Anniversary of one of the worst atlantic hurricanes ever

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Jim Cantore

Anniversary of one of the worst atlantic hurricanes ever

#1 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Oct 26, 2006 6:47 pm

8 years ago right now, Hurricane Mitch was at it's peak with 180mph winds and a 905mb pressure. Mitch weakened to a category 1 before hitting Honduras, but it mattered not.

Mitch possably killed more people then the Galveston Hurricane, the Lake Okeechobee Hurricane, The Long Island Express, The Labor Day Hurricane, And Hurricane Katrina combined. It is easily one of the deadliest atlantic Hurricanes on record.

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST MON OCT 26 1998

...MITCH STRENGTHENS TO 180 MPH...
A STRONG CATEGORY FIVE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF
THEIR COAST FROM THE NICARAGUA BORDER TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A
HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE
WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREME HURRICANE.

AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55
KM...SOUTHEAST OF SWAN ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...NORTH OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS.

MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 180 MPH...285
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY MAY OCCUR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT MITCH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE CAPABLE OF CAUSING CATASTROPHIC
DAMAGE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 906 MB...26.75 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS
AFFECTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA.
MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR OVER NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS AND OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN ELSEWHERE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL FLOODING FROM STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES IS OCCURING OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN ISLAND
AND THE COAST OF HONDURAS.

REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...17.1 N... 83.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
180 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 906 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
EST.

LAWRENCE

STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.


NNNN

--------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MITCH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM EST MON OCT 26 1998

...EYE OF CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE MITCH MOVING OVER SWAN ISLAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HONDURAS...
AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BELIZE.
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ON THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA
AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR VERY NEAR SWAN ISLAND.
THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...NORTH OF THE COAST
OF HONDURAS.

MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 180 MPH...285 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY MAY OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...BUT MITCH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE CAPABLE OF CAUSING CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 906 MB...26.75 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
OF HONDURAS AND OTHER PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS AFFECTING
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND COASTAL AREAS OF THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.

COASTAL FLOODING FROM STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES IS OCCURRING OVER THE COAST OF HONDURAS...SWAN ISLAND AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 7 PM EST POSITION...17.3 N... 83.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
180 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 906 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM EST.

PASCH

NNNN




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Jim Cantore

#2 Postby Jim Cantore » Sat Nov 04, 2006 9:18 pm

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
3 PM CST TUE NOV 03 1998

...CORRECT MAXIMUM WINDS TO 45 MPH...
...MITCH REGENERATES INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM...

AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN.

AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CITY OF CAMPECHE
ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9
KM/HR...AND ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 70 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MITCH IN NO WAY RESEMBLES THE INTENSE HURRICANE THAT IT WAS
WHEN IT DEVASTATED PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA LAST WEEK. MITCH IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BACK TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHEN IT MOVES OVER
LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY
REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF
MITCH. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA AND ELSEWHERE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...ALONG WITH
THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS.

REPEATING THE 3 PM CST POSITION...19.4 N... 91.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

PASCH

STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 6 PM CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT REGULAR ADVISORY AT 9 PM
CST.

NNNN



ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MITCH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 52A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM EST THU NOV 05 1998

...CORRECTION FOR LOCATION REFERENCE POINT...

...MITCH MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE
WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...
AND FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.

AT 7 AM EST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST OR JUST SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A
WIND OF GUST OF 69 MPH WAS REPORTED FROM FOWEY ROCKS LIGHTHOUSE
JUST SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
CENTER.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MITCH. THESE RAINS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THIS MORNING...
TAPERING OFF IN THE AFTERNOON.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
THROUGH THIS MORNING.

REPEATING THE 7 AM EST POSITION...26.2 N... 81.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 AM EST.

GUINEY

NNNN
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