with gusts up to 80 mph/140 km/h possible. These winds could lead to downed trees and power outages.
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 Inches/50 to 70 millimetres are expected over much of the province. Conditions are forecast to gradually improve on Sunday.
High water levels along the Northumberland strait are expected Saturday night.
Yarmouth County
3:42 PM ADT Friday 2 November 2007
Wind warning for
Yarmouth County continued
Southeasterly winds gusting up to 60 mph/100 km/h Saturday and southwesterly winds gusting to 75 mph/120 km/h Saturday night.
Post-tropical storm Noel will approach Nova Scotia Saturday and crosss southwestern regions around midnight and will move through the Tantramar Marsh overnight. It will head into the Gulf of St Lawrence thereafter. The main threat with this storm will be high winds heavy rain and pounding ocean waves. Gusty southeasterly winds up to 60 mph/100 km/h will develop Saturday afternoon over Nova Scotia with Les Suetes winds gusting to 80 mph/140 km/h into the evening. Southwest winds will gust as high as 75 mph/120 km/h Saturday night with gusts up to 80 mph/140 km/h possible. These winds could lead to downed trees and power outages.
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 Inches/50 to 70 millimetres are expected over much of the province. Conditions are forecast to gradually improve on Sunday.
High water levels along the Northumberland strait are expected Saturday night.
0 likes
This from a friend of mine in coastal Maine -
Actually, most people around here, surprisingly, are taking the storm warnings seriously -- the gas stations and grocery store were packed. another friend has a son on a fishing trawler on the Grand Banks -- needless to say she's not a happy camper...
Weather Channel and our local news are reporting predictions of 100 mph winds and 40 foot seas out in the open water. Coast Guard has pulled out some of their boats. Even for brave New Englanders, this one is being taken seriously.
And this from Nova Scotia -
We are bracing for Noel. The radio is full of notices to people about what to do to prepare for the hurricane. We have put away most of the loose things outside and tied down what we couldn't put away. Hope the power doesn't go as the power company tends to take their time about restoring power in rural areas. Aside from that we have our wood burning stove for warmth and cooking, lanterns for light, and plenty of drinking water.
Actually, most people around here, surprisingly, are taking the storm warnings seriously -- the gas stations and grocery store were packed. another friend has a son on a fishing trawler on the Grand Banks -- needless to say she's not a happy camper...
Weather Channel and our local news are reporting predictions of 100 mph winds and 40 foot seas out in the open water. Coast Guard has pulled out some of their boats. Even for brave New Englanders, this one is being taken seriously.
And this from Nova Scotia -
We are bracing for Noel. The radio is full of notices to people about what to do to prepare for the hurricane. We have put away most of the loose things outside and tied down what we couldn't put away. Hope the power doesn't go as the power company tends to take their time about restoring power in rural areas. Aside from that we have our wood burning stove for warmth and cooking, lanterns for light, and plenty of drinking water.
0 likes
-
Derek Ortt
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/ ... 68831.html
death toll now up to 43 in Haiti and 79 in the DR
still no word from Haiti's mountains
death toll now up to 43 in Haiti and 79 in the DR
still no word from Haiti's mountains
0 likes
-
Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2804
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
http://www.nws.weather.gov
National Weather Service
NWS Marine Forecast
Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code Cell Phone Weather/Marine Page (wap) URL: cell.weather.gov
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
ANZ082-030230-
GEORGES BANK...FROM THE NORTHEAST CHANNEL TO THE GREAT SOUTH
CHANNEL INCLUDING WATERS EAST OF CAPE COD...TO THE HAGUE LINE
400 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING
TONIGHT
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 TO 45
KT...EXCEPT FAR SW PORTION TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT
BUILDING TO 11 TO 19 FT LATE... HIGHEST SW. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
SAT
SHIFTING WINDS INCREASING TO 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 25 TO 39 FT...HIGHEST SE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCASIONALLY REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
SAT NIGHT
WINDS BECOMING W TO NW WINDS 55 TO 70 KT
EARLY...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT LATE...HIGHEST NE. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 14 TO 22 FT LATE...HIGHEST E. SHOWERS ENDING.
SUN
NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 8
TO 13 FT LATE...HIGHEST SE.
SUN NIGHT
NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FT LATE...HIGHEST E.
