Since there will be so many coming up, I decided to just make one thread instead of one for each of the many storms.
Here are the dates/storms
September 8th: The Great Galveston Hurricane (1900), Carmen (1974)
September 9th: Betsy (1965)
September 10th: Donna (1960), The Atlantic Gulf Hurricane (1919)
September 11th: Edna (1955), Carla (1961)
September 12th: Frederic (1979)
September 14th: Gilbert (1988), Ophelia (2005), The Great Atlantic Hurricane (1944)
September 16th: The Vegabond Hurricane (1903), Floyd (1999), Ivan (2004), The San Felipe Lake Okeechobee Hurricane (1928)
September 17th: The Fort Lauderdale Hurricane (1947)
September 18th: Isabel (2003), The Great Miami Hurricane (1926)
September 20th: Beulah (1967)
September 21st: The Long Island Express (1938)
September 22nd: Hugo (1989)
September 23rd: Eloise (1975)
September 24th: Rita (2005)
September 25th: Jeanne (2004)
September 27th: Janet (1955), Gloria (1985)
September 28th: Georges (1998)
October 4th: Opal
October 14th: Isbell
October 22nd: Joan
October 24th Wilma
October 29th: Mitch, Juan
November 17th: Lenny
November 21st: Kate
Hurricane Anniversary thread.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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Jim Cantore
Hurricane Anniversary thread.
Last edited by Jim Cantore on Thu Oct 05, 2006 6:30 pm, edited 12 times in total.
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MiamiensisWx
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Jim Cantore
Yep, Betsy also flooded the 9th ward, St. Bernard and Plaquemines parishes. People here never thought Betsy would be eclipsed. Ironically, it was Hurricane Betsy that spurred legislation to improve our levee system to "cat 3". Before Betsy, N.O.'s hurricane protection system was all earthen levees, and we had a lot more marsh. The C.O.E. came in here and installed all of their fancy state of the art I-walls and sheet piling to raise the levees. The rest is history.
My grandfather... a train engineer, rode Betsey out in his engine while parked on the tracks somewhere around LaPlace. You should have heard his stories from that storm.
My grandfather... a train engineer, rode Betsey out in his engine while parked on the tracks somewhere around LaPlace. You should have heard his stories from that storm.
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Always interested in Betsy history because as I read the best track, the eye passed directly over where I live now in Key Largo. There is very little information on the effects in the keys. It seems Betsy was quite large and the flooding on the front-right quadrant was in Biscayne Bay and Miami. I would really like to know what the surge was in the Keys with a storm like that.
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TSmith274 wrote:Yep, Betsy also flooded the 9th ward, St. Bernard and Plaquemines parishes. People here never thought Betsy would be eclipsed. Ironically, it was Hurricane Betsy that spurred legislation to improve our levee system to "cat 3". Before Betsy, N.O.'s hurricane protection system was all earthen levees, and we had a lot more marsh. The C.O.E. came in here and installed all of their fancy state of the art I-walls and sheet piling to raise the levees. The rest is history.
My grandfather... a train engineer, rode Betsey out in his engine while parked on the tracks somewhere around LaPlace. You should have heard his stories from that storm.
I read somewhere that Betsy was a large hurricane. Weird part is, only the eastern part of New Orleans flooded and 75 people died. Hurricane Katrina flooded 80% of New Orleans and 1,800 died.
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Ptarmigan wrote:TSmith274 wrote:Yep, Betsy also flooded the 9th ward, St. Bernard and Plaquemines parishes. People here never thought Betsy would be eclipsed. Ironically, it was Hurricane Betsy that spurred legislation to improve our levee system to "cat 3". Before Betsy, N.O.'s hurricane protection system was all earthen levees, and we had a lot more marsh. The C.O.E. came in here and installed all of their fancy state of the art I-walls and sheet piling to raise the levees. The rest is history.
My grandfather... a train engineer, rode Betsey out in his engine while parked on the tracks somewhere around LaPlace. You should have heard his stories from that storm.
I read somewhere that Betsy was a large hurricane. Weird part is, only the eastern part of New Orleans flooded and 75 people died. Hurricane Katrina flooded 80% of New Orleans and 1,800 died.
