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Ernesto's Quick Movement Sunday to Monday

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:12 pm
by bayoubebe
"m sure this is going to sound like a very stupid question to you pros out here, please bare with me:

When I look at the NHC track, the jump from Sunday to Monday in distance SEEMS to be much quicker(ie, the storm is moving faster, gains more distance) than the Saturday to Sunday move.

Does the storm pick up speed at that particular time or am I not reading this correctly?

If it does pick up speed, can someone please explain to me why.

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:25 pm
by Tstormwatcher
The NHC is predicting that the storm will pick up some speed at that time. It is just a prediction though, subject to large errors.

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:39 pm
by wjs3
The speed increase is likely in response to strengthening of the ridge that will be acting as kind of the "steering" current for Ernesto.

It later slows as the ridge erodes...at least that's the current thinking. As the ridge weakens, steering currents will eas, so the storm collapses.

Does that make sense? If not, we can take a step back. Let me know.

Run your cursor over the times here


http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NGPT ... sloop.html

and see if it helps you any. You'll see a big "H" over Florida in the upper left panel. As Ernesto (the L) comes around it, notice how it weakens?

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:57 pm
by bayoubebe
Thanks guys.

wjs3: this was extremely helpful. Much appreciated. :)

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:57 pm
by bayoubebe
Thanks guys.

wjs3: this was extremely helpful. Much appreciated. :)

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:57 pm
by bayoubebe
Thanks guys.

wjs3: this was extremely helpful. Much appreciated. :)

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:57 pm
by bayoubebe
Thanks guys.

wjs3: this was extremely helpful. Much appreciated. :)

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:01 pm
by wjs3
Glad to help.

Good for you for taking the time to come over here and ask the question. Fire away if you have more.

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:06 pm
by bayoubebe
wj: I actually do have another question right here, lol.

How can I delete my post that submitted 3 times?

That was an accident, as I clicked and nothing happened, so I kept clicking.

I clicked on edit, but do not see where I can delete.

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:15 pm
by wjs3
I think the moderators have to do that...sorry!

Posted: Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:48 pm
by Tstormwatcher
Yes only mods can delete individual posts.