MON
VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS EARLY...BECOMING S 15 TO 20
KT LATE. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE
S TO SW WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT...THEN SHIFTING
TO W TO NW LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT.
WED
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT.
National Weather Service
NWS Marine Forecast
Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code Cell Phone Weather/Marine Page (wap) URL: cell.weather.gov
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
ANZ082-030230-
GEORGES BANK...FROM THE NORTHEAST CHANNEL TO THE GREAT SOUTH
CHANNEL INCLUDING WATERS EAST OF CAPE COD...TO THE HAGUE LINE
400 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING
TONIGHT
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 TO 45
KT...EXCEPT FAR SW PORTION TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT
BUILDING TO 11 TO 19 FT LATE... HIGHEST SW. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
SAT
SHIFTING WINDS INCREASING TO 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 25 TO 39 FT...HIGHEST SE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCASIONALLY REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
SAT NIGHT
WINDS BECOMING W TO NW WINDS 55 TO 70 KT
EARLY...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT LATE...HIGHEST NE. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 14 TO 22 FT LATE...HIGHEST E. SHOWERS ENDING.
SUN
NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 8
TO 13 FT LATE...HIGHEST SE.
SUN NIGHT
NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FT LATE...HIGHEST E.
MON
VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS EARLY...BECOMING S 15 TO 20
KT LATE. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT.
TUE
S TO SW WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT...THEN SHIFTING
TO W TO NW LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT.
WED
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT.
0 likes
-
Category 5
- Category 5
- Posts: 10074
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
- Location: New Brunswick, NJ
- Contact:
Re: Threat Areas: Outerbanks to Maine,Eastern Canada,Bermuda
Noels outermost edge passing over me at dusk.
0 likes
-
Crostorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 2060
- Age: 49
- Joined: Mon Dec 25, 2006 3:51 pm
- Location: Croatia-Europe
- Contact:
Remnants of Atlantic Storm Drench Haiti
By JONATHAN M. KATZ
PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti (AP) — U.N. helicopters were waiting out driving rain that lashed Haiti on Friday before they could assess flood damage from Tropical Storm Noel, which killed at least 48 here and left thousands homeless.
The new showers from Noel's outer bands raised fears of further deaths in a country prone to catastrophic flooding. In the Dominican Republic, which shares the island of Hispaniola with Haiti, the rains largely let up, allowing flights carrying urgently needed relief supplies.
Authorities in the Dominican Republic confirmed 82 deaths and said at least 62,000 were left homeless by the storm.
U.S. Southern Command officials said Friday they would send rescue teams to Dominican Republic over the weekend. Two helicopters from the U.S. Coast Guard have already been deployed. The United States has contributed more than $1 million in aid.
The storm grew into Hurricane Noel as it passed Thursday over the Bahamas, where flooding killed one man and forced the evacuation of nearly 400 people. The storm then shifted north over the ocean and headed parallel to the U.S. Atlantic coast toward Nova Scotia.
Noel is the deadliest storm of the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, with at least 132 dead.
By Friday evening, it had sustained winds of 80 mph and was centered about 320 miles southeast of North Carolina. Forecasters say 2 to 4 inches of rain could fall on the state's Outer Banks, while isolated areas of New England might see 6 inches.
The United Nations, which has a large peacekeeping force in Haiti, planned to send helicopters to survey flood damage over the country's southern peninsula, which was hit hard by the storm.
But authorities did not know when they might be able to fly. "It just looks like we're going to have a lot more rain," said Felix Ronel of the Haitian national meteorological service.
Impoverished Haiti is particularly vulnerable to flooding because people have cut down most of the country's trees to make charcoal, leaving the hillsides barren and unable to absorb heavy rain.
The death toll in Haiti rose from 43 to 48 Friday as authorities reported more fatalities from the storm.
"It looks like it's going to be horrible," said Marie Alta Jean-Baptiste, head of the country's civil protection department. "After the rain who knows how many more we will find," she said.
The Dominican Republic is not as deforested but also suffers from severe flooding because of its steep mountains and large numbers of people who live in simple homes along its rivers.
Dominican President Leonel Fernandez pledged aid to flood victims, and the government said it had distributed more than 3 million food rations in the hardest hit areas. The first plane to arrive with international donations departed from Panama, carrying 100,000 pounds of relief supplies.