That's true... the flooding in 1965 was caused by the, then new, Mississippi River Gulf Outlet or MRGO for short. In '65, we didn't have I-walls anywhere in metro N.O.... just earthen levees, which we now know perform much better. We should have realized in 1965 that the MRGO was a major threat. We did, but it fell on deaf ears... nobody thought it would widen due to erosion ten times over. Good observation Ptarmigan.
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TSmith274 wrote:
That's true... the flooding in 1965 was caused by the, then new, Mississippi River Gulf Outlet or MRGO for short. In '65, we didn't have I-walls anywhere in metro N.O.... just earthen levees, which we now know perform much better. We should have realized in 1965 that the MRGO was a major threat. We did, but it fell on deaf ears... nobody thought it would widen due to erosion ten times over. Good observation Ptarmigan.
Maybe they should stuck with the earthen levees instead. Cost a lot less because you don't have to building those I-walls and maintain them frequently. I bet if they were still used today, New Orleans would not have suffered that devastating flood and most of th city would be in full operation. I heard they may get rid of MRGO because few ships use them. It was only put there because of it would be shorter. It has to be dredged a lot, which gets costly. I read that Betsy was larger than Katrina and it went west of New Orleans, which is even worse. Katrina went east of the city. However, I read Katrina was the largest hurricane to make landfall on America. All the video clips I saw of New Orleans under Katrina, looks like a really bad rainstorm and it appeared New Orleans could of escaped severe damage. Also, something should be done about the vanishing wetlands. If they were not vanishing, New Orleans would fare better.
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cajungal
- Category 5
- Posts: 2203
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- Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
- Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)
Hurricane Betsy is what started getting me hooked on hurricanes. Betsy happened many years before I was born, but my parents went through it. Mom living in Thibodaux and my dad living in lower Lafouche (Cut Off). They did not even meet yet. Both went through the eyewall. They would tell me the stories all the time. My next-door neighbor rode out Betsy in the same house she lives in today. She said the annemoter (sp) blew out. And they recorded gusts here over 150 mph. Lafourche and Terrebonne Parish were heavily damaged as Betsy's huge 40 mile wide eyewall passed directly over. My parents went 3 weeks without power, water or phone services. I predicted that very near the 40 year anniversary of Betsy, New Orleans would get struck again. Katrina hit Aug 29th and Betsy Sept 9th. Not very far off at all.
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Jim Cantore
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Jim Cantore
One year ago today, Ophelia was pounding North Carolina
18 years ago today, Gilbert slammed into the Yucatan
62 years ago today, the Great Atlantic Hurricane was beating up the Mid Atlantic, that storm is a legend here, One of the storms that lead to South Cape May New Jerseys Demise. South Cape May is our last island.
The Great Atlantic storm washed away a chunk of South Cape may, some of it never re-surfaced. A powerful 1950 Nor'easter was the knockout blow.
On another note, 7 years ago today, Hurricane Floyd leveled Abaco Island.
18 years ago today, Gilbert slammed into the Yucatan
62 years ago today, the Great Atlantic Hurricane was beating up the Mid Atlantic, that storm is a legend here, One of the storms that lead to South Cape May New Jerseys Demise. South Cape May is our last island.
The Great Atlantic storm washed away a chunk of South Cape may, some of it never re-surfaced. A powerful 1950 Nor'easter was the knockout blow.
On another note, 7 years ago today, Hurricane Floyd leveled Abaco Island.
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Bobbie Lee
- Tropical Storm
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- Contact:
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beachbum_al
- Category 5
- Posts: 2163
- Age: 54
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
- Location: South Alabama Coast
- Contact:
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Jim Cantore
ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLOYD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
9 PM EDT WED SEP 15 1999
...HURRICANE FLOYD MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
CAROLINAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH
FLORIDA TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO
SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY INCLUDING NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE
POTOMAC BASIN AND DELAWARE BAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE
MERRIMAC RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND.
INTERESTS ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
AT 9 PM EDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT
WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 67 MPH HAVE BEEN
REPORTED FROM CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
A WEATHER BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES OFFSHORE OF THE CHARLESTON
AREA HAS REPORTED WAVES 41 FEET HIGH.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. EVEN HIGHER
FLOOD LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ESTUARIES AND
RIVERS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
PATH OF THE HURRICANE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
REPEATING THE 9 PM EDT POSITION...32.4 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
PASCH
NNNN
----------------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 54B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2004
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN GETTING CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY TO WEST
OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN
FLORIDA.
AT 8 PM CDT...0100Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS CENTERED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES
SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA COASTLINE.
IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF IVAN IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE EARLY ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...BUT IVAN
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...CATEGORY THREE
OR HIGHER. OCCUPANTS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA CAN EXPECT HIGHER WINDS THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED AT THE
SURFACE...ABOUT ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY HIGHER AT THE TOP OF A
30-STORY BUILDING. AFTER LANDFALL... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD
TO SPREAD INLAND UP TO ABOUT 150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER.
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT FROM SHELTER DURING
THE CALM CONDITIONS OF THE EYE...AS WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING WHEN THE EYE PASSES.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56 MPH WITH A GUST TO 78 MPH WAS
REPORTED AT THE DAUPHIN ISLAND C-MAN STATION...AND A GUST TO 61 MPH
WAS REPORTED AT MOBILE.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
LESSER...BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SURGE VALUES WILL BE EXPERIENCED
WHERE ONSHORE FLOW OCCURS WEST OF THE CENTER.
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. SOME
TORNADOES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REPEATING THE 8 PM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 88.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 931 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLOYD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
9 PM EDT WED SEP 15 1999
...HURRICANE FLOYD MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
CAROLINAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH
FLORIDA TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO
SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY INCLUDING NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE
POTOMAC BASIN AND DELAWARE BAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE
MERRIMAC RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND.
INTERESTS ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
AT 9 PM EDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT
WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 67 MPH HAVE BEEN
REPORTED FROM CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
A WEATHER BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES OFFSHORE OF THE CHARLESTON
AREA HAS REPORTED WAVES 41 FEET HIGH.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. EVEN HIGHER
FLOOD LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ESTUARIES AND
RIVERS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
PATH OF THE HURRICANE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
REPEATING THE 9 PM EDT POSITION...32.4 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
PASCH
NNNN
----------------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 54B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2004
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN GETTING CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY TO WEST
OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN
FLORIDA.
AT 8 PM CDT...0100Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS CENTERED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES
SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA COASTLINE.
IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF IVAN IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE EARLY ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...BUT IVAN
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...CATEGORY THREE
OR HIGHER. OCCUPANTS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA CAN EXPECT HIGHER WINDS THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED AT THE
SURFACE...ABOUT ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY HIGHER AT THE TOP OF A
30-STORY BUILDING. AFTER LANDFALL... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD
TO SPREAD INLAND UP TO ABOUT 150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER.
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT FROM SHELTER DURING
THE CALM CONDITIONS OF THE EYE...AS WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING WHEN THE EYE PASSES.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56 MPH WITH A GUST TO 78 MPH WAS
REPORTED AT THE DAUPHIN ISLAND C-MAN STATION...AND A GUST TO 61 MPH
WAS REPORTED AT MOBILE.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
LESSER...BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SURGE VALUES WILL BE EXPERIENCED
WHERE ONSHORE FLOW OCCURS WEST OF THE CENTER.
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. SOME
TORNADOES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REPEATING THE 8 PM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 88.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 931 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
0 likes
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Jim Cantore
ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLOYD ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 15 1999
...SLIGHT CORRECTION TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH AREAS...
...HURRICANE FLOYD APPROACHING THE COAST...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE
HENLOPEN DELAWARE INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE
TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE
POTOMAC BASIN...DELAWARE BAY AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM
EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD. INTERESTS FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD
SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT NORTH OF PLYMOUTH TO MERRIMAC
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 100 MILES...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...AND AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
WEAKENING IS LIKELY ON THURSDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
MILES.
A NOAA BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES OFFSHORE OF THE CHARLESTON SOUTH
CAROLINA AREA RECENTLY REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 83 MPH.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. EVEN HIGHER
FLOOD LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ESTUARIES AND
RIVERS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
PATH OF THE HURRICANE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...32.9 N... 78.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 951 MB.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT...THURSDAY.