Aid also came from Dominicans like Joel Diaz, a 29-year-old who lives in the outskirts of the capital. "We're poor, but there are people today who don't have anything," he said as he donated clothes and canned food at an emergency management office.
The storm was blamed on the death of one person in Jamaica.
Heavy downpours also continued to pound much of eastern Cuba on Friday, and state television reported that more than 30,000 people across the island had been evacuated because of rains associated with Noel.
In Guantanamo province at Cuba's eastern tip, civil defense authorities warned of possible mudslides and reported that 60 percent of roads and highways were damaged or flooded. Electricity and phone service was spotty.
The government said more than 19,800 tons of vegetables had been destroyed by flood waters and 35,000 acres of farmland were submerged. Many small towns and villages were cut off, especially in mountains of the eastern province of Granma.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gVWj ... wD8SLTLLG2
By JONATHAN M. KATZ
PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti (AP) — U.N. helicopters were waiting out driving rain that lashed Haiti on Friday before they could assess flood damage from Tropical Storm Noel, which killed at least 48 here and left thousands homeless.
The new showers from Noel's outer bands raised fears of further deaths in a country prone to catastrophic flooding. In the Dominican Republic, which shares the island of Hispaniola with Haiti, the rains largely let up, allowing flights carrying urgently needed relief supplies.
Authorities in the Dominican Republic confirmed 82 deaths and said at least 62,000 were left homeless by the storm.
U.S. Southern Command officials said Friday they would send rescue teams to Dominican Republic over the weekend. Two helicopters from the U.S. Coast Guard have already been deployed. The United States has contributed more than $1 million in aid.
The storm grew into Hurricane Noel as it passed Thursday over the Bahamas, where flooding killed one man and forced the evacuation of nearly 400 people. The storm then shifted north over the ocean and headed parallel to the U.S. Atlantic coast toward Nova Scotia.
Noel is the deadliest storm of the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, with at least 132 dead.
By Friday evening, it had sustained winds of 80 mph and was centered about 320 miles southeast of North Carolina. Forecasters say 2 to 4 inches of rain could fall on the state's Outer Banks, while isolated areas of New England might see 6 inches.
The United Nations, which has a large peacekeeping force in Haiti, planned to send helicopters to survey flood damage over the country's southern peninsula, which was hit hard by the storm.
But authorities did not know when they might be able to fly. "It just looks like we're going to have a lot more rain," said Felix Ronel of the Haitian national meteorological service.
Impoverished Haiti is particularly vulnerable to flooding because people have cut down most of the country's trees to make charcoal, leaving the hillsides barren and unable to absorb heavy rain.
The death toll in Haiti rose from 43 to 48 Friday as authorities reported more fatalities from the storm.
"It looks like it's going to be horrible," said Marie Alta Jean-Baptiste, head of the country's civil protection department. "After the rain who knows how many more we will find," she said.
The Dominican Republic is not as deforested but also suffers from severe flooding because of its steep mountains and large numbers of people who live in simple homes along its rivers.
Dominican President Leonel Fernandez pledged aid to flood victims, and the government said it had distributed more than 3 million food rations in the hardest hit areas. The first plane to arrive with international donations departed from Panama, carrying 100,000 pounds of relief supplies.
Aid also came from Dominicans like Joel Diaz, a 29-year-old who lives in the outskirts of the capital. "We're poor, but there are people today who don't have anything," he said as he donated clothes and canned food at an emergency management office.
The storm was blamed on the death of one person in Jamaica.
Heavy downpours also continued to pound much of eastern Cuba on Friday, and state television reported that more than 30,000 people across the island had been evacuated because of rains associated with Noel.
In Guantanamo province at Cuba's eastern tip, civil defense authorities warned of possible mudslides and reported that 60 percent of roads and highways were damaged or flooded. Electricity and phone service was spotty.
The government said more than 19,800 tons of vegetables had been destroyed by flood waters and 35,000 acres of farmland were submerged. Many small towns and villages were cut off, especially in mountains of the eastern province of Granma.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gVWj ... wD8SLTLLG2
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Hybridstorm_November2001
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Re: Threat Areas: Outerbanks to Maine,Eastern Canada,Bermuda
Here is the Atlantic Canadian Composite:
Just coming into view.
Just coming into view.
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