PASCH
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
NNNN
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ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2004
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN COMING CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...STRONG WINDS ALREADY MOVING ONSHORE...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY TO WEST
OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN
FLORIDA.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS CENTERED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES
SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA COASTLINE.
IVAN IS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REACH THE COAST EARLY ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...BUT IVAN
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...CATEGORY THREE
OR HIGHER. OCCUPANTS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA CAN EXPECT HIGHER WINDS THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED AT THE
SURFACE...ABOUT ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY HIGHER AT THE TOP OF A
30-STORY BUILDING. AFTER LANDFALL... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD
SPREAD INLAND UP TO ABOUT 150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER.
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT FROM SHELTER DURING
THE CALM CONDITIONS OF THE EYE...AS WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING WHEN THE EYE PASSES.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES. THE DAUPHIN ISLAND C-MAN STATION REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 54 MPH WITH A GUST TO 83 MPH...AND PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR
STATION REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 68 MPH.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 933 MB...27.55 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
LESSER...BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SURGE VALUES WILL BE EXPERIENCED
WHERE ONSHORE FLOW OCCURS WEST OF THE CENTER.
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AREA...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.3 N... 88.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 933 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CDT AND 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLOYD ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 15 1999
...SLIGHT CORRECTION TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH AREAS...
...HURRICANE FLOYD APPROACHING THE COAST...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE
HENLOPEN DELAWARE INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE
TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE
POTOMAC BASIN...DELAWARE BAY AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM
EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD. INTERESTS FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD
SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT NORTH OF PLYMOUTH TO MERRIMAC
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 100 MILES...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...AND AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
WEAKENING IS LIKELY ON THURSDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
MILES.
A NOAA BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES OFFSHORE OF THE CHARLESTON SOUTH
CAROLINA AREA RECENTLY REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 83 MPH.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. EVEN HIGHER
FLOOD LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ESTUARIES AND
RIVERS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
PATH OF THE HURRICANE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...32.9 N... 78.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 951 MB.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT...THURSDAY.
PASCH
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
NNNN
------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2004
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN COMING CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...STRONG WINDS ALREADY MOVING ONSHORE...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY TO WEST
OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN
FLORIDA.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS CENTERED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES
SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA COASTLINE.
IVAN IS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REACH THE COAST EARLY ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...BUT IVAN
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...CATEGORY THREE
OR HIGHER. OCCUPANTS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA CAN EXPECT HIGHER WINDS THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED AT THE
SURFACE...ABOUT ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY HIGHER AT THE TOP OF A
30-STORY BUILDING. AFTER LANDFALL... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD
SPREAD INLAND UP TO ABOUT 150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER.
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT FROM SHELTER DURING
THE CALM CONDITIONS OF THE EYE...AS WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING WHEN THE EYE PASSES.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES. THE DAUPHIN ISLAND C-MAN STATION REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 54 MPH WITH A GUST TO 83 MPH...AND PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR
STATION REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 68 MPH.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 933 MB...27.55 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
LESSER...BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SURGE VALUES WILL BE EXPERIENCED
WHERE ONSHORE FLOW OCCURS WEST OF THE CENTER.
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AREA...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.3 N... 88.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 933 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CDT AND 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
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Jim Cantore
ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLOYD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
3 AM EDT THU SEP 16 1999
...HURRICANE FLOYD MAKING LANDFALL AT CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE
HENLOPEN DELAWARE TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING NORTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE POTOMAC BASIN...DELAWARE BAY AND LONG ISLAND
SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FROM NORTH OF PLYMOUTH TO MERRIMAC
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.
INTERESTS FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
AT 3 AM EDT...0700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST.. THIS PUTS FLOYD
ON THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR CAPE FEAR.
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...AND AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY TODAY AS FLOYD MOVES INLAND
OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
260 MILES.
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 63 MPH...MYRTLE BEACH 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
66 MPH...AND WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 66 MPH.
THE UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA DOPPER-ON-WHEELS (DOW) TEAM POSITIONED
IN TOPSAIL BEACH NORTH CAROLINA RECORDED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
81 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 105 MPH.
THE NOAA C-MAN BUOY FRYING PAN SHOALS RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. THE NOAA BUOY 42004...LOCATED
ABOUT 40 MILES OFFSHORE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA...RECENTLY
REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. EVEN HIGHER
FLOOD LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ESTUARIES AND
RIVERS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
REPEATING THE 3 AM EDT POSITION...34.0 N... 77.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM EDT.
GUINEY
NNNN
---------------------------------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 55B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN ABOUT TO CROSS THE ALABAMA
COASTLINE...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY TO WEST
OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN
FLORIDA.
AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS CENTERED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST...VERY NEAR THE
ALABAMA COASTLINE.
IVAN IS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE ON THE COAST
SHORTLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 130 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE HURRICANE MOVES
INLAND. OCCUPANTS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA CAN EXPECT HIGHER WINDS THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED AT THE
SURFACE...ABOUT ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY HIGHER AT THE TOP OF A
30-STORY BUILDING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD SPREAD INLAND UP TO
ABOUT 150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER.
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT FROM SHELTER DURING
THE CALM CONDITIONS OF THE EYE...AS WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING WHEN THE EYE PASSES.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES. THE PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR STATION RECENTLY REPORTED A
WIND GUST TO 98 MPH.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE
OCCURING NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER IS MAKING
LANDFALL. THE PENSACOLA TIDE GAGE JUST REPORTED A STORM SURGE OF 6
FEET AND RISING. LESSER...BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SURGE VALUES WILL
BE EXPERIENCED WHERE ONSHORE FLOW OCCURS WEST OF THE CENTER.
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AREA...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.
REPEATING THE 2 AM CDT POSITION...30.2 N... 87.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 943 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLOYD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
3 AM EDT THU SEP 16 1999
...HURRICANE FLOYD MAKING LANDFALL AT CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE
HENLOPEN DELAWARE TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING NORTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE POTOMAC BASIN...DELAWARE BAY AND LONG ISLAND
SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FROM NORTH OF PLYMOUTH TO MERRIMAC
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.
INTERESTS FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
AT 3 AM EDT...0700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST.. THIS PUTS FLOYD
ON THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR CAPE FEAR.
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...AND AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY TODAY AS FLOYD MOVES INLAND
OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
260 MILES.
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 63 MPH...MYRTLE BEACH 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
66 MPH...AND WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 66 MPH.
THE UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA DOPPER-ON-WHEELS (DOW) TEAM POSITIONED
IN TOPSAIL BEACH NORTH CAROLINA RECORDED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
81 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 105 MPH.
THE NOAA C-MAN BUOY FRYING PAN SHOALS RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. THE NOAA BUOY 42004...LOCATED
ABOUT 40 MILES OFFSHORE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA...RECENTLY
REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. EVEN HIGHER
FLOOD LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ESTUARIES AND
RIVERS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
REPEATING THE 3 AM EDT POSITION...34.0 N... 77.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM EDT.
GUINEY
NNNN
---------------------------------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 55B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN ABOUT TO CROSS THE ALABAMA
COASTLINE...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY TO WEST
OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN
FLORIDA.
AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS CENTERED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST...VERY NEAR THE
ALABAMA COASTLINE.
IVAN IS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE ON THE COAST
SHORTLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 130 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE HURRICANE MOVES
INLAND. OCCUPANTS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA CAN EXPECT HIGHER WINDS THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED AT THE
SURFACE...ABOUT ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY HIGHER AT THE TOP OF A
30-STORY BUILDING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD SPREAD INLAND UP TO
ABOUT 150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER.
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT FROM SHELTER DURING
THE CALM CONDITIONS OF THE EYE...AS WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING WHEN THE EYE PASSES.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES. THE PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR STATION RECENTLY REPORTED A
WIND GUST TO 98 MPH.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE
OCCURING NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER IS MAKING
LANDFALL. THE PENSACOLA TIDE GAGE JUST REPORTED A STORM SURGE OF 6
FEET AND RISING. LESSER...BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SURGE VALUES WILL
BE EXPERIENCED WHERE ONSHORE FLOW OCCURS WEST OF THE CENTER.
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AREA...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.
REPEATING THE 2 AM CDT POSITION...30.2 N... 87.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 943 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN
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Jim Cantore